Candid Truth

Why have you suddenly become so narrow minded and naive not to see that the train has long left the station. Have you forgotten that APC now controls all the political structures and the resources that each of those presidential aspirants previously had in 2023. Yes, you heard me right! The PDP, LP and NNPP political structures are now firmly under the control of APC or in the hands of their planted surrogates like Wike and co. Let me also remind you of certain facts less known or talked about. As you very well know, Nigeria's politics is heavily monetized. But the once reliable moneybag, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is financially less buoyant and politically broke. Having being out of power for over two decades, he can no longer afford the kind of money required to fund a serious presidential bid. So, who will bankroll them. Peter Obi isn't as rich as portrayed on social media platforms, he's just a regular Nigerian millionaire. Kwankwaso may be a grassroots mobilizer in Kano state, but ultimately, going by Nigeria political economic standards, he is not even considered a rich man. The sad reality is that the coalition was formed with the belief and thinking that, Emefiele, Malami and El Rufai's ill gotten billions will bankroll the campaigns for them. Unfortunately, courtesy of Tinubu's tact, all three, including their frontmen are all in jail, and will remain in jail, possibly, untill after the 2027 elections. Money is a game changer, and the coalition is lacking in that area. APC has almost all the governors (including the Central Bank Governors) under its belt. You may say, "a governor has only one vote, but remember, governors have deep pockets. Lagos, Kano, Rivers, and Delta states are all under APC; those 4 states alone, can fund the entire campaign for APC. Do not be fooled, ADC is the one in trouble, APC is not.

@RAVENANGELO7 @IU_Wakilii If in 2027, Obi is able to win just 2 states in the southsouth, screen shot this tweet as a challenge me. I will give you $200.

@thoughtsfromUSA @IU_Wakilii Keep the confidence sha but make campaign start and see the crowd wen go de pull out for Obi without one naira being paid then watch as ur party pay people to come out for them. Then u go know say South South differ from Southwest. Even governor de pay ppl to come out for him

FIRE ON THE MOUNTAIN! As a supporter of Bola Ahmed Tinubu, if you still believe 2027 will be an easy ride, then you are either naive or delusional. The coalition now brings together the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place candidates from the last election, Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, and Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso. Yet, some still believe that Tinubu, who secured just about 8 million votes in 2023, can easily coast to victory again, despite losing key allies and presiding over a period many Nigerians associate with economic hardship. If you genuinely think nothing has changed, and that the political ground is still the same, then you are not reading the room, you are simply wishing it away.

With the way he politicized the APC's show of solidarity, empathy and condolences to Malam Nasir El Rufai, over the death of his mother, it becomes clearer that Dele Momodu is an embitterred wicked soul. Yes! Let's be clear, it is only a sociopath that can gloat over the death a fellow human being by claiming that the events of death, mourning and burial of someone's else's mother completely overshadowed the APC'S convention. What a way to gloat? The question is this, would Dele Momodu himself be happy if someone were to politicize the death (God forbid) of some he too, loves dearly? I mean, what comfort or reliefs did that kind of assertion offered to a grieving Malam El Rufai. The Bible, specifically, Ecclesiastes 3:4 teaches that, there is a "a time to weep and a time to laugh, a time to mourn and a time to dance." Dear Dele Momodu, the death of a fellow human is a time of mourning, it is not a time to play politics by dancing naked in public.

One thing we must NEVER do is play politics with death. No "calculus" has changed and there ought to be no triumphant celebration over such grave matters. This tragic event is beyond politics and the gathering and support of all those that expressed their condolences and/or attended the funeral and prayers reflects their collective humanity which comes before anything else. Compassion was displayed, restraint was shown, decency was enthroned, maturity was exhibited and respect was extended by all and sundry. This is a testimony to the courage and decency of the Nigerian political class. People from every side of the political divide came together to pay their respects to the matriach of the El Rufai family and the mother of an old friend. That is precious and humane. It proves that we are all still civilised. It has nothing to do with politics or political calculations. It has nothing to do with the triumph of one or the defeat of another. It has everything to do with being a human being and not a monster. This display of unity when faced with adversity serves us well. We must NOT bring politics into it. May God watch over us all. (FFK)

@aina_sam62925 So which part does he belong as at today?

