Yuge Father

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Yuge Father

Yuge Father

@thebigmoony

Pulled in six figs at 16 🧲💹🌚

Casino Katılım Kasım 2025
128 Takip Edilen46 Takipçiler
William Shatner
William Shatner@WilliamShatner·
X Money Beta Invitation for Charity. When: Today at 2pm Pacific Time. URL: silentauctionpro.com/bidonlinegrid.… I would go and register your information ahead of time so you are ready at 2PM today. Make sure you read everything in the description including how to check out so you can give us your X username to activate the beta. Good luck and thank you!
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Flippa🐬
Flippa🐬@FlippaEss·
You let this guy who gets paid for a shill determine your ape? Do better haha!
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Yuge Father
Yuge Father@thebigmoony·
@techdevnotes If you're hungry just give me your Sol wallet and I'll feed you
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Tech Dev Notes
Tech Dev Notes@techdevnotes·
So quiet lately, no new features, no new updates ... xAI do something inshallah
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Tech Dev Notes
Tech Dev Notes@techdevnotes·
- ✅ Grok 4.20 initial launch - 🔜 Grok Code product big upgrade - 🔜 Grok Imagine updates Next few weeks looking good
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vitalik.eth
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin·
Recently I have been starting to worry about the state of prediction markets, in their current form. They have achieved a certain level of success: market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets and have a full-time job as a trader, and they often prove useful as a supplement to other forms of news media. But also, they seem to be over-converging to an unhealthy product market fit: embracing short-term cryptocurrency price bets, sports betting, and other similar things that have dopamine value but not any kind of long-term fulfillment or societal information value. My guess is that teams feel motivated to capitulate to these things because they bring in large revenue during a bear market where people are desperate - an understandable motive, but one that leads to corposlop. I have been thinking about how we can help get prediction markets out of this rut. My current view is that we should try harder to push them into a totally different use case: hedging, in a very generalized sense (TLDR: we're gonna replace fiat currency) Prediction markets have two types of actors: (i) "smart traders" who provide information to the market, and earn money, and necessarily (ii) some kind of actor who loses money. But who would be willing to lose money and keep coming back? There are basically three answers to this question: 1. "Naive traders": people with dumb opinions who bet on totally wrong things 2. "Info buyers": people who set up money-losing automated market makers, to motivate people to trade on markets to help the info buyer learn information they do not know. 3. "Hedgers": people who are -EV in a linear sense, but who use the market as insurance, reducing their risk. (1) is where we are today. IMO there is nothing fundamentally morally wrong with taking money from people with dumb opinions. But there still is something fundamentally "cursed" about relying on this too much. It gives the platform the incentive to seek out traders with dumb opinions, and create a public brand and community that encourages dumb opinions to get more people to come in. This is the slide to corposlop. (2) has always been the idealistic hope of people like Robin Hanson. However, info buying has a public goods problem: you pay for the info, but everyone in the world gets it, including those who don't pay. There are limited cases where it makes sense for one org to pay (esp. decision markets), but even there, it seems likely that the market volumes achieved with that strategy will not be too high. This gets us to (3). Suppose that you have shares in a biotech company. It's public knowledge that the Purple Party is better for biotech than the Yellow Party. So if you buy a prediction market share betting that the Yellow Party will win the next election, on average, you are reducing your risk. Mathematical example: suppose that if Purple wins, the share price will be a dice roll between [80...120], and if Yellow wins, it's between [60...100]. If you make a size $10 bet that Yellow will win, your earnings become equivalent to a dice roll between [70...110] in both cases. Taking a logarithmic model of utility, this risk reduction is worth $0.58. Now, let's get to a more fascinating example. What do people who want stablecoins ultimately want? They want price stability. They have some future expenses in mind, and they want a guarantee that will be able to pay those expenses. But if crypto grows on top of USD-backed stablecoins, crypto is ultimately not truly decentralized. Furthermore, different people have different types of expenses. There has been lots of thinking about making an "ideal stablecoin" that is based on some decentralized global price index, but what if the real solution is to go a step further, and get rid of the concept of currency altogether? Here's the idea. You have price indices on all major categories of goods and services that people buy (treating physical goods/services in different regions as different categories), and prediction markets on each category. Each user (individual or business) has a local LLM that understands that user's expenses, and offers the user a personalized basket of prediction market shares, representing "N days of that user's expected future expenses". Now, we do not need fiat currency at all! People can hold stocks, ETH, or whatever else to grow wealth, and personalized prediction market shares when they want stability. Both of these examples require prediction markets denominated in an asset people want to hold, whether interest-bearing fiat, wrapped stocks, or ETH. Non-interest-bearing fiat has too-high opportunity cost, that overwhelms the hedging value. But if we can make it work, it's much more sustainable than the status quo, because both sides of the equation are likely to be long-term happy with the product that they are buying, and very large volumes of sophisticated capital will be willing to participate. Build the next generation of finance, not corposlop.
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Fud
Fud@thefud_·
Pilly not just $PFP anymore. It’s official mascot of PF. Send it.
Roarrr@roarzone

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Gandalf The Gainz
Gandalf The Gainz@GandalfTheGainz·
the other token name doesnt make sense at all. who the fuck cares who is the OG, if the name is wrong? This is a pump fun pill cult, not an AVATAR.
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Blesh
Blesh@bleshgod·
Why $CROW is the next 5M coin: the crow figuring out how to carry ALL the cookies at once before flying off is going viral everywhere on social media in just 24 hours, the video exploded: 12 million views on X, becoming the most viral animal on the platform 17 million views on TikTok millions views on Instagram 40K upvotes on Reddit the crow is viral everywhere people all over the internet are relating to him. he pauses. he calculates. he adjusts the stack. then he commits. no cookie left behind. we are all this crow. every single one of us. we’re all wired the same: make it in one go if you can. the “one trip or nothing” mindset. carrying all the groceries in one go. taking out all the trash bags at once. grabbing all the laundry at once even if a sock falls. the entire internet is obsessed. none of us want two trips. we are this crow. and that’s why it’s so heartwarming, pure, and funny at the same time. he’s stealing hearts all over the internet. because crows are incredibly intelligent. they’re considered among the most intelligent animals on Earth, often compared to primates in cognitive ability. Their problem solving skills are so advanced that some studies suggest they rival those of a young child. but in this moment, he’s not just intelligent. he’s relatable a little clever. a little lazy. like humans relatable, wholesome, cute, funny the internet can’t help but fall in love you know what happened the last time the internet fell in love with an animal 4FNd2MnoGN6H1amFGfB7bQoZq4bnwBtfWCJm8N7upump
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不変哲 🦥@fuhentetsu

クッキーをどうすれば全部くわえて持っていけるかを考え、短い間で答えを導き出した賢いカラス

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Blesh
Blesh@bleshgod·
50M views on youtube crazy crazy
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