Roaring Ape

44.1K posts

Roaring Ape

Roaring Ape

@the_roaring_ape

Planet of the Apes Katılım Ekim 2022
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. is sending 2,200 Marines to the Middle East Three Navy ships are expected to arrive next week. They could defend shipping in the Strait of Hormuz or help seize Kharg Island, Iran’s key oil export hub. Source: Politico
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸 The U.S. war with Iran has reportedly cost ~$25 billion in just a few weeks. Here's a rough breakdown of where that money is going: - Precision munitions & missiles (~$10–12B): Thousands of Tomahawks ($2M each), JDAMs, JASSMs, GBU-57 bunker-busters ($3–4M each), Hellfires, etc. - Aircraft & flight hours (~$6–8B): Carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln, etc.), B-2/B-1/B-52 sorties, F-35/F-15/F-16/F/A-18 ops. Each carrier group costs ~$6–10M per day (fuel, maintenance, personnel). Thousands of flight hours at $20k–$100k+ per hour per aircraft. - Naval operations (~$3–4B): Carrier escorts, destroyers, subs, logistics ships in the Gulf/Arabian Sea. Fuel, ammo resupply, crew salaries, repairs after drone/missile threats. - Drones & ISR (~$1–2B): MQ-9 Reapers downed ($30M each), Global Hawks, RQ-4s, satellite time, electronic warfare pods, recon flights. - Logistics & support (~$2–3B): Fuel (jet fuel ~$3–5/gallon, massive burn rate), ammo transport, base support in Gulf states, contractor services, medical/evac. - Other (~$1–2B): Intelligence, cyber ops, allied coordination, repairs to damaged assets (e.g., radars hit in Gulf). $25B in weeks is insane, that’s more than the annual budget of many countries. Taxpayers are basically funding the most expensive fireworks show in history. Source: DoD cost estimates, Reuters/Anadolu reports.

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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 BREAKING: Iran just claimed a direct drone hit on Israel Tehran says its drones slammed Israel’s internal security ministry in West Jerusalem; a payback for the assassination of Intelligence Minister Esmail Khatib and the sinking of warship IRIS Dena. Source: Al Jazeera
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. is sending 2,200 Marines to the Middle East Three Navy ships are expected to arrive next week. They could defend shipping in the Strait of Hormuz or help seize Kharg Island, Iran’s key oil export hub. Source: Politico

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Momentum Structural Analysis
We sent an update to subscribers today but no doubt the Twitter folks would appreciate some comments. A few big points: -MSA has cautioned subscribers before that we don't subscribe to the idea of a "war premium" for gold. As such, we have avoided the topic of the Iran war almost entirely. Perhaps it will end up mattering IF it drags on for years and we have to print trillions to fight it. But the reason would be monetary in that case. -We said in interviews and reports that we expected a significant, maybe even 50% correction for silver at some point in this giant up-move. It happened a bit earlier than we expected, right at the end of January. -The entire correction (for silver) happened in 6 trading days. January 30th to February 6th. For gold, just 2 trading days. Everything since then has been *within the trading range* that was established in those 6 trading days. Maybe the Feb 6th low gets nipped out, but we have multiple momentum indicators screaming at this point that this is another BTD opportunity like the April 2025 tariff panic, the 2020 Covid crash, the 2024 Trump election crash, etc. -Finally, as we said in our February 28th report to subscribers, and reiterated this morning: MSA will not be issuing any more long-term "buy signals" for gold, silver, and miners. All of our long-term buy signals have fired off. For silver in particular: March 2024 at $24.91, June 2025 at $36.17, and November 2025 at $57.16. So while we remain bullish and expect the metals to trade much higher, we have no long-term indicators left to say "buy." They all broke out already. Any buy signal at this point would be inherently short-term, as what's going on is a correction within the ongoing bull trend. If someone bought only within the past few months, they might be sitting on a paper loss right now. One must expect this possibility in *all financial markets.* Anything you buy at any time could go against you. Imagine buying NVDA in October 2021 for $25 and a year later you're down over 50%. In another year you'd be up over 100% from your initial purchase, and yet another year later you'd be up over 400%. But you just so happened to join the trend right before a correction and initially lost 50% of your money (on paper). If you were Cathie Wood, you panic sold...
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷 Iran just brought a new missile into the spotlight, the Fattah-2. This isn’t your usual missile. It launches with a solid-fuel booster, shoots up crazy fast, reportedly past Mach 15, all the way to the edge of the atmosphere. Then it flips the script. The booster drops off, and a hypersonic glide vehicle takes over, carrying the warhead back down. And this is where it gets tricky… it doesn’t just fall straight. It glides, adjusts mid-air, flies around 12–30 km high, then drops lower and starts making sharp, last-second turns. Speed? Anywhere from Mach 5 to Mach 20, that’s up to ~17,900 km/h (around 10,000 mph). At that speed, systems like Iron Dome, Arrow, and David’s Sling barely get time to react. So it’s not just fast, it’s moving all over the place, too. That combo makes it really hard to stop. If this actually works as they say… this is the kind of thing that starts messing with how current air defenses are built. Source: AiTelly YT
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 BREAKING: Iran just claimed a direct drone hit on Israel Tehran says its drones slammed Israel’s internal security ministry in West Jerusalem; a payback for the assassination of Intelligence Minister Esmail Khatib and the sinking of warship IRIS Dena. Source: Al Jazeera

