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brett goldstein
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brett goldstein
@thatguybg
founder/designer @microHQ | investor @launchhouse | ex-Google cognitive scientist | sprezzatura
sf / nyc Katılım Aralık 2011
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@thatguybg My micro just found 3 great emails I needed to follow up
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@aakashgupta america historically has had this same motivation that israel has
that we’re building something together here
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Israel breaks this chart in half.
GDP per capita comparable to Germany. Housing costs higher than anywhere in Europe. One of the most educated populations on earth. TFR of 2.9, nearly double the OECD average.
The correlation between income and fertility is real, but calling it a "self-defeating mechanism" confuses the map for the territory. Income is a proxy for a bundle of things that happen simultaneously when countries modernize: urbanization, female education, career optionality, contraceptive access, and a cultural shift from family-as-economic-unit to individual-as-meaning-unit.
Israel has all of those inputs. And secular Jewish women there still have near-replacement fertility of ~2.0. College-educated Israeli women out-reproduce non-educated European women. The gap between Israeli and European fertility is actually wider among the educated than the uneducated.
What Israel has that Germany, Japan, and South Korea don't: a shared sense that building the next generation is the point. Social solidarity so thick that grandparents live within driving distance of nearly every child. A culture where having three kids at 35 with a graduate degree is normal, not sacrificial.
Sweden, Germany, and South Korea have all spent enormous sums on pro-natal benefits. Their TFRs: 1.42, 1.36, and 0.73. You cannot subsidize your way out of a culture that has deprioritized reproduction. The mechanism here isn't economic. It's existential. Countries that believe they're building something have kids. Countries optimizing for individual optionality don't.
The "final boss" framing makes this feel like physics. It isn't. It's a story about what cultures decide matters.
Arthur MacWaters@ArthurMacwaters
the belief that birth rate is going down because of cost of living is statistically false birth rate drops most after countries become affluent it’s a self-defeating mechanism this is the final boss of civilization and has not yet been beaten
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@thatguybg Depends on context
But simply said “Überflieger”. In the context of a SMB/SME/startup company it might refer to a hidden Champion aka “Versteckter Champion”
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@wolfejosh unfortunately most are not as honest as this guy is about how little they know
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Literally everyone who says “Genocide” is either
A) wittingly knowingly lying to hate on Israel
B) unintentionally useful idiot moron
ask any the question + most are B) like this guy and admitted they give “retarded” answers and just parrot what others say other say others say
Nick Matau@nick_matau
“Israel is committing genocide.” I asked him one simple question. He couldn’t answer. Then admitted he hasn’t even looked into it and is just repeating what he’s heard.
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@thatguybg Did you go to run into people or did you go to get work done?
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@martymadrid how does anyone get work done here
brett goldstein@thatguybg
SFing so hard right now
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@thatguybg South Park (Blue Bottle) and The Ferry Building (upstairs)
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@JayaGup10 another banger
but you have to stop hacking into our internal strategy docs jaya
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@thatguybg Shack 15, Frontier tower, WeWork Salesforce tower, St Frank coffee on Folsom st
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@thatguybg Blue Bottle South Park
CoffeeShop | Bakery + Micro-Roastery Dogpatch
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@jordihays had to check the date on this post like 3 times
congrats. yall are legends and OpenAI is lucky to have you
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@thatguybg shack15
wework salesforce tower
wework 535 mission
south park blue bottle
saints frank coffee soma
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@markpinc I appreciate you speaking out
crazy that before oct 7 we thought this crap would never come to america
let alone to our own communities
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