@BankYong @touchesinthebox What app is that? Mine got graded a loss
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Michael Sandler
1.1K posts
@touchesinthebox Thanks! Fotmob had 81 for hwang last night and pb graded 80+ as a win and 84+ as a loss, so I figured that was probably correct too
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@terpsmike In the past WhoScored has been what I’ve used to monitor/track.
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@touchesinthebox What site does propbuilder use for official player pass stats?
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Pass props I think are value:
Hwang In-beom... 72+ -118, 76+ +112, 80+ +150, 84+ +198... substitution risk here as he is just getting back from an injury, but if he plays 75+ I think this is really strong unless Korea score early.
Seoul Young-woo... 46+ -121, 50+ +121.
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Michael Sandler retweetledi
Pam Bondi's portrait was tossed in the trash at the Department of Justice after Trump firing 👀 tmz.me/g6XfFwK
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@PlusEVAnalytics It's definitely priced in to totals, just at first glance I'm not sure it is as priced in to spreads like 5-9ish, where it should be, would have to look closer
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There might be a grain of truth in this nonsense. Teams will foul with 0.0001% win prob in the tournament where in the same spot in the regular season they'd throw in the towel. Is this priced in to the ML/spread relationship? Does a tourney +8.5 team have the same ML as a regular season +8.5 team?
John Rich@JohnRichTV
Miami +8.5 is exactly why it’s insane to bet spreads in college basketball. There’s just zero correlation between the final score and how the game went
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@OffDaHook35 @SimplyAJ10 Love love love me some @SimplyAJ10, but that caption says 2004. Unless he used a time machine to purchase some swag, skrillex is rocking Miguel tejada there...
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@touchesinthebox Ignore the trolls and keep grinding, real ones know and appreciate
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People are upset about this (I don't care so much).
My thing is this photo angle and vibe looks more like one of those jailhouse interviews.
Josh Pate@JoshPateCFB
President Trump will join the show Sunday
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@PlusEVAnalytics Another way to think about it: by far the two most common point differentials: 3 and 7, are odd.
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Reminder to anyone tempted by plus money on even because "the total could be anything and half of the numbers are even":
The total is even if and only if the margin of victory is even.
So this is really a bet between the game landing 1,3,5,7,etc and 2,4,6,8,etc.
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Where are folks watching the Ravens game in Baltimore tomorrow?
Is there a Panther's fan club up this way?
I'm in full fan mode tomorrow!
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I'm not normally a spelling Nazi but "parley" really sends me for some reason.
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@AmberGambling When Lehigh and Norfolk st, both 15 seeds, beat Duke and Missouri within about ten min of each other in 2012
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I have been looking ahead and thinking tournament and looking for past games where a heavy fave lost surprisinly. If you have a game you remember as a classic cinderella moment, pls lmk so I can like do stuff with it and in return I will share back something thanx u
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@PlusEVAnalytics but I feel dumb because if that were true *someone* in an nfl front office would have figured that out
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@PlusEVAnalytics No one ever does it, but what do you think about going for 2 when you score a td to go up 7 in the 4th q? My rough math says the reward of up 9 vs 8 (and making it two possessions) is greater than the risk of 7 vs 8,
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He's right of course, but it makes soooo little difference. You need two TD, one with a PAT and one with a 2PC. Miss either the PAT or the 2PC and you're not winning without a miracle, regardless of in what order you attempt them. What we're debating is the size of that miracle.
Greg Olsen@gregolsen88
The 2 pt conversation is this Philly trailed by 15 That’s a 2 score game slightly less than 50% of time (2pt success rate) It’s a 3 score game the remaining % You want to know as early as possible how many possessions you need. That’s why you go for 2 down 9 It’s not debatable at all
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@lindseyyok Certainly helps when the ref doesn't call offensive PI 🤷
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@touchesinthebox I've followed you since 2018, way way way way way more good than bad, keep your head up and keep grinding
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I am pretty sure this is the worst month I’ve had betting since I’ve been posting picks on Twitter, and that’s like 8 years worth of tracking at this point, pretty much wipe out half the year’s profit in 30 days. Brutal stretch, my apologies to those who have been tailing.
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@PlusEVAnalytics @EnvoyyHS No, and that's why this is so asinine. Also, probably mean things like the wnba dildo nets, but again, those were only offshore anyways so 🤷
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@EnvoyyHS Yeah I thought of that but has that ever even existed in the legal market?
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Who's betting on player injuries, fan safety and misconduct? Is there a dark-web version of draftkings I don't know about?
Tom Pelissero@TomPelissero
Prohibited wager categories for NFL games include: • Inherently Objectionable: Markets or bets that are inherently or designed to be derogatory or inflammatory, or otherwise based on subject matter against public policy (e.g., player injuries, fan safety, misconduct, etc.). • Officiating-Related: Markets or bets based on officials or officiating (e.g., officiating assignments, penalties, replays, etc.). • Determinable by One Person in One Play: Based on outcomes 100% determinable by one person in one play (e.g., kicker to miss FG attempt, QB’s first pass to be incomplete, etc.). • Pre-Determined: Pre-determined outcomes directly related to on-field competition (e.g., Will QB start this week? Will team’s first play from scrimmage be a run or pass, etc.).
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@HarryDCrane @CircaSports The can't change it once submitted is silly, the Saturday deadline is strictly PR. They like that they can publish the picks Saturday.
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Rules are rules but two rules that make no sense on @CircaSports survivor
1- The mid Saturday deadline is too early. Make it Sunday.
2- can’t change a pick once it’s submitted
Circa Sports@CircaSports
There were a combined 98 “No picks” in #CircaSurvivor weeks 1 through 8. But the past two weeks, the contestants finally realized that you MUST get your pick in before the deadline, no matter the circumstances. Weeks 9 & 10, ZERO “No Picks”
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@JoshMalina Because the bear is catholic and the pope shits in the woods
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