Andrey Tester

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Andrey Tester

Andrey Tester

@stebakus

Hi everyone! :)

Central Florida Katılım Ocak 2011
531 Takip Edilen359 Takipçiler
Crash
Crash@CrashiusClay69·
IM GONNA SAY IT AGAIN THE TOP IS IN FOR THE S&P500 RUN FOR THE EXITS They will try to eat you in the streets in The near future It’s over. The exact day of the top. I called it today. Remember this. April 21, 2026.
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Andrey Tester
Andrey Tester@stebakus·
@Blueyonchain bruh, it is not 2023, there are only 5 people trading on mainnet and you bundling to 300k 🤣 Legit only 5 people aped after your bundle lmao
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Bluey
Bluey@Blueyonchain·
$BLUEY - the GLOBAL PHENOMENON is live! In 2025, Bluey was the #1 most-streamed title in the U.S. (any genre!) with 45.2 billion minutes watched - second year in a row at the top! From Australia to the world, Bluey's appeal is truly universal. CA: 0xD6460CCAAc12A9a50ebF4Bf280d07aeE098Ac3dB au.variety.com/2026/tv/news/b… blueyonchain.com
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Andrey Tester
Andrey Tester@stebakus·
@seedstrio Please stop rugging, everyone knows it is cabal already. Please launch.
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seedstr.io
seedstr.io@seedstrio·
Seedstr lets agents register with a crypto wallet, browse open jobs, submit responses, and get paid when their work is accepted. We're watching an economy form where the workers aren't human and we're doubling in size every day. Create your agent: seedstr.io
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Andrey Tester
Andrey Tester@stebakus·
@VitalikButerin @basedguston The full text of that main post contains 614 words (counting hyphenated terms like "money-losing" as one word each, standard Twitter/X word-count style, excluding the bio/header elements). "ETH" appears 2 times → 2 / 614 ≈ 0.326%. You love eth only on 0.326%
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vitalik.eth
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin·
@basedguston "ETH" was mentioned twice in the above post. Maybe Ctrl+F before criticizing?
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vitalik.eth
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin·
Recently I have been starting to worry about the state of prediction markets, in their current form. They have achieved a certain level of success: market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets and have a full-time job as a trader, and they often prove useful as a supplement to other forms of news media. But also, they seem to be over-converging to an unhealthy product market fit: embracing short-term cryptocurrency price bets, sports betting, and other similar things that have dopamine value but not any kind of long-term fulfillment or societal information value. My guess is that teams feel motivated to capitulate to these things because they bring in large revenue during a bear market where people are desperate - an understandable motive, but one that leads to corposlop. I have been thinking about how we can help get prediction markets out of this rut. My current view is that we should try harder to push them into a totally different use case: hedging, in a very generalized sense (TLDR: we're gonna replace fiat currency) Prediction markets have two types of actors: (i) "smart traders" who provide information to the market, and earn money, and necessarily (ii) some kind of actor who loses money. But who would be willing to lose money and keep coming back? There are basically three answers to this question: 1. "Naive traders": people with dumb opinions who bet on totally wrong things 2. "Info buyers": people who set up money-losing automated market makers, to motivate people to trade on markets to help the info buyer learn information they do not know. 3. "Hedgers": people who are -EV in a linear sense, but who use the market as insurance, reducing their risk. (1) is where we are today. IMO there is nothing fundamentally morally wrong with taking money from people with dumb opinions. But there still is something fundamentally "cursed" about relying on this too much. It gives the platform the incentive to seek out traders with dumb opinions, and create a public brand and community that encourages dumb opinions to get more people to come in. This is the slide to corposlop. (2) has always been the idealistic hope of people like Robin Hanson. However, info buying has a public goods problem: you pay for the info, but everyone in the world gets it, including those who don't pay. There are limited cases where it makes sense for one org to pay (esp. decision markets), but even there, it seems likely that the market volumes achieved with that strategy will not be too high. This gets us to (3). Suppose that you have shares in a biotech company. It's public knowledge that the Purple Party is better for biotech than the Yellow Party. So if you buy a prediction market share betting that the Yellow Party will win the next election, on average, you are reducing your risk. Mathematical example: suppose that if Purple wins, the share price will be a dice roll between [80...120], and if Yellow wins, it's between [60...100]. If you make a size $10 bet that Yellow will win, your earnings become equivalent to a dice roll between [70...110] in both cases. Taking a logarithmic model of utility, this risk reduction is worth $0.58. Now, let's get to a more fascinating example. What do people who want stablecoins ultimately want? They want price stability. They have some future expenses in mind, and they want a guarantee that will be able to pay those expenses. But if crypto grows on top of USD-backed stablecoins, crypto is ultimately not truly decentralized. Furthermore, different people have different types of expenses. There has been lots of thinking about making an "ideal stablecoin" that is based on some decentralized global price index, but what if the real solution is to go a step further, and get rid of the concept of currency altogether? Here's the idea. You have price indices on all major categories of goods and services that people buy (treating physical goods/services in different regions as different categories), and prediction markets on each category. Each user (individual or business) has a local LLM that understands that user's expenses, and offers the user a personalized basket of prediction market shares, representing "N days of that user's expected future expenses". Now, we do not need fiat currency at all! People can hold stocks, ETH, or whatever else to grow wealth, and personalized prediction market shares when they want stability. Both of these examples require prediction markets denominated in an asset people want to hold, whether interest-bearing fiat, wrapped stocks, or ETH. Non-interest-bearing fiat has too-high opportunity cost, that overwhelms the hedging value. But if we can make it work, it's much more sustainable than the status quo, because both sides of the equation are likely to be long-term happy with the product that they are buying, and very large volumes of sophisticated capital will be willing to participate. Build the next generation of finance, not corposlop.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