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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇺🇸 A second Marine amphibious group is now heading to the Middle East. The USS Boxer, USS Comstock, and USS Portland carrying the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit just departed the west coast. That's 4,400+ Marines on two amphibious groups converging on the Gulf simultaneously. Source: @sentdefender Media: SD Web Cam
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇱🇧 Beirut-based war journalist Steve Sweeney claims Israel deliberately targeted him with an airstrike in southern Lebanon while he reported on bridge bombings & displacement of 1M people. Says no warning was given, Lebanese Army had approved filming.

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𝐓𝐌𝐓
𝐓𝐌𝐓@TMT_arabic·
🚨 BREAKING Iranian media reports that Iran’s new missiles are ready and waiting to be launched, saying “we have only just begun…” It is also noted that after 40 years of missile production, there may be even more advanced capabilities in their arsenal.
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Collin Rugg
Collin Rugg@CollinRugg·
NEW: ABC's "Bachelorette" caught on camera allegedly attacking her ex-boyfriend and throwing a chair at him, which appeared to hit her child. The "The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives" star is reportedly under investigation for domestic violence. "The Draper City Police Department in Utah [is investigating] the allegations on both sides after a recent incident," Variety recently reported. It's unclear if the police are investigating this incident or a separate one. Paul is set to star in Season 22 of “The Bachelorette," which reportedly starts in 3 days. Insane. Video: @TMZ
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇱🇧🇮🇱 A cellist playing in the rubble of southern Beirut while 900+ have been killed in 3 weeks of Israeli strikes. Reminds me of Titanic… music playing while everything sinks, just this time it’s real and way more painful.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷 Iran turning the Strait of Hormuz into its private toll road Tehran’s in talks with India, Pakistan, China, Iraq, and Malaysia to set up a “safe” corridor between Qeshm and Larak islands, it means: IRGC vetting, fees paid, approved ships only. Everyone else? Still locked out while the world’s oil artery stays choked. Source: RN Intel

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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇮🇷 IRAN SAYS: “WE WARNED YOU” Karen Kwiatkowski says Iran repeatedly told Gulf states not to trust U.S. and Israeli alliances. Now, those same countries are facing the fallout. @karen4the6th
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇮🇷 NO ONE WANTS TO ENTER THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ RIGHT NOW Karen Kwiatkowski says the threat level is still too high for allies to act. She says until that changes, it’s all talk, not action. @karen4the6th

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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷 Mystery blast reported near Iran's Bushehr nuclear plant gets suspicious Debris spreads south in a fan shape, which means the projectile likely came from the north, not the Gulf. Puts friendly fire or an Iranian accident right on the table. Hit just 350 meters from the active reactor. No damage, no radiation leak, but IAEA chief Grossi says: hands off anything near nuclear sites. Source: Institute for Science and International Security
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israel hit South Pars, by far the world's largest natural gas field... Iran is striking back at Haifa refinery, Israel’s largest fuel facility. And the Strait of Hormuz is, for all intents and purposes, closed. The world’s biggest oil lifeline just got choked in the middle of war. How fkd are we right now? Naya

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Alex Jones
Alex Jones@RealAlexJones·
@marklevinshow Strait up question for you Mark: What is your rank in Mossad operations and have you passed secrets to Jonathan Pollard?
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AutisticClips
AutisticClips@AutisticClip·
Nick Fuentes: “Jesus Christ is the truth. Jesus Christ is the way, the truth, and the life. If you are not touched by the gospel, it’s because your heart has been hardened. The trinity is the truth.”
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Global Insight Journal
Global Insight Journal@GlobalIJournal·
Hatem al-Enbiya Headquarters: "The war will continue until the enemy surrenders."
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Asad Nasir
Asad Nasir@asadnasir2000·
THE 🇾🇪 HOUTHIS HAVE OFFICIALLY JOINED THE WAR, AS THEY WILL ATTACK ALL 🇺🇸 US SHIPS IN RED SEA. - SOURCES.
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