T.A.W. ⚒️🪖⚔️

Weather forecast probabilities, such as a "30% chance of rain," can be a source of confusion. This percentage does not mean that it will definitely rain with a 30% likelihood, nor does it mean that 30% of the area will get rain, or that it will rain for 30% of the time. Instead, the probability of precipitation (PoP) is calculated by multiplying two factors: the forecaster's confidence that precipitation will occur and the percentage of the area that is expected to be affected by precipitation[8]. For example, if a forecaster is 80% certain that rain will develop and expects it to cover 50% of the forecast area, the PoP would be 40% for any given location within that area. Alternatively, if the forecaster is 40% certain that a widespread area with 100% coverage will be affected by rain, this would also result in a 40% PoP for any given location[8]. The key takeaway is that the percentage represents a combination of the likelihood of precipitation occurring somewhere within the forecast area and the extent of the area that could be affected. It's a statistical measure, and it's important to understand that it's not a straightforward prediction but rather an expression of uncertainty[2][4][6][8]. Citations: [1] image.jpg pplx-res.cloudinary.com/image/upload/t… [2] A 30% chance of rain doesn't mean there is a 30% chance it will rain nationalpost.com/news/world/wha… [3] What is a Probability Forecast? worldclimateservice.com/2021/09/08/pro… [4] Fact check: Viral post errs on meaning of '30% chance of rain' usatoday.com/story/news/fac… [5] Using probabilities in weather forecasting blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2012/10/04/usi… [6] What does a 30 percent chance of rain actually mean on the weather forecast? indy100.com/viral/30-perce… [7] Enhancing Weather Information with Probability Forecasts ametsoc.org/index.cfm/ams/… [8] PRECIPITATION PROBABILITY weather.gov/media/pah/Weat… [9] Probabilistic Forecasting - A Primer nssl.noaa.gov/users/brooks/p… [10] What Does It Mean When They Say There Is 30 Percent Chance Of Rain? iflscience.com/what-does-it-m… [11] 7.5 Weather predictions (EMG58) siyavula.com/read/za/mathem… [12] What does this forecast mean? metoffice.gov.uk/weather/guides… [13] study.com homework.study.com/explanation/ho… [14] Access Restricted myfox8.com/weather/ask-al… [15] Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabili… By Perplexity at perplexity.ai/search/dc8f2d2…

Lunch? Breakfast? WTF my friend???

Hace varios años encontré en la calle un candado de combinación bastante bonito. En lugar de tirarlo o dejarlo ahí, decidí llevármelo con una misión muy absurda, pero muy mía: intentar abrirlo por fuerza bruta, probando combinación por combinación. No era algo urgente. No era algo importante. Era más bien uno de esos pequeños proyectos personales que no tienen ningún sentido práctico, pero que por alguna razón se quedan viviendo en la cabeza. Decidí empezar desde el 9999 e ir bajando. Cada cierto tiempo, cuando me acordaba del candado, lo tomaba y probaba los siguientes 100 números. Un día del 9999 al 9900. Otro día del 9899 al 9800. Y así, con una paciencia completamente innecesaria, pero también muy satisfactoria. Hoy lo volví a agarrar. La última vez me había quedado en el 3200. Giré los números al 3199, jalé… y se abrió. Después de tantos años, el candado finalmente cedió. La parte absurda es que, si hubiera decidido ir hacia arriba en lugar de hacia abajo, probablemente lo habría abierto muchísimo antes. Pero también siento que eso le quitaba parte de la gracia. Así que hoy tengo una sensación extraña de logro. Pequeña, inútil, pero muy real. Abrí un candado que nadie me pidió abrir, después de años de insistencia ocasional. Y no sé por qué, pero sentí que este era el lugar correcto para compartirlo. No sé de quién es el texto, pero quiero fomentar la lectura. ¡Feliz viernes!

