taylor

795 posts

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taylor

taylor

@tdavidson

fractional CFO for venture funds & founder of Hemrock/Foresight (ex-VC, ex-consultant, ex-product, ex-PE, ex-photographer)

PGH Katılım Ağustos 2007
52 Takip Edilen5.5K Takipçiler
taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
where it ended up
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
when I spend 100 hours writing code to automate 2 hours of manual work
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
@andrewchen even I'm spending more time writing code than building spreadsheets
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andrew chen
andrew chen@andrewchen·
prediction re the end of spreadsheets AI code gen means that anything that is currently modeled as a spreadsheet is better modeled in code. You get all the advantages of software - libraries, open source, AI, all the complexity and expressiveness. think about what spreadsheets actually are: they're business logic that's trapped in a grid. Pricing models, financial forecasts, inventory trackers, marketing attribution - these are all fundamentally *programs* that we've been writing in the worst possible IDE. No version control, no testing, no modularity. Just a fragile web of cell references that breaks when someone inserts a row. The only reason spreadsheets won is that the barrier to writing real software was too high. A finance analyst could learn =VLOOKUP in an afternoon but couldn't learn Python in a month. AI code gen flips that equation completely. Now the same analyst describes what they want in plain English, and gets a real application - with a database, a UI, error handling, the works. The marginal effort to go from "spreadsheet" to "software" just collapsed to near zero. this is a massive unlock. There are ~1 billion spreadsheet users worldwide. Most of them are building janky software without realizing it. When even 10% of those use cases migrate to actual code, you get an explosion of new micro-applications that look nothing like traditional software. Internal tools that used to live in a shared Google Sheet now become real products. The "shadow IT" spreadsheet that runs half the company's operations finally gets proper infrastructure. The interesting second-order effect: the spreadsheet was the great equalizer that let non-technical people build things. AI code gen is the *next* great equalizer, but the ceiling is 100x higher. We're about to see what happens when a billion knowledge workers can build real software.
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Former MM PE Backed CFO
Former MM PE Backed CFO@cfo_mm·
Let me know your thoughts. Anything here worth iterating on or is this crap? I have 2 hrs into this at this point……..
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
another day, another AI model building company downloading all of my models as training data
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
same goes with financial forecasts. beware of models created by AI that leverage business logic you don't fully understand, as the unknown unknowns could get you. foresight.is/ai-models/
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
I should write a series of posts of all the things your favorite AI gets wrong in cap table calculations and structures. (and then would AI get stop making those mistakes?)
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
opportunity overhead
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Sahil Lavingia
Sahil Lavingia@shl·
Our legal firm is now taking 50% of their billable rate in Gumroad equity Why? 1. AI is going to take their job 2. Taking less upfront cash delays that 3. Equity + dividends means they’ll keep making money when it does
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
@investing_law I'll second that. I've recently received many more requests for models for open-ended funds. (that said, at the end of the day most of them go back to pursuing closed-end funds)
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The Investments Lawyer (Michael Huseby)
Open-ended funds are so hot right now 🔥 Many GPs are considering evergreen vehicles instead of forming sequential 10-year closed-end funds. ⚠️ However, if you're in an illiquid asset class (real estate, private equity, venture), you need to be extra careful with open-ended funds. You don't want LP redemption requests to create a run on the bank, where you have to fire-sale assets. 📉 Most open-ended funds have lock-up periods and gates to throttle redemptions and help the GP with liquidity management.
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Boring_Business
Boring_Business@BoringBiz_·
Your analyst sends you a draft of the LBO model and this is the first formula you see What is your reaction?
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
@lessin curious, what book is that?
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sam lessin 🏴‍☠️
The internet has dramatically changed the patterns of human storytelling ... and as my 7 year old's bedtime story reminds us, that changes everything.
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
@gumroad @matthewvgrogan Please reconsider this. It makes it much harder for sellers to help people understand what Gumroad is and how it works. Also, please tell creators before doing stuff like this, finding out days later without notice isn’t a great experience.
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Gumroad
Gumroad@gumroad·
@matthewvgrogan We’ve removed our help docs in favor of in-app live chat! Real-time “help docs”
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Matthew Grogan
Matthew Grogan@matthewvgrogan·
@gumroad I can't seem to get to help.gumroad.com - it keeps redirecting to the homepage. Can you get that up ASAP or give me an alternative URL?
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taylor
taylor@tdavidson·
important to know if you're a maker or a taker in a situation
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