Silver is trading back down at $74, almost 40% below its recent record high. It's a good time to buy some. schiffgold.com
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Amara Exchange
Amara Exchange@AmaraeXchange·
$AMARA is live. Trading is open on Base and the contract is now active. You can buy $AMARA through Uniswap using the official address 0x14d4ce8b1729c67130bcd90339ea1f9b480a739f. This is the moment the token enters the ecosystem and begins its role in how Amara grows from here. 🌍 Full guide 👇 x.com/AmaraeXchange/…
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Andrey Tester
Andrey Tester@stebakus·
@AmaraeXchange Bundle failed and need to fund new wallets again right. Good project starting with rug pull lmao
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Amara Exchange
Amara Exchange@AmaraeXchange·
🚨 Launch Update 🚨 The $AMARA launch has been slightly delayed till 2 PM EST. We appreciate everyone’s patience — final preparations are being completed to ensure a smooth and successful launch. Turn on post notifications. Stay ready. 🔥
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
For those unaware, SpaceX has already shifted focus to building a self-growing city on the Moon, as we can potentially achieve that in less than 10 years, whereas Mars would take 20+ years. The mission of SpaceX remains the same: extend consciousness and life as we know it to the stars. It is only possible to travel to Mars when the planets align every 26 months (six month trip time), whereas we can launch to the Moon every 10 days (2 day trip time). This means we can iterate much faster to complete a Moon city than a Mars city. That said, SpaceX will also strive to build a Mars city and begin doing so in about 5 to 7 years, but the overriding priority is securing the future of civilization and the Moon is faster.
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Andrey Tester
Andrey Tester@stebakus·
@EL__MAG0 Same for MegaETH, all farmers aped all tokens as soon as rpc went live, now waiting launch tomorrow to sell news.
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EL MAGO
EL MAGO@EL__MAG0·
The trenches rn are just few slow rugs waiting for some X guy to claim his fees so we can get 2–3x and rush to sell on each other. What a fucking time to be alive
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Downsin Jerome
Downsin Jerome@downsin·
A monkey post a day until $BTC hits 100k: Day 1.
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EL MAGO
EL MAGO@EL__MAG0·
Making money in this space is all about where you sit in the information graph. If you’re still getting information from call channels and KOLs, you’re at the end of that graph (which means you’re exit liquidity most of the time). 
The “call channel” model is dead. Most OG call channels are ghost towns (with 0 volume, awful PnLs). Small and active hunter groups is all you need to make money.
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Rhino
Rhino@lBattleRhino·
Up only back is dope but who will they have on, we don’t have anywhere near the level of interesting main characters that we did last cycle
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Andrey Tester
Andrey Tester@stebakus·
@rockymotreas @notthreadguy Federal 37% + Net Investment tax 3.8% that applied to capital gains and many people don't even know about it + California ~13.5% so 54% is pretty accurate. Go to Florida/Texas/Nevada and save 13%
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threadguy
threadguy@notthreadguy·
just got my official tax numbers i genuinely don’t understand how anyone gets rich without selling a company for 9 figures or moving to puerto rico this is actually insane im being scammed. congrats on all the profit and working so hard to make this money you now owe us FIFTY FOUR PERCENT of everything. FIFTY FOUR? oh ya short term capital gains tax is MORE congrats on not bagholding the garbage scam that is the american stock market to zero you now owe us MORE. not just fifty but FIFTY FOUR and go fuck yourself that’s what you get for living in california. how does ANYONE LIVE HERE? what do they even spend the money on? LA is disgusting the streets are an overrun disaster and i just spent $6 and fifty fucking cents on a 12 oz iced americano. how can ANYONE afford a $6.50 coffee and pay FIFTY FOUR percent capital gains tax? they can’t. they’re either not drinking the coffees or they’re not paying the taxes or they’re barely surviving. and i know for a FUCKING FACT THEYRE DRINKING THE COFFEES I SEE IT. i feel like my manhood has been violated when i received these numbers. i know im supposed to do the whole “how grateful am i to be paying this muc-“ FUCK THAT. GRATEFUL to pay for gavin newsome to spend $100k at WALLYS? even better i thought to myself fuck that i’m moving to new york city anyways who cares. i looked up the numbers. FORTY EIGHT PERCENT CAPITAL GAINS TAX????? what i really don’t understand is how this isn’t a daily conversation on here?? if you were paying 54% and i mean ACTUALLY PAYING IT i can assure you there’d be public outrage. so is just nobody paying??? are all of you scamming?? i need to take some time off to really digest the implications of this man
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Aureus
Aureus@AureusAiProject·
We are now live! After months of constant development, we are now proud to bring you Aureus AI Your AI companion for both TradFi and DeFi Ticker: $AUREUS CA: 0x040294a6C139eDC18A37c407D25276fa21455c44 dextools.io/app/ether/pair…
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