Steve Pemberton

966 posts

Steve Pemberton

Steve Pemberton

@steve_pemb

Katılım Aralık 2019
3K Takip Edilen321 Takipçiler
Steve Pemberton retweetledi
Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
The BRCA being rejected by Democrats shows it's time for those old enough to not understand that @google is not a money transmitter for creating Chrome to retire. Functionally illiterate with regard to tech, and I say this as someone who actively fights money laundering!
Eleanor Terrett@EleanorTerrett

🚨NEW: Negotiations between a small group of bipartisan senators aimed at getting Democrats to a better place on at least two outstanding Clarity Act issues wrapped for the night without a deal, I’m told. In a statement, one of the lead GOP negotiators, @SenLummis, said: “Ultimately, we have agreement on 99% of the bill. I hope my colleagues across the aisle will work with me to get the remaining 1% resolved after we pass this bill out of committee. Otherwise, when or if another FTX happens, we will have no one to blame but ourselves.” Democrats like @SenAdamSchiff and @SenRubenGallego had been pushing to reach a compromise on ethics/conflicts of interest involving the First Family ahead of tomorrow’s markup as a condition of their support for the bill, while other Democrats voiced eleventh-hour concerns about provisions tied to the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA), which would prevent non-custodial software developers from being prosecuted under money transmitter laws. It’s my understanding that meaningful progress was made on ethics, but last minute disagreements over BRCA changes ultimately prevented a deal from coming together. Of course, it’s still unclear how the five pro-crypto Democrats on the Banking Committee will ultimately vote tomorrow, but as of now, the expectation is that the markup will be partisan.

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@levelsio
@levelsio@levelsio·
When I meet most Europeans these days I wanna shake them and shout WAKE UPPPPPPP They're all captivated by the mind virus My Dutch friend said he's doing great because he has no kids so he's not a "big burden on society" eco wise My French friend said she avoids flying at all cost to save the environment WAKE UP!!!!!
Joseph Miclaus@josephmiclaus

@levelsio @sonofatailor I’d say the colors are a bit too positive for the current state of the world.

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vittorio
vittorio@IterIntellectus·
US fertility reached 1.57 last year, the lowest ever recorded, and the WSJ explanation is "uncertainty about finances, relationship stability, and the political climate" my great grandma had eleven children during the second world war, in a country being bombed, in a house with no running water, on rations. poor people have always had kids. the poorest people on earth right now still have kids and the financial excuse is a story we tell ourselves because it makes us feel good and the real one is unbearable the real mechanism is that we got rich enough to redefine children as an expense instead of the point. somewhere in the last fifty years the cultural goal inverted and a child stopped being what life is for and became a line item competing with the lifestyle. once you frame it that way the math never works, because the math isnt supposed to work. that's the point we are living in the richest moment in human history and we decided to use the surplus to buy ourselves out of the future. the most prosperous civilization that has ever existed is committing demographic suicide at the altar of personal optimization and comfort, and the official line is that we cant afford it the birthrate is a lagging indicator of a civilization that forgot why it was alive
vittorio tweet mediavittorio tweet media
The Wall Street Journal@WSJ

In charts: The nation’s fertility rates hit record lows in 2025 as childbearing continued to shift toward older women on.wsj.com/41qPbw7

