JonK retweetledi
"Will AI replace developers?"
Short answer: no.
Longer answer:
A typical developer can easily be 20-30% more productive with something like GPT-4.
Once they learn to use it well, they can be 50-100+% more productive.
This means that the work that used to be done by a 10-person team can now be done by, say, a 7-8 people team.
So in that sense, developers who learn to use AI well will replace those who don't.
This will temporarily lead to less demand for junior software engineers.
However, this is not the whole picture...
As the cost of software goes down this way, more of it will be created for an increasing number of use cases.
That will actually drive up the demand for software engineers.
So the question is, which will be larger:
The decrease in demand for software engineers due to increased productivity
or
the increase in demand for software engineers due to the ease of creating software?
This is still yet to be seen, but my hope is that over the next 2-10 years, the net effect is that there will actually be more demand for software engineers.
Don't believe me?
Well the GitHub CEO also believes that the "demand for software developers will outweigh supply."
(Shoutout to @DThompsonDev for flagging this article)
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