Tom Warwick

@aDissentient Will take a read. Looks interesting.

@tejw201 sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Wind generation forecast for certain times tomorrow is, to the nearest whole number of gigawatts, zero.

@aDissentient Source?

@tejw201 Cost of wind has been rising.

@aDissentient You would have said the same about solar or wind 5 years ago... Anyhow, capex is only one part of the equation. Early adoption of storage accesses these high value, infrequent occurrences. The new wave displaces longer term capacity/products/services... then the next wave 👋

@tejw201 At what cost? Batteries and hydrogen are clearly insanely expensive. But if wind is going to hit zero output then we need to buy enough storage capacity to meet peak demand.

@aDissentient Investment lags behind design. You know how many ESS systems are currently on order to mop up that BM issue/opportunity. Technology solves issues.

@tejw201 We have a non-negligible loss of load probability tomorrow. We had prices in the balancing mechanism hitting £4000/MWh a few weeks back. So much for system design.

@aDissentient Actually, probably more insignificant - as the frequency of new max generation figures outline a trend of increased penetration... your post might as well just say “tomorrow it’s not windy, which could have been - and has been - predicted”...

@aDissentient You could do with brushing up on A-level statistics. Wind power can be described by a Weibull distribution. At some point -near- 0s occur. You design Systems around the frequency of that. 🤦🏻‍♂️ it’s as insignificant as when left wing media announce freak highs

@Metropixdesk @HookerRoger @BBCNews @HeathrowAirport @bbclaurak Yes, for sure.

@tejw201 @HookerRoger @BBCNews @HeathrowAirport @bbclaurak Hi Tom, Can Metro Online please use these images for a news story today? We will credit your Twitter handle. Many thanks

@BBCNews pop down to @HeathrowAirport terrible scenes in Terminal 2...dangerous.

@oralbuchanan @HookerRoger @BBCNews @HeathrowAirport @bbclaurak Yes, for sure. Permissions granted.

@Mailonlinepics For sure. Go ahead.

@tejw201 Morning Tom, are we able to use your pictures for the Mail Online with credit please? Thank you

@HookerRoger @BBCNews @HeathrowAirport @bbclaurak What’s the point in quarantine hotels, if Heathrow collect everyone in a room for 5 hours with no real segregation before quarantine. I spent 5 hours next to a woman who was flagged as Red list and hastily taken away at the final desk. Heathrow’s failure to plan & install systems

@HookerRoger @BBCNews @HeathrowAirport @bbclaurak @BBCNews 5hrs to clear UK Border at Heathrow last night. 1000s crowded in, many confused Red List arrivals mixed with general arrivals before&after T2 staff compeltly lost control. Everyone sharing phones due to flat batteries. Elderly people lying on the floor. Chaos

I don't understand why the boarder control queue is 3-5 hours long here at @HeathrowAirport with 1000s of people in one small space....this makes NO SENSE!

@HookerRoger @HeathrowAirport @UKBorder @BBCNews

@HeathrowAirport @UKBorder Really?

@HeathrowAirport @fatRicky_Martin @BBCNews

@fatRicky_Martin Hi Neil, we sincerely apologise for this and for the inconvenience caused once again. We assure you we are doing all we can to have passengers seen to by an officer and are working with UK Border Force to reduce any waiting times as quickly as possible. Thank you.

@HeathrowAirport @GOVUK @UKBorder British passport holder arrived legitimately from HEL after business. I’ve been queueing T2 for two hrs and maybe moved a ¼ of the line. This is appalling logistical organisation. It’s not like we can’t forecast pinch points.

@HeathrowAirport Delays due to the fact there are only physically about 5 desks to service all of the Uk and EU arrivals, now the e-gates are useless. It’s been nearly 4 hours now...

@tejw201 Hi, we are sorry you are experiencing long queues at immigration. Border Force is currently experiencing some delays as they ensure passenger compliance with the UK Government’s latest travel requirements. (1/2)

@HeathrowAirport Shameful UK border right now. 3.5hrs of queues in tightly packed rows. No distancing. Staff have started handing out water to older people.

@NotionalGrid Ah, makes sense. Still v high though! Due to optionality with DC? Or more of a temporary blip do you think?

@tejw201 Apologies exuberant exclamation for an error noticed too late - actual peak ~£17/MW/hr

Spicy, latest FFR auction results for February show peak clearing price of £79.9/MW/hr

GB: The July FFR tender round for activity in August saw a volume-weighted average price for Dynamic FFR of £6.59/MW/h (down from £6.92/MW/h average last month) whilst for Static it was £2.29/MW/h (up from £2.23/MW/h average last month). ^CD

In Canada only 16% of oil reserves can be produced with Brent crude at today's price of $40 a barrel econ.trib.al/lG6q1bm