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This is my long-term base case for $BTC USD is going to zero when priced in sats May or may not be more pain in store for hodlers but don't get too cute trying to play the dollar long

@asembler7 @MoonOr_Dust People say "death cross" to mean any moving average cross, but it specifically refers to a daily 200/50 SMA cross. If you look at bitcoin dominance ex-stables, which imo is what everyone should be looking at, it likely rug-pulls the weekly 50/100 SMA cross.

@SuperBitcoinBro @MoonOr_Dust W vs M. When btc.d and orders.d are heading to a death cross it's not a good sign. June will be bear time imo

$BTC looks like it wants to sweep up the liquidity around $75K. Better to get this over with sooner than later, so it can start moving towards the larger pool of overhead liquidity into month end.

@btcjammy Possibly more like late 2023 than 2022.

@btcjammy MSTR just closed its 6th straight week above the 200 SMA after reclaiming it, with what looks like a potential inverse H&S. Quite a bit more constructive than 2022, if it can hold the line around here.

$BTC 3-day When bitcoin loses the 200 SMA, bad things happen. When it reclaims the 50 SMA, good things happen.

@EarthHODL Just stack sats and chill, imo.

@SuperBitcoinBro So BTC $400k+ in 2027? Time to dump everything into far OTM IBIT and MSTR options.

Broadening wedges on software $IGV historically precede massive runs in $BTC. But what I want to draw your attention to is the period of chop in orange, before the run. Even after the bottom is in, your patience and conviction are still tested. You will wonder why you are holding bitcoin instead of stocks. Then when it exits the chop, you'll wonder why you bothered to buy anything besides bitcoin.

@MoonOr_Dust Death cross? BTC.D just had a golden cross on April 30th. Daily 50 SMA above the 200 SMA.

@SuperBitcoinBro Agreed. We’ll push higher with $btc.d headed for its Death Cross

@expertdr @Tradermayne Depends on your rate, and you can always pay extra to pay it off faster. But how much do wages and prices go up over 20+ years? If you pay it off slowly, inflation is working for you instead of against you. Often better to invest the extra than pay extra on a cheap mortgage.

@SuperBitcoinBro @Tradermayne 30 years means first 22 years interest is over 50%. The ripoff is waaay bigger. 84% first year. Look at amortization tables so there is no confusion here. So its not better at all

American friends. Your mortgage rates are actually locked in for the entire 30 years?

@Stealthct_Storm It lost it back in November, and we did get a large move down.

@SuperBitcoinBro isn't losing 1D MA200 usually result in a larger move down?

@BankerBros Roughly six months.

@SuperBitcoinBro Great chart! What’s the typical duration of those past orange box? Thanks

@zenbynature91 This is common in the early stages. Equities rip while bitcoin chops, and people wish they had gone into equities instead. Then bitcoin slingshots past, and you'll wish you had just put everything in bitcoin.

@SuperBitcoinBro I don't know man when all equities indexes are Green Day by day and BTC doesn't have steam, when they turn red BTC is red, doesn't show any sign of health

@R89Capital 2023 and 2024 were great years. 2025 was gay. 2026... TBD.

BTC has been a disappointment to everyone in the last few years that's just a fact

Bitcoin charts on CT are unbearable rn. It's probably always been that way, and I'm not excluding myself from that in the early days. It's basically max zoomed out trendlines, multi year triangles, weird indicators with random settings... very much decoupled from actual TA.

@Scent_Of_Brand AI is not good at this kind of analysis. It will pretend to have answers it does not. Look at the chart for yourself.

@SuperBitcoinBro Grok: „ No, this is not true – after the 50/100 MA (50-day moving average above 100-day) crossover, there have been further declines and continuation of the downtrend or false signals.„

$BTC daily Unbelievably clean price action. A bullish cross of the 50/100 EMA is approaching. As you already guessed, this only happens after the bottom is in. If we reclaim the February high, then we are not just going to test the 200 MA again, we're blasting through it.

@MisterBitty_ Keep me posted. And congrats on nailing the pico bottom of this morning's pullback with that comment.

@SuperBitcoinBro Update not going to be nice to you bro.

@cr89sc I am referring to a cross from bear market territory, i.e. below the weekly 50 SMA/EMA. The cross you are referring to occurred above the weekly 50 / daily 200. And it was after a 62,000% gain. If you think that's where we are, I'll take the other side of that trade all day.

@SuperBitcoinBro Look at 2014.. man, stop to lie!

@pyosaekyung Scroll my profile and look at the abundance of evidence on multiple time frames. No certainties in markets, either way, but the weight of the evidence is heavily stacked.

@SuperBitcoinBro 🤣 nope we are not bottom is not in

@Duffey7Tom Seared into memory. Pain is the best teacher.

@SuperBitcoinBro i think it'll play out similarly.. nice find