Survation.

NEW: Iran Poll, what do 2024 voters think? The results from our latest poll on the ongoing conflict in Iran demonstrate the splits along party lines. We found: - Almost half (48%) of 2024 Reform UK voters support military action in Iran by the United States and Israel - A majority of Liberal Democrats and Greens, as well as progressives generally, oppose military action - Whilst a clear plurality of Labour voters (47%) oppose military action, Conservatives were split (37% oppose, 35% support) 🧵1/7

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If an anti-Reform coalition comes together for the benefit of Labour, then the chances of the SNP winning a majority begin to look slim. For more analysis: survation.com/the-snp-are-on… Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl… 5/5

Similarly, most (58%) viewed Anas Sarwar as a better potential First Minister than Malcolm Offord (42%). 4/5

NEW: Scottish Parliament Voting Intention (Constituency Vote) SNP 35% (-2) RFM 19% (+2) LAB 19% (+1) CON 11% (-1) LD 8% (-1) GRN 8% (+2) F/w 16th-23rd March 2026. Changes vs 25/02/2026 Read more: survation.com/the-snp-are-on… 🧵1/5

Following the Gorton and Denton by-election, we polled residents on behalf of Datapraxis to understand the dynamics leading to the historic result. Survation found: • Just over half of voters (53%) decided who they would vote for in the last two weeks of the campaign • Two-fifths (41%) of Labour voters considered voting for Hannah Spencer, whilst a third (36%) of Greens thought about voting for Angeliki Stogia • Had Andy Burnham been allowed to stand, we estimate he would have taken two-fifths (43%) of Spencer's voters and almost a fifth (17%) of Goodwin's We go through the results in LabourList: labourlist.org/2026/03/the-by… 8/8

In March, we polled the public twice on their attitudes towards the United States' and Israel's military action in Iran. The data showed: • Two-fifths (41%) oppose the conflict, with less than 3 in 10 (27%) supporting it • Looking to the future for Iran, a plurality of the public (45%) feared for a situation reminiscent of Iraq post-2003, with long-term instability • Across all 2024 voters, a majority believed that Iran was justified in retaliating Read more on the first poll: survation.com/public-mood-on… Catch the follow-up poll: x.com/Survation/stat… 7/8

Survation March Newsletter: From Local to Geopolitical Our recent work has shone a light on public attitudes towards the conflict in Iran, as well as the views of voters in Gorton and Denton. Other topics have included the BBC charter consultation, the concerns of employees across the country, and the use of facial recognition technology by law enforcement. A selection of highlights from the last month are below. Read in full: mailchi.mp/survation/surv… Subscribe to our mailing list here: eepurl.com/mOK8P 🧵 1/8

New analysis of our Gorton and Denton post-by-election poll for @DatapraxisEU is now in @LabourList👇 Key findings: - 60% of Goodwin voters had decided who they would vote for soon after the by-election was announced, compared to just 37% of Stogia's supporters and 44% of Spencer's - Reform UK voters were also more likely to be unwavering, with 70% never considering voting for another candidate during the campaign - Had Burnham been the Labour candidate, he could have won 43% of Spencer's votes and 17% of Goodwin's Our data suggests Labour's decision to block Burnham split the progressive vote, with major implications. Read more: labourlist.org/2026/03/the-by…

There is widespread public support for the BBC being given long-term protection, an opinion poll shared exclusively with PolHome suggests A new @Survation survey for campaign group 38 Degrees found backing for the BBC charter being put on a permanent footing across different voter and age groups Lisa Nandy this week said ending the BBC's 10-year renewal cycle would help protect it from "culture wars" politicshome.com/news/article/p…

Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl… 7/7

On the other hand, half (51%) of respondents noted that they considered Iran to be justified to retaliate. By 2024 vote, we found: - A plurality of all voters thought they were justified to retaliate - Conservatives were most likely to say that they were justified to retaliate, but only against US and Israeli forces (45%) - Labour supporters were most likely to report that Iran was unjustified to retaliate (31%) - Green Party voters were most likely to say that retaliation was justified, including against targets in the wider Middle East (30%) 6/7

NEW: Iran Poll, what do 2024 voters think? The results from our latest poll on the ongoing conflict in Iran demonstrate the splits along party lines. We found: - Almost half (48%) of 2024 Reform UK voters support military action in Iran by the United States and Israel - A majority of Liberal Democrats and Greens, as well as progressives generally, oppose military action - Whilst a clear plurality of Labour voters (47%) oppose military action, Conservatives were split (37% oppose, 35% support) 🧵1/7