@thoughtsfromUSA @Pharmacio001 @ADCVanguard_ Kwankawso no longer in NNPC

Three Against One: How Atiku, Obi, and Kwankwaso Could Redefine the Battle for Aso Rock Against Tinubu 1. First, understand the 2023 election numbers In the 2023 Nigerian presidential election: Tinubu (APC) → 8.79 million votes (36.6%) Atiku (PDP) → 6.98 million votes (29.1%) Obi (LP) → 6.10 million votes (25.4%) Kwankwaso (NNPP) → 1.49 million votes (6.2%) 👉 If you combine Atiku + Obi + Kwankwaso: Total ≈ 14.5 million votes That is far higher than Tinubu’s 8.7 million Simple meaning: They collectively had more support than Tinubu, but they were divided. 2. What each man brought to the table in 2023 i. Atiku Abubakar 🫱 Strong in Northern Nigeria, especially North-East 🫱 Political structure from PDP (old, established network) 🫱 Finished 2nd overall ii. Peter Obi 🫱 Massive support from youths + urban voters 🫱 Dominated South-East and parts of South-South 🫱 Won places like FCT Abuja 🫱 Finished 3rd but very influential iii. Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso 🫱 Strong grassroots base in Kano (North-West) 🫱 “Kwankwasiyya movement” is highly loyal 🫱 Though 4th, he controlled a strategic voting bloc in Kano state 3. Now imagine them working together in ADC If they truly unite, three major things happen: (A) Regional dominance becomes national coverage Atiku → North-East, North-West Kwankwaso → North-West, Kano Obi → South-East + urban South 👉 That combination covers almost all political zones in Nigeria (B) Opposition votes stop splitting In 2023: Tinubu didn’t need majority of Nigerians He just needed the opposition to be divided Now: A united front = one candidate, one vote bank 👉 That alone is a huge threat (C) Momentum + perception shift Politics is also about perception If Nigerians see: “All major opposition figures are now one” It creates: Bandwagon effect (“this might actually win”) Stronger voter turnout 4. But Tinubu still has a major advantage He has over 30 governors That matters a lot. What Tinubu controls: 🫱 State structures (governors influence votes) 🫱 Federal power (incumbency) 🫱 APC political machinery nationwide 👉 In Nigeria, governors = ground game + logistics + influence 5. So what does it really mean for Tinubu? Scenario 1: If opposition unity is REAL, then i. Tinubu faces his strongest challenge ever. ii. Election becomes very competitive iii. Could even lead to runoff or loss Scenario 2: If unity is shaky (very likely in Nigeria politics) i. Internal fights (who becomes candidate?) ii. Ego clashes iii. Regional distrust 👉 Then Tinubu still wins comfortably 6. The biggest question: WHO steps down? This is the real issue, not just alliance. Will Atiku step down for Obi? Will Obi agree to be Atiku's Vice? Will Kwankwaso accept a minor role? 👉 If they fail to agree on one candidate, everything collapses. 7. Final simple summary In 2023: Opposition divided → Tinubu won On paper today: Opposition combined → stronger than Tinubu In reality: Unity is hard, power structure still favors Tinubu 👉 So: If they truly unite → Tinubu is in serious trouble If they don’t → history repeats itself #AlaBruce Rivers, Nigeria 🇳🇬

@RAVENANGELO7 @Horlak5 @IU_Wakilii To win the presidential election, a political party does not need to win a particular state. So even if APC loses Delta state but managed to secure juat 25% of votes cast in at least 24 states, it will still win the presidency.

@Horlak5 @thoughtsfromUSA @IU_Wakilii Structure controls voters nor be for Presidential elections in South South. If na for Governorship I’ll say Ok. Even Okowa as VP last election didn’t win Delta State. Wen it’s Presidential elections as long as Obi is on the ballot, Structure will not work. APC won’t win the state

