Merlin Strategy

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Merlin Strategy

Merlin Strategy

@StrategyMerlin

Polling and Strategic Insights | [email protected] | British Polling Council member

Katılım Nisan 2025
8 Takip Edilen719 Takipçiler
Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
Current Green voters are the most likely to group to say the Cost of Living is the most important issue facing the country
Scarlett Maguire tweet media
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag

Great writeup of the @StrategyMerlin @lfg_uk polling on energy, energy security and the cost of living. It might surprise some that Green voters are not emphatically against drilling in the North Sea, *but* the green coalition is changing as it expands, and prioritises Cost of Living far above everything else.

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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
Great writeup of the @StrategyMerlin @lfg_uk polling on energy, energy security and the cost of living. It might surprise some that Green voters are not emphatically against drilling in the North Sea, *but* the green coalition is changing as it expands, and prioritises Cost of Living far above everything else.
Ben Walker@BNHWalker

Even today's Green voters aren't emphatically against fracking. But more so I think a reflection of the Greens' growing appeal. Their newfound fellow travellers aren't ideologues, who knew. #Echobox=1774947168" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…

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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
The New Statesman
The New Statesman@NewStatesman·
The Greens who want to drill the North Sea Cost-of-living concerns are consuming our politics By @bnhwalker #Echobox=1774947168" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po…
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
National polling averages in the run up to 2022 locals compared to 2026 ( c David Cowling) March 2022: Cons - 35% Labour - 39% LD - 10% Greens - 6% Other - 116 March 2026: Cons - 18% Labour - 18% LD - 12% Greens - 16% Reform - 26% Other - 9%
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
I wrote about young women moving dramatically to the left and why it matters for the @NewStatesman earlier this year: newstatesman.com/politics/uk-po… It is no surprising that the Greens are making substantial headway with this group.
Luke Tryl@LukeTryl

Fascinating piece from Tom including some of our data - Polanski hasn’t just grown Green Party support he’s pivoted their appeal to a younger more female group who more than anything feel the status quo and social contract just isn’t working for them.

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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
*but* - UK withdrawal from NATO is unpopular with everyone, even Greens - legalisation of class A drugs also underwater with all groups, and net -27 with Labour voters
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
- a wealth tax is in overhwelmingly positively territory with every voter group - a 4 day working week is backed by all apart from Reform voters
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
Tomorrow's @StrategyMerlin newsletter looks at the Greens + how much further they can go. Greens' economic policies *are popular* even with Cons and Reform voters. Some of their other positions, less so... To get the full picture sign up here: merlinstrategy.com/#:~:text=Subsc
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
Meaning a majority of Green and Labour voters, as well as nearly *4 in 10 Conservative and Reform voters* disagree that 'it is more important for everyone to be better off, even if the rich get richer'
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
The public are split on whether they prioritise reducing inequality or growing the economy 53% of Labour voters and 64% of Green voters say it is more important to reduce inequality than it is to grow the economy.
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
Green voters and Reform voters are th most likely to prioritise money off their energy bills. 3 in 4 of Green and Reform supporters say that would be the most effective way to reduce the cost of living crisis.
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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
Even pre-Iran the government was under more pressure than they realised to give people money off their energy bills. Number 1 issue for public is the cost of living. How do they want it reduced? Not economic growth but direct gov intervention on energy bills...
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Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
I wrote about how the Greens overtaking Labour + the political consequences of that seemed inevitable in November last year for the @NewStatesman ⬇️
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag

We may soon reach a "crossover" point for Greens and Labour in the polls. This matters because polling does not just mirror parties’ performances, it can propel them. I wrote about how the Greens might reshape our political landscape for @NewStatesman newstatesman.com/politics/2025/…

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Merlin Strategy retweetledi
Scarlett Maguire
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag·
From November: Starmer's "me vs Farage" strategy not as straightforward for Labour as many think Last night's results proved why: 1) multi-party under FPTP means challenger unclear (and contested) 2) the left refusing to unify behind unpopular PM + gov, want "change" too
Scarlett Maguire@Scarlett__Mag

Will Labour's "Macron Strategy" work to hold onto power at the next election? I wrote for @Telegraph about some of the potential difficulties Labour may face trying to unite a vote against Reform telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/11/1…

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Keşfet

@lfg_uk @BNHWalker @C4Dispatches @lewis_goodall @Scarlett__Mag @NewStatesman @JulianGallie @elonmusk