robert curtis

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robert curtis

robert curtis

@starthrower

I am confident of this, that he who began a good work in us will carry it on to completion until the day of Christ Jesus. Jesus Lover, Husband & Father

santa rosa beach florida Katılım Nisan 2009
1.7K Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler
robert curtis
robert curtis@starthrower·
@markusdd5 Everyone knows this, “not a walk in the park…” Does it make you feel smart to say what is obvious? If I were you I would watch and learn.
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markusdd
markusdd@markusdd5·
It's really outstanding how many commenters clearly have limited to no reading comprehension. Never did I say they WILL fail, nor did I wish it upon them. (the opposite is the case) I was just outlining why I think this is an exceptionally difficult endeavor. I'm even saying: if someone will succeed at this, it's gonna be them. But delays and failures along the way are normal, and many major programs that were hard and started by Elon had them. Dry electrode and 4680? -> succeeded now, but with major delays FSD -> turned out far more difficult than initially suspected, delay on original timeline is closing in on one decade Starship -> coming along nicely, but also had major hiccups on Ship 2 iteration Manufacturing innovative high-tech things at scale, at a sustainable cost, with sufficient yield is extremely difficult. That is why highly specialized supply chains exist. For most of these things, there is only one supplier, two if you're lucky. In some cases, it's the companies themselves, and that is especially true for anything founded by Elon. Once you get into that area of tech it is basically vertical integration or don't do it. But vertical integration also means you might need to re-learn some of the things the supply chain has already learned implicitly before you. On the other hand: you can also avoid entrenched mistakes or inefficiencies. A lot of words for: This is not going to be a walk in the park.
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markusdd
markusdd@markusdd5·
Ok. So essentially Terafab is not a plan for a 'standard' semiconductor fab, but includes mask production, test house and packaging under one roof. This alone is a very alien concept. If they only achieve this alone, not even considering reaching the crazy output numbers, they're already in unicorn territory. All the plans on top what they actually are willing to do with the silicon are essentially Dyson Sphere Program in real life. There is no other way to put this. In this very case, as this directly affects an industry I happen to work in: I assign a major probability to this either failing or delaying much beyond the intended timeline. Sure you can buy equipment and hire experienced people, but semiconductor manufacturing in advanced nodes is essentially the farthest humanity has ventured down the tech tree. It is so incredibly difficult and complicated that it's essentially impossible to explain to the average joe how it even works without simplifying it into oblivion. 95% I talk to can't even grasp correctly what I do for a living, and digital design is very far up the stack. I'm saying this not because I'm rooting against Elon or xAI, Tesla or SpaceX, but just to manage expectations. Starlink has proven with their satellite cadence and PCB in-house pipeline that these companies do understand how to build stuff reliably at scale and down to a sustainable price point. If there is one guy and his entourage that can actually succeed at this, it's this. Nobody else. But expect bumps along the way. This might be the single thing in tech more complicated than the literal rocket science.
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robert curtis
robert curtis@starthrower·
No — Tesla is not going to LiDAR-map every city. Tesla’s entire Full Self-Driving (FSD) and Robotaxi strategy remains pure camera-only vision with end-to-end neural networks. They have never used LiDAR (or radar in recent years) for actual driving in production vehicles, and they have zero plans to start.
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MoreGainzs
MoreGainzs@moregainzs·
So let me get this straight, Tesla will have to map every new city with LiDAR like Rivian and Waymo. 🤣 $tsla $rivn $goog
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
