Jay Malavia

@0xNairolf Try out kairos

there is a massive opportunity for someone to build an institutional grade hyperliquid terminal like really

"A great reason for failing won't preserve one dollar for your investors, won't save one employee's job, or get you one new customer" Great story and advice

@0xMakingMagic 👀

@thejay Add us: x.com/0xMakingMagic/…

Prediction markets are based on order books. With Kairos, traders can use pro order types like TWAP to break larger trades into smaller executions over time instead of instantly sweeping the book. In thinner markets, this can reduce slippage, limit market impact, and improve average fill quality. One button. Pro execution. Better fills.

@DamonBurrow We’ve got a growing suite of prediction markets as well, Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict Fun, and more soon. Happy to onboard!

@thejay Fair enough. Would love to try. Are you on PM and Kalshi? Also, what about tertiary platforms (eg Novig and ProphetX)?

@DamonBurrow Agreed. It’s moreover a great feature that we’ve optimized on our side to make it as easy to deploy. Most of our users are quant traders who could do it themselves, but genuinely love how simple we make it with our trading algos suite.

TWAP would be a genuinely useful feature across those books assuming folks would use. The same effect can be done algorithmically via the APIs (by breaking a single resting order into several take/make chunks). That method also allows each trader to control their own order flow. I do wonder how many UI users would ever have need for TWAP

@trevorlasn yeah you should try kairos, we handle most of that on our end :)

@thejay yeah PM execution quality is way underbuilt. seeing whales sweep poly books all day in thinner markets, the slippage gets bad fast

@mattkalish that's what we enable 💯

@thejay It should work much more like this.

Kairos enables the next ~100,000 prediction market traders. As the space scales, the need for high-quality traders and liquidity providers is only growing. Kairos gives them the best technology in the market so they can move faster, trade better, and focus on what they do best: trading.

Kairos enables traders to run strategies on prediction markets without having to worry about setting up the infrastructure. It’s never been easier to trade on prediction markets & win.

Perplexity founder Aravind Srinivas explains the “user is never wrong” philosophy of Larry Page Aravind recounts a story of Larry Page’s meeting with the CEO of Excite. Excite was the #2 search engine behind Yahoo at the time, and they were interested in buying Google. The two CEOs compared the search results of their products side-by-side. When Google’s results were clearly better, Excite’s CEO tried to excuse his product’s performance: “If you typed the query this way, it would’ve worked.” Aravind believes this is an important difference in philosophy between Google and Excite. Larry Page believed that a search engine should give high quality answers regardless of what the user typed: “You do all the magic behind the scenes so that even if the user was lazy, even if there were typos… they still got the answer and they love the product.” Today Google dominates search, and most people have never heard of Excite. Aravind believes the best AI products will adopt this same philosophy and that “prompt engineering” won’t be a long-term thing. “I think you want to make products work where a user doesn’t even ask for something. You know that they want it and you give it to them… People are lazy and a better product should be one that allows you to be more lazy, not less. Products need to have some magic to them, and the magic comes from letting you be more lazy.” Source: @lexfridman (Jun 2024)

Kalshi's newest raise is a strong reinforcement that prediction markets are here to stay. The markets will continue to grow, and traders who are early will continue to win.

It's increasingly clear that prediction markets are transforming into options onto anything in the world. It's a shame in society thus far options have largely been restricted towards institutions. Kairos changes this, offering unrestricted access to the world of trading on any prediction market in the world.

@Lummox_eth kairos is free

@0xNairolf Kairos!

who is building the first good frontend on top of HIP-4? biggest opportunity in the market rn

@mfardecrouz The most performant terminal for prediction markets

@thejay What is kairos ?

Try Kairos!

For all those frustrated with Polymarket, try out kairos. We handle as many of their issues on our end, and create as stable of an experience as we can. Collection of data parses on chain and off to validly the trades you are making, are actually happening.

@Baheet_ @Outcomexyz @HyperOddX @novadotmarkets @TrendleFi Kairos!

wait for hip-4 and check out these products: > @Outcomexyz > @HyperOddX > @novadotmarkets If you want something that feels fresh and deviates from basic prediction markets, check these out: > @TrendleFi (attention markets); I have an article series that explains how this works > @trepa_io (precision markets); anticipate my latest article on this More recommendations: > @trytbd, ( speculate on polls) >@sharexyz (polymarket+ social feeds), > @KairosTradeX ( polymarket+ Kalshi+ 10/10 terminal) > @wormwtf (Prediction markets + leverage) > @xomarket (seriously check this one out) >@hivy_alpha ( reputation layer for Kalshi and polymarket) I think there are others, I can't remember right now

We just responded to the @CFTC on their proposed rulemaking for prediction markets. Prediction markets are one of the most powerful tools we have for turning dispersed knowledge into actionable information. Unlike polls, they're continuous and incentivized. Participants put money behind their beliefs, so prices reflect genuine conviction, not casual opinion. These markets are growing fast. Kalshi's average weekly volume surged tenfold this year to $3 billion. But the bigger story is what comes next. AI agents can process vast information and execute trades autonomously on permissionless blockchains. Together, these technologies point toward something much bigger than what exists today. That said, regulatory uncertainty threatens that future. Our solutions would help unlock it—reaffirming the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction, strengthening contract resolution, limiting manipulation and insider trading, adopting a case-by-case approach to public interest determinations, and exploring alternative pathways for compliance. Prediction markets aren't just about placing bets on events. They're information machines. The rules the CFTC writes now will determine whether this technology is constrained in its infancy or allowed to reach its potential. We hope the Commission seizes the opportunity.