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Senator Mark Kelly
Senator Mark Kelly@SenMarkKelly·
"A whole civilization will die tonight” are words no President of the United States had ever spoken until this morning. Donald Trump’s behavior is unhinged and making Americans less safe. After a 25-year career in the United States Navy, I have never met or served with anyone who so completely lacks the qualities of good leadership as Donald Trump does. If the President takes the actions he has threatened to take, countless Iranian civilians will die, it will massively escalate this war, and the United States will be seen as a country without a moral or ethical compass. That will make Americans less safe right now and risk the lives of thousands of service members. The consequences will have a lasting and damaging effect on our nation. Trump's mistakes have led us to this perilous moment, but the solution is not to escalate even further. This must stop.
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Pvt A B
Pvt A B@col_a_buendia·
I hate them for taking the 250th from us. Nobody wants to celebrate, everyone just trying to survive. What should've been great collective joy is mourning by actual Americans and apathy from 100 million strangers. What a shit show we've made of this place since 1776.
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Steve Pemberton
Steve Pemberton@steve_pemb·
It's not about agrarianism. Here's a banal, but modern example: a small town has a population of like 10,000. Has 6 chinese restaurants throughout town. This is the equlibrium of the town. Fewer and the people want more, more than 6 and there is too much supply of Chinese food. Population falls to 9000. The equilibrium has been upset. Which of the 6 restaurants should close? They are competitors so they cannot coordinate. Each supports a small group of people's livelihoods. So the rational thing for each one is to stay open. Eat into savings a bit to see if things change. Eventually likely a couple declare bankruptcy. Now we have 3 or 4. And perhaps another one or two that ate into its wealth. It survived, but the participants in it are worse off. Equilibrium was closer to 5 with the decline in population. This is what happens in a stagnant or declining population. These small events all around. It is why declining cities suck. It will happen in every industry.
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🦚Aristotle
🦚Aristotle@AristotleCrypto·
@steve_pemb @systemic_whisk @zhusu Yes, it’s theoretical but so is the posit that population decline = infrastructure issues. You say fertility rate isn’t ‘right’ but we’re no longer an agrarian society needing offspring as a survival strategy. Survival is trivial today with modern meds and service outsourcing.
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Zhu Su
Zhu Su@zhusu·
The idea that society needs a high birth rate only makes sense if you are a consumer goods company, a boomer hoping someone will buy a house for a much higher price, or planning to conscript people into war. Otherwise, lower population vs national resources will be a major edge. UBI will be cheaper and quality of life will be higher. You can also turn on and off the immigration spigot selectively.
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Steve Pemberton
Steve Pemberton@steve_pemb·
But also one not in production yet- so not necessarily available if any unforeseen hurdles emerge. And with no limiting principle should it actually come about. Should the fertility rate fall to 1, .5, .1 because we have the robots? The opening question was whether our quality of life would improve in a <2.1 birth rate society. If we live in a world of sentient robots at a ratio of 10 sentient robots to 1 human. Is that a good world or a dangerous world? Arguments for both sides I'm sure, but you're gambling it all if you need the robots to maintain your standard or living because you just won't embrace the right fertility rate rather than having them because they improved a healthy society's standard of living.
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Steve Pemberton
Steve Pemberton@steve_pemb·
When we use the word optimization we normally think our lives are getting better. For example, we used to sow farms by hand and got a yield of 100 crops. Now we use a tractor and we get 1000 crops. It did take quite a bit of effort to develop the tractor technology though. In a declining society, you currently have 1000 'crops' output. Now you work to develop the next type of tractor invention- the tractor 2.0. It is better, it is faster. It increases yield per acre. But because you don't have enough drivers, the tractor 2.0 still only produce 1000 crops. I have increased efficiency of each remaining worker. But I worked a part of my life for no increase in well being. That is what a declining population is.
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Losing Up
Losing Up@Matthew10803432·
@steve_pemb @zhusu Maintenance can be optimised. Efficiency gains reduce people hour requirements. But governments waste money to boost economy. They are not incentivized to seek savings / efficiency.
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Steve Pemberton
Steve Pemberton@steve_pemb·
@zachknicker @zhusu That's a one time bullet. You abandon on the tier 2 cities. A hundred years later with your less than 2.1 population growth, now you're abandoning formerly tier 1 cities. When do we say we've given up too much?
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Zach Knickerbocker
Zach Knickerbocker@zachknicker·
@steve_pemb @zhusu I know it’s a little sad to think about, but you can abandon cities/regions and return them to nature.
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Steve Pemberton
Steve Pemberton@steve_pemb·
This is a workaround to the argument. You're saying humans can have a birth rate less than 2.1 because we'll import human labor via robots. Sounds like you otherwise agree that a declining population of sentient creatures- artificial or natural- has a harder time maintaining a infrastructure built for a larger set.
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Steve Pemberton
Steve Pemberton@steve_pemb·
I'm not sure it is clear local governments are particularly good. They push housing problems onto neighbors via zoning, have constantly unique building codes and rules, love to jack up hotel taxes. It is a constant stream of pushing problems onto others for the sake of protecting your in group. Is Commerce City or Beverly Hills a great development in local governance? Conceptually I'd guess a local government should be the reasonable distance a person can drive for day to day life. So maybe local governments should be 50 mi radius from a particular center with no carve outs within it.
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Judge Glock
Judge Glock@judgeglock·
@AustinHassan1 @SwipeWright @CityJournal One has to pay taxes in some way, and since property taxes are the best and easiest local tax to adminster, they allow more leeway for government closer to the people. Centralizing taxes at the state level makes government more powerful.
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Judge Glock
Judge Glock@judgeglock·
I don't think people realize the extent of the current property tax revolt, but many states are seriously toying with ending property taxes altogether. Doing so would lead to a more centralized, overbearing government. We can limit the taxes instead. My latest @CityJournal
Judge Glock tweet media
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Erik Voorhees
Erik Voorhees@ErikVoorhees·
"AI is trained on your data"... this is not the real risk. It's a red herring, manufactured as The Concern because who cares that much. The real risk to you is not that tomorrow's model is trained on your data. The real risk is that ten thousand employees, hackers, and governments can access all your most personal and proprietary conversations today and forever. Privacy must be the default or humanity is seriously fucked.
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signüll
signüll@signulll·
the irony is that ai medical/legal info disproportionately helps people who can’t afford actual doctors & lawyers so the net distributional effect of this bill is protect the credentialed class, & screw the poor. which is really funny cuz these guys supposedly seem to be platforming on affordability.
More Perfect Union@MorePerfectUS

A New York bill would ban AI from answering questions related to several licensed professions like medicine, law, dentistry, nursing, psychology, social work, engineering, and more. The companies would be liable if the chatbots give “substantive responses” in these areas.

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Covie
Covie@covie_93·
Good thing Congress isn't alive to see this.
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Avi
Avi@AviFelman·
People (especially tech people) seem to have no grasp of history, which leads to incorrect conclusions. Are you aware that U.S Steel and DuPont had their factories requisitioned during WW1 and became de facto arms manufactures? That during WW2 Ford stopped most car production and built B-24 bombers at Willow Run. Even Coca-Cola was forced into directing supplies to the frontlines? This is simply standing operating procedure for democracies. The point of government is to provide defense for its people. The pushback has nothing to do with what’s being asked, but simply is a result of the demise of civic responsibility and love for this country.
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Dean W. Ball
Dean W. Ball@deanwball·
Think about the power Hegseth is asserting here. He is claiming that the DoD can force all contractors to stop doing business of any kind with arbitrary other companies. In other words, every operating system vendor, every manufacturer of hardware, every hyperscaler, every type of firm the DoD contracts with—all their services and products can be denied to any economic actor at will by the Secretary of War. This is obviously a psychotic power grab. It is almost surely illegal, but the message it sends is that the United States Government is a completely unreliable partner for any kind of business. The damage done to our business environment is profound. No amount of deregulatory vibes sent by this administration matters compared to this arson.
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth@SecWar

This week, Anthropic delivered a master class in arrogance and betrayal as well as a textbook case of how not to do business with the United States Government or the Pentagon. Our position has never wavered and will never waver: the Department of War must have full, unrestricted access to Anthropic’s models for every LAWFUL purpose in defense of the Republic. Instead, @AnthropicAI and its CEO @DarioAmodei, have chosen duplicity. Cloaked in the sanctimonious rhetoric of “effective altruism,” they have attempted to strong-arm the United States military into submission - a cowardly act of corporate virtue-signaling that places Silicon Valley ideology above American lives. The Terms of Service of Anthropic’s defective altruism will never outweigh the safety, the readiness, or the lives of American troops on the battlefield. Their true objective is unmistakable: to seize veto power over the operational decisions of the United States military. That is unacceptable. As President Trump stated on Truth Social, the Commander-in-Chief and the American people alone will determine the destiny of our armed forces, not unelected tech executives. Anthropic’s stance is fundamentally incompatible with American principles. Their relationship with the United States Armed Forces and the Federal Government has therefore been permanently altered. In conjunction with the President's directive for the Federal Government to cease all use of Anthropic's technology, I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a Supply-Chain Risk to National Security. Effective immediately, no contractor, supplier, or partner that does business with the United States military may conduct any commercial activity with Anthropic. Anthropic will continue to provide the Department of War its services for a period of no more than six months to allow for a seamless transition to a better and more patriotic service. America’s warfighters will never be held hostage by the ideological whims of Big Tech. This decision is final.

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