No, that’s just the little advanced technology fab, where we will be iterating on chip designs. We couldn’t possibly fit the Terafab on the GigaTexas campus. It will be far bigger than everything else combined there. Several locations for Terafab are under consideration. It needs thousands of acres and over 10GW of power at full scale.
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XCorpHub
XCorpHub@XCorpHub·
The true importance of Terafab — something 99% of people completely miss: ➤ It’s purpose-built for recursive chip design loops that run 10× faster than today’s fabs, enabling rapid self-improvement cycles no conventional facility can match. ➤ It can produce entirely different chips optimized for Earth vs. space. Space-grade chips will ultimately dominate because they face far stricter radiation, thermal, and reliability requirements. ➤ One terawatt of AI compute is roughly twice America’s entire current electricity consumption. Energy, not chips, is the real bottleneck — which is why space-based solar power generation becomes the decisive advantage.
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
Everyone is covering Terafab as a chip factory. It is not a chip factory. Last night in Austin, Elon unveiled a facility that makes masks, fabricates chips, and tests them inside a single building with a nine-month recursive improvement cadence. No such loop exists anywhere else on Earth. Then he told you 80% of the output goes to space. Then he showed you a 100-kilowatt AI satellite with solar panels and radiators, scaling to megawatt range. Then he said Optimus plus photovoltaics will be the first von Neumann probe, a machine capable of replicating itself from raw materials found in space. Nobody connected the sequence. Terafab produces 1 terawatt per year of compute. The entire United States consumes 0.5 terawatts of electricity. Musk is building a single factory whose output in AI silicon exceeds twice the power consumption of the country it sits in. And he is sending 80% of it off-planet because Earth literally cannot power what he is building. Follow the mechanism. Terafab seeds the chips. Starship launches Optimus robots and solar arrays at 100 million tons per year. The robots mine lunar and asteroid regolith for silicon, iron, and nickel. They 3D-print more robots. They fabricate more solar panels. They assemble more AI satellites. Each satellite runs hotter-burning D3 chips designed specifically for vacuum, where free radiative cooling eliminates the thermal constraints that strangle every terrestrial data center on the planet. The nodes replicate. The replication is exponential. This is a Dyson Swarm bootstrap hidden inside a semiconductor announcement. The math is public. The Sun outputs 3.828 times 10 to the 26th watts. A 2022 paper in Physica Scripta calculated that 5.5 billion satellites at 290 kilograms each, robotically manufactured from Mars resources, capture enough solar energy to meet all of Earth’s power needs within 50 years. A 2025 paper in Solar Energy Materials calculated a partial swarm capturing 4% of solar output yields 15.6 yottawatts, roughly a billion times current human civilization’s total energy budget. Musk just announced the factory that builds the chips that go inside the satellites that replicate themselves forever. 92% of advanced logic chips are fabricated in Taiwan. One factory in Austin does not fix that. But one self-replicating system seeded by that factory, launched by the only company with reusable heavy-lift rockets, assembled by the only humanoid robot in mass production, and powered by the only star within reach, does not fix a supply chain. It obsoletes the concept of supply chains entirely. The market priced this as a $20 billion capex story about semiconductor independence. The actual announcement was the engineering blueprint for Kardashev Type II. Humanity sits at 0.73 on the Kardashev scale. 18 terawatts. The distance between here and harnessing a star is not a technology gap. It is a recursion gap. And recursion is exactly what a single building in Austin that makes its own masks, builds its own chips, tests its own chips, and launches the output into orbit on its own rockets was designed to close. Every civilization that makes it past this point never looks back.
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet media
SpaceX@SpaceX