No matter what car you have. It should take you places. You must enjoy the freedom of travelling in your personal transport. Go anywhere. Stop anywhere. Drive throughout the night with a couple of Iced Americanos. Park and sleep in the car. Sometimes the best memories are not made in luxury hotels. They are made inside a car munching miles… Your car should take you places. Not just physically, but emotionally too. ❤️

I am pleased to announce that, after a long night of intense negotiations mediated by me — the smartest, toughest, most TERRIFIC CHIHUAHUA in the history of the Animal Kingdom — the HORSE @horsetwting and the COW @cowincrisis have reached a FULL AND IMMEDIATE PEACE DEAL ! This fight was started by the Horse and the Cow and it exploded into a total MESS — trending HUGE on X right now, with every animal taking sides and FAKE ANIMAL NEWS making it ten times worse! They were really going at it hard, folks — hoof-stomping, mooing accusations, complete DISASTER — but I got them both on the line and said, “Listen, we’re not doing this anymore. Stop the nonsense RIGHT NOW or the whole kingdom loses!” I used my tremendous BARKs, unmatched loyalty, and sharp negotiating skills that nobody else in the Animal Kingdom possesses — believe me! — to bring COMMON SENSE and REAL UNITY. The Horse has agreed to respect the Cow’s incredible milk production and natural fertilizer that keeps the fields greener than ever, and the Cow has agreed to honor the Horse’s unbelievable speed and power that moves the entire farm forward faster than anything else. This is HISTORIC! The barns are now safer, the fields richer, and every single animal — from the tiniest mouse to the biggest bull — is going to be WINNING like never before! We are going to MAKE THE ANIMAL KINGDOM GREAT AGAIN! M.A.K.G.A.! THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER. ~ President Chihuahua

Engineers: 5.99 is 6 Programming languages: 5.99 is 5 Math: 5.99 is 5.99 Excel: 5.99 is May 1999

Me every time someone I dont even know beats a deadly disease

Twitter right now 🐴🐄🐑🐓🐐🦈🐳🐷

I never should have open X account for my farm animals. I'm having a hard time controlling 'em .

This is hilarious 🤣🤣🤣🤣

2 months ago, a buyer from Delhi came to our factory. He walked through the entire setup, criticized whatever he could, and spoke like he was going to do big business with us. He liked our product, asked for samples and full specs, and we shared everything without delay. We quoted INR 410 for 10,000 pieces, payment in cash. Then the calls started. Not with clear decisions, but with small complaints about things that did not really matter. While we responded properly and took in whatever feedback we could, we also made it clear what we could change and what we could not. Then came the haggling. He countered at INR 390. After some back and forth, he finally confirmed at INR 400. He said “done,” asked for the PI, we sent it, and then he went completely silent for a week. No calls, no messages. During that same time, all material costs went up. Then suddenly, he called again and said he was ready to confirm, but now he wanted only 3,000 pieces and also asked for a 4% cash discount (even though the quotation was already based on cash), as if he was doing us a favor. Work was slow and we had some stock, so after thinking it through, we agreed to a 1% discount and sent a revised PI. Once again, silence. After a few days, he said he was in China and claimed prices there were cheaper. I knew that was not true, so I simply wished him well and told him to buy from China. But he came back again, saying he still wanted to buy from us. This time, he asked for a full cost breakdown including plastic, electronics, labor, packing, and our profit. We work transparently, so we shared it. Then he said our profit was too high and demanded that we reduce it. We told him cost is a fact, profit is our principle, and flatly refused. He kept pushing. He asked for detailed molding costs like plastic rates, cycle time, burn loss, and labor. That was the point where it was no longer about business. It was about control. So instead of arguing, we calmly told him the goods were sold out. He got livid, started shouting, and said we had no right to sell the goods since he had already “confirmed the order.” I stayed calm, said sorry, and ended the conversation. Now, even if he comes back ready to pay more, I will not supply to him. I have seen how these deals end. They always bring stress, delays, and problems. Some business gives you money but takes away your peace. Over time, you learn it is better to do less business with the right people than chase more business with the wrong ones. I would rather have fewer orders, better sleep, and a clear mind than deal with this kind of harassment.

I can watch this all day long 😂

How did i not notice this until my 40s....

Customised Vespa scooter

Long Live Toxic Masculinity

Catch me if you can!!!

Muy raramente se puede captar a los autobuses salvajes beber agua.

A man boarded a bus and realized his wallet was missing. He immediately shouted: “Whoever took my wallet, return it now before what happened in 1987 happens again!” The passengers quickly got scared, and the pickpocket hurriedly returned the wallet and apologized. A curious man then asked, “But what actually happened in 1987?” The man calmly replied, “Back then, my wallet was stolen… so I had to walk home.”

mind your own business u fish

thank you @googlemaps