AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️@AISafetyMemes
Why are Metaculus markets now putting a 25% chance on AGI in the next 1.5 years?
Shit like this:
“Hey GPT4-V, this is what’s in front of me. Let’s step by step find the nearest supermarket using only logical reasoning.”
Yes, that’s right - GPT4 was able to figure out how to direct a guy, step by step, to the nearest supermarket just by looking at a photo of a street, then using logical reasoning - piecing together clues from the tiny details in the roads, the signs, the cars.
“This is the end of the road, should I go left or right?”
This is why Geoffrey Hinton said in the next 5 years they may be better at reasoning than us, we will be the second smartest species on earth, and “they might take over.”
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei thinks we're 2-3 years away from ~AGI. This is very roughly the same ballpark as OpenAI.
GoogleDeepMind's Chief AGI Scientist thinks 30% chance in 3 years.
We don’t have much time left.
If you’re still a stochastic parrot person at this point, what say ye about this example?