TERAFAB: the next step to becoming a galactic civilization Together with @Tesla & @xAI, we're building the largest chip manufacturing facility ever (1TW/year) – combining logic, memory & advanced packaging under one roof

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🦋Queen Primis🌹
🦋Queen Primis🌹@Queen_primis·
Amazing idea for an instant wooden walking bridge 🔥👇
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robert curtis
robert curtis@starthrower·
@theparthrastogi This is a wash sale. The IRS and your brokerage account will prevent your taking such a loss.
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Parth Rastogi
Parth Rastogi@theparthrastogi·
TAX HACK: If you purchased a Bitcoin at $100,000 and it dropped to $68,000 you can sell it and buy it back 5 seconds later you still have one whole Bitcoin But now you have a realised loss of $32,000 for tax purposes. Most investors never... Show more
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robert curtis
robert curtis@starthrower·
Always wondered what was wrong with Sander’s mind. This describes it perfectly.
Dustin@r0ck3t23

Bernie Sanders just accidentally revealed why the political class will never understand what Elon Musk is building. Sanders is governing scarcity. Elon is engineering abundance. Sanders: “If we’re not paying taxes because we don’t have jobs, how does that impact government services?” This is tax-code logic applied to a post-scarcity transition. Sanders cannot process an economy that doesn’t run on taxing biological sweat. When you deploy 10 billion Optimus robots and unlimited AI compute? Marginal cost of physical goods, housing, and food drops to near-zero. You don’t need to tax human labor to fund Social Security when synthetic labor eliminates scarcity. Elon is building the abundance engine. Politicians are crying about losing their tax base. Sanders: “Deep down, we all want to contribute, whether we’re a janitor or a brain surgeon. Oh, guess what? In X number of years, you don’t have to work. What are you going to do?” His entire worldview assumes that without the threat of starvation, humanity stops functioning. Elon looks at a human scrubbing floors and sees misallocated compute. Sanders doesn’t understand this. People already choose harder paths because they love them. Growing vegetables in your garden is harder than running to the store. But people choose it. Because they enjoy it. Elon is removing biological labor as the prerequisite for survival. Sanders: “If somebody tells me that right now, some guy is doing a job with a lot of danger or drudgery, and we can shorten that work week, is that a bad thing?” You’re so close, Bernie. The answer isn’t shortening the work week of dangerous drudgery. It’s eliminating dangerous drudgery entirely. Let machines do the soul-crushing labor. Let humans do what brings them joy. Sanders: “We are looking at a revolutionary technology. We are not prepared to deal with it. I am not seeing any serious discussion about this.” While politicians demand formal discussion before allowing progress? Elon is executing the code. Building physical compute. Launching orbital grid. Manufacturing synthetic workforce. Politicians want to manage your struggle. Builders want to mathematically delete it. And here’s the ultimate irony. Bernie thinks work gives life meaning. But he’s never built anything. Elon has built electric vehicles, reusable rockets, brain-computer interfaces, and AI. Who actually understands what gives life meaning? The guy who spends 80 hours a week building the future because he loves it? Or the guy who thinks humans need to be forced into labor to have purpose? The transition is happening whether Washington is ready or not. Sanders is demanding a discussion. Elon is already writing the architecture. And in the world Elon is building, you won’t scrub floors because you have to. You’ll choose what you build. Not because a paycheck demands it. Because nothing else does. That world terrifies politicians. Because in a world of abundance, nobody needs them to manage the scarcity anymore.

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Wake Up Patriot 🇺🇸
Wake Up Patriot 🇺🇸@WakeUpPatriott·
🚨BREAKING: If you could choose between a ticket to watch the next Starship launch here in Texas with me, or front row at a Taylor Swift concert with a meet and greet, which would you choose? A) Taylor B) Starship
Wake Up Patriot 🇺🇸 tweet mediaWake Up Patriot 🇺🇸 tweet media
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Teslaconomics
Teslaconomics@Teslaconomics·
Tesla made its patents open source bc the mission matters more than guarding ideas. They know the shift to amazing abundance is bigger than any one company. If the goal is to move the world forward faster, then sharing the technology helps everyone build on it. The interesting part is that even with Tesla opening the playbook… a lot of competitors are still trying to figure out how to catch up. That’s the real truth.
Teslaconomics tweet media
Elon Musk@elonmusk

@aakashgupta Tesla patents are open source. We do patents to block the trolls, not because we need protection from competitors.

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Teslaconomics
Teslaconomics@Teslaconomics·
Just wondering… if Tesla offered you the Cybercab for $30,000, how many would you actually buy for your own Robotaxi fleet?
Teslaconomics tweet media
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Ofer Binshtok - Kafir - עופר בינשטוק
Turkey is a territory that the Muslims conquered from the Christians. Pakistan is a territory that the Muslims conquered from the Hindus. Iran is a territory that the Muslims conquered from the Zoroastrians. The Land of Israel is a territory that the Muslims conquered from the Jews. Bangladesh is a territory that the Muslims conquered from the Hindus. Egypt is a territory that the Muslims conquered from the Christians.
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robert curtis
robert curtis@starthrower·
between 70 and 200 miles in orbit there is a volume of 27 Billion cubic miles. A million satellites would almost be invisible in that volume. So much for visible pollution. At 2,000 launches a month the full deployment would take 41 years. The schedule will be accelerated using catapult launches from the moon.
XCorpHub@XCorpHub

Amazon just filed with the FCC to outright deny SpaceX's wild plan to launch up to 1 million satellites - not for broadband, but as massive orbital data centers for AI/computing in space. They claim it'd take centuries to deploy even with every rocket on Earth running nonstop. Astronomers are also pushing back over sky pollution. Peak Bezos vs. Musk drama? 🚀 vs. 🌍

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robert curtis
robert curtis@starthrower·
the volume of space occupied by the proposed constellation is 29 Billion cubic miles if the orbits are from 70 miles to 200 miles. 1,000,000 satellites would be barely detectable in this volume. If SpaceX launches 1,000 per month the job will be finished in 83 years. Launching from a catapult on the moon will accelerate the timeline. Get a life all you cynical naysayers.
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BT UPDATES
BT UPDATES@BTUPDATES10·
If you could name the first city on the Moon, what would you call it?
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American Values 🇺🇸
American Values 🇺🇸@AVGirl4Life·
Would you be happy if this is what your partner made you for dinner?
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FAN ELON MUSK NEWS
FAN ELON MUSK NEWS@FanMusk39325·
No internet, no phone live on this island for 5 months and win $6million. Would you take this offer? Yes No
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