Dear Mr. Bolaji Abdullahi, Fmr Honourable Minister under GEJ, Fmr APC publicity secretary, Fmr PDP stalwart, Fmr State Commissioner, Fmr State Governor’s Aide. In politics since 2003 @BolajiADC There is a certain elegance to your message, sharp, emotional, deliberate. But there is also a certain amnesia to it, selective, strategic, convenient. Whilst it is unfortunate you chose the birthday of our President to highlight this amnesia, permit me, sir, to speak to it. Three things can be true at once: a nation can reinvent itself, a government can act, and a people can endure. You speak of hardship as though you discovered it. You speak of insecurity as though it began yesterday. You speak of governance as though you were never inside the room when decisions were made. You have not just criticised but you have made an attempt at reinventing history. Yes, Nigerians are hurting in some areas. Yes, fuel prices have risen, sharply, painfully, undeniably even though President Bola Tinubu has made cheaper alternatives availabke. But let us not pretend this storm began this morning. For years, we subsidised illusion, deferred reality, borrowed comfort, and let rent-seekers take hold of our Commonwealth. You know this more then many, sir. For years, Nigeria built a system where cheapness was artificial and sustainability was optional. Now the correction has come, and suddenly, those (including you and many members of your new-found contraption) who midwifed the distortion have become its loudest critics. The Tinubu-Shettima administration did not remove subsidy because it was easy. We removed it because it was necessary. Hard choices, real consequences, no pretence. Here is the antithesis you glide past so effortlessly. What feels like punishment today is what prevents collapse tomorrow. We endure to rebuild, not rebuild to endure On security, your words carry weight, but not balance. Nigeria did not become insecure in a single administration, nor will it be secured by a single speech. The threats we face are multi-layered including insurgency, ‘glocal’ terrorism, organised crime, cross border networks. Yet capacity of our systems have improved, security coordination has tightened, investments in intelligence and equipment have increased. Is it enough? No. Is it nothing? Also no. To describe a nation contending and fixing structural issues as a nation collapsing is not analysis, it is exaggeration. And exaggeration may win applause, but it does not build solutions. You invoke grief, and rightly so. Every life lost diminishes us. But grief must not become a tool for theatre. Because while you speak of failure, you carefully omit history, the years when these fires were lit, the years when you and those in power chose delay over decision. You were not a spectator then. You were an integral part of the system. On the economy, the strain was real. Prices were high but are coming back down. Pressures were visible yet we have mostly stabilised. But reforms are not judged in headlines, they are judged in trajectories. FX stability is improving. Revenues are strengthening. Investment signals are returning. You do not fix decades in months. You correct distortions and direction, then you build momentum as President Bola Tinubu is doing. We are not where we want to be. But we are no longer where we were. And then democracy and your quiet warning of a one party state. Yet here you are, criticising loudly, freely, publicly. A democracy that permits this level of dissent is not shrinking, it is alive. Imperfect, noisy, contested, but alive. This is the paradox your message cannot resolve. You criticise a system you once helped shape. You condemn outcomes without acknowledging inputs. You demand urgency now, but defended patience then. We shape our narratives, and then our narratives shape us. Nigeria is not perfect. Nigeria is not painless. Nigeria is not instant. But Nigeria is not what you are trying to sell either. 1/2 cont’d.

@RAVENANGELO7 @IU_Wakilii When Gala and malt starts flying about, and people start voting in a particular pattern, or based on who they were told to vote for, then you'll under that structure exists and it controls stomach infrastructure.

@thoughtsfromUSA @IU_Wakilii The truth is, the political structure isn’t the people. The people are going to vote and the people are the ones suffering not the structure. So the question is who will the people vote. You think as a Deltan the structure will tell me who to vote? All my friends de support Obi.

There is nothing in the Nigerian constitution that suggest media interview as a criteria for eligibility for election into public offices. In Nigeria, and in all democractic societies, campaigns, security clearances, and elections are the only legal provisions that the law recognizes as the true test of popularity and acceptability for all elective public offices. So, I ask you, under which principle of law will you be banning people from contesting for an elective government offices if they refused to be interviewed by media houses owned by ordinary private individuals?

We need to bring back presidential and governorship debates on a very serious note. Candidates who do not show up must be disqualified from running. We can’t have people just philander in and out of office. Anyone who won’t show up for the debate/interview, would definitely have no problem with not showing up for his/her people when elected and definitely has no business running for office. We don’t give jobs to applicants who don’t show up for interviews, why then do we reward politicians who don’t show up for pre-election debates with political offices? Why is everything that is not acceptable in the corporate world accepted in politics?

By attempting to use the huge voting strength of Kano state as a bargaining chip to the presidency, Kwankwaso will be repeating another version of the same mistake he made in 2023. With the way, the presidential election is structured in Nigeria, using a single state as bargaining chip is like a one armed warrior wielding a golden sword inside a battlefield. There are just too many people in ADC with similar aspirations.

JUST IN: Kwankwaso to formally join ADC on Monday The Kwankwasiyya movement says Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, the former Kano state governor, will formally defect from the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) to the African Democratic Congress (ADC) on Monday. The ceremony is scheduled to hold in Kano, with Kwankwaso expected to be accompanied by other members of the NNPP ahead of the 2027 general election.

Good morning Bob Dee, I just read this, but I couldn't trust my eyes, so I'm asking, did you actually wrote this by yourself, or is there someone out there helping you manage your X account? If you wrote this by yourself, you may need to pinch yourself a little to ascertain that you're not in a trance or hallucinating.

What's going on at the APC rally? Most people look mournful and sorrowful...

FULL LIST OF NEW APC NATIONAL WORKING COMMITTEE (NWC) • National Chairman – Prof. Nentawe Yilwatda • Deputy National Chairman (North) – Ali Bukar Dalori • Deputy National Chairman (South) – Dr. Benjamin Obi Nwoye • National Secretary – Sen. Surajudeen Ajibola Basiru • Deputy National Secretary – Prof. AbdulKarim Abubakar Kana • National Legal Adviser – Murtala Aliyu Kankia • National Treasurer – Uguru Mathew Ofoke • National Financial Secretary – Amb. Haruna Ginsau • National Organising Secretary – Muhammad Sulaiman Argungu • National Welfare Secretary – Donatus Enyinnah Nwankpa • National Publicity Secretary – Felix Morka National Auditor – Sen. Abubakar Maikafi • National Women Leader – Dr. Mary A. Idele • National Youth Leader – Dayo Israel • National Leader (Persons with Disabilities) – Aare Durotolu Oyebode Bankole • Deputy National Financial Secretary – Hammam Adamu Ali Kumo • Deputy National Organising Secretary – Barr. Emeka Okafor • Deputy National Women Leader – Zainab Abubakar Ibrahim • Deputy National Publicity Secretary – Hon. Meseko Durosinmi Josiah • Deputy National Welfare Secretary – Dr. Christopher Michael Akpan • Deputy National Auditor – Mr. Olugbenga Olayemi • Deputy National Legal Adviser – Barr. Ibrahim Salawu • Deputy National Treasurer – Engr. Ben Akak • Deputy National Youth Leader – Jamaludeen Kabiru • National Ex-Officio (North Central) – Dr. Opawoye Oluwatoyin Bunmi • National Ex-Officio (North East) – Adamu Jallah • National Ex-Officio (North West) – Kano Muhammed Jamu Yusuf • National Ex-Officio (South East) – Hon. Ikechukwu Umeh • National Ex-Officio (South South) – Mr. Francis Kolokolo • National Ex-Officio (South West) – Hon. Bunmi Orinowo

When Ignorance Masquerades as Economic Critique: A Rejoinder to Suyi Ayodele: By Tanimu Yakubu There is criticism, and there is confusion elevated to performance art. Suyi Ayodele’s “History Tinubu Should Have Learnt” is not an argument—it is a cascade of assertions built on a startling ignorance of how modern economies function. It is one thing to oppose policy. It is quite another to do so while demonstrating no working knowledge of public finance, sovereign borrowing, external reserves, or international trade architecture. Mr Ayodele manages all four confidently. Subsidy Removal: Fiscal Space Is Not a Cash Windfall The article’s animating question—why a government that removed subsidies still borrows—rests on a false premise. Fuel subsidy removal does not produce a pile of surplus cash. It stops a haemorrhage. It reduces a recurrent fiscal burden that had become structurally unsustainable. What it creates is fiscal space, not fiscal abundance. Nigeria remains a developing economy with: • Large infrastructure deficits • Binding revenue constraints • Legacy debt service obligations In such a context, borrowing is not evidence of failure; it is an instrument of transition. To expect subsidy removal to eliminate borrowing is to confuse budget arithmetic with economic transformation. Borrowing: The Difference Between Investment and Illiteracy Mr. Ayodele repeatedly equates borrowing with “begging.” This is not analysis—it is slogan. Every functioning economy borrows. The United States borrows. The United Kingdom borrows. Even the countries Nigerians aspire to migrate to borrow—extensively. The question is not whether to borrow, but why and on what terms. A loan tied to port rehabilitation is not consumption—it is productive capital formation. Efficient ports: • Reduce trade costs • Improve competitiveness • Expand fiscal revenues over time To deride such borrowing is to argue, in effect, that Nigeria should remain inefficient in order to remain ideologically pure. Export Credit Financing: Discovering How the World Works The outrage over UK Export Finance conditions—requiring partial sourcing from British firms—is particularly revealing. This is not exploitation. It is how export credit agencies function globally. