Philosophy Bear

By God....

The old world is dying and the new world is also dying. The recent world is dying and the distant past is also dying. The future is dying as well. The monsters? Yes they’re also dying.

white americans came to the defense of the nonwhite communities and neighbors and they were martyred for it. kinda kills the notion the right wing has tried selling of racial incongruity upending america. the right is upending america.

"Post-Gospel" religious revelations are a very mysterious subject. Over a huge span of space and time, these doctrines retain an eerie similarity, as if they are from the same "angel." Tend to be anti-alcohol, iconoclastic, often allow polygamy, always mute the anti-materialism of traditional Christianity, never have religious celibacy, often favor beards, etc.

It is entirely possible that Bari Weiss has benefited more from wokeness and identity politics than any other person alive

Marx and Engels were belle lettrists before they were analysts and a lot of things people pick over for analytic value were probably conceived of as simply “hot lines”

your friend had a “breakthrough” at that retreat they felt amazing for 2 weeks and now they’re exactly the same almost no one tracks this

The fact that Rachel Dolezal never went anti-woke is lowkey moving

shout out to the guy on Reddit who’s now being threatened by the police to “stop poking around” for asking a Little Caesar’s why they had hundreds of google reviews mentioning an arcade

Imo, ppl can't be consistently both wicked to strangers and kind to their kin. One side is closer to who they really are and that side will bleed into the other.

one of the most disappointing things a woman can say is that she wants a man who isn't nice to strangers

four basic types of cop shows: 1. you won’t believe WHAT crimes we solve 2. you won’t believe HOW we solve crimes 3. you won’t believe WHERE we solve crimes 4. you won’t believe WHO we’re letting solve crimes

You realise reading this stuff that "suicidal empathy" and other idiot memes are not really anything new or interesting. just more weaselly about it

From a very young age I knew something was wrong with everyone else

The Economist has a great piece on strategy sportsbetting apps use to throttle smart bettors: ▫️Skilled players are “sharps” and given “stake restrictions” if they play too well (bets are capped). ▫️Rest of players called “Square”. ▫️In 2025, 4.3% of active UK accounts had a “stake factor” below the maximum bet allowance of 100%. ▫️Sportsbook will take bets with a profit margin as low as 4.5%. ▫️If they are able to do good “player-profiling” and keep the “sharps” from playing, the profit margin can reach 10-20%. ▫️As important as keeping out “sharps” is hooking “whales”, the deep-pocketed players that are willing to keep playing (and losing) large sums. ▫️Some “whales” are actually “sharps” in disguise, though. They’ll lose a bunch of bets to lull the sportsbook then put down a massive bet when they have an edge. ▫️While there is a risk of a “whale” being a “sharp”, the value of a real “whale” is so high that sportsbook will take the risk ▫️“In March 2024 PointsBet, raised its share of online sports-gambling revenue in New Jersey from 11% to 24% after wooing a single cash-spouting customer away from DraftKings.” (I can confirm that this wasn’t me). ▫️How sportsbook profile players: > Playing on Mobile is a good sign (where majority of people play) > Playing on PCs is a bad sign (it’s easier to compare odds and run models) > E-wallets are a red flag (sportsbooks prefer debit direct deposit that can attach a player to a single account; e-wallet is more anonymized and players can move cash between sportsbook more quickly to shop for the best odds) > Women bettors are a red flag (most bettors are men and “sharps” often use women to place bets) ▫️First wagers are a major tells (typical bettors go after top leagues — NFL, NBA, EPL — and do so near the start of the game). ▫️Popular bets for “squares”: who will win, scoring margins and how star player will perform (also, they love multi-leg parlays). ▫️“Sharps” go after less popular leagues and place bets as soon as odds are published, when they are most mispriced. They also go after less popular bets such as “pts in Q3” or stats from a random player (“Sharps” rarely do parlays and don’t withdrawal winnings often). ▫️One gambling consultant tells The Economist that “By the time a customer places his first bet, [sportsbooks] are 80-90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.” ▫️”Sportsbooks look at a player’s ‘closing-line value’ — a measure that compares the odds at which he bets with those available right before a match begins. If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.” ▫️Sportsbook mathematically monitor players and creates a new risk score every 6-8 hours (risk score = estimate of probability that customers will wind up unprofitable). ▫️E-wallet users, women and bets over $100 are flagged. These suspicious bettors are given 30% of maximum bet (and proven sharps only allowed 1%). ▫️High-skilled players will often get a “beard” to bet on their behalf. Most sportsbooks ban this practice but it is widespread. ▫️Safest “beards” are close friends and relatives because you can mostly rely on them to pay out any winnings. The “beards” try to look like degens (playing at 3am, bet non-stop and doing ridiculous parlays) before placing a winning bet. ▫️The most effective strategy for “sharps” is “whale-flipping”. Find a losing gambler, then ask to put a (likely) large winning bet amongst their pool of guaranteed losers. ▫️Once “sharps” max out the people they can use as “beards”, they tap professional networks called “movers”. These “movers” employ a bunch of “mules” who can put down bets on the behalf of the network. Low-end movers charge 10-20% while high-end movers charge 50% of winnings. *** Lots other great details here: economist.com/christmas-spec…

You're not wrong - a storm *IS* blowing from Paradise. Here's why that's bad news: • The angel would like to stay, awaken the dead and make whole what's been smashed. But its wings aren't strong enough. • What we see as a chain of events? Actually, it's one single catastrophe.

the dialectic is that dogs are cops but wouldn’t if they understood it whereas cats aren’t but would

@scullyfawn If I was capable of caring about people I spoke with for five minutes as a medical receptionist, I am sure therapists who spend countless hours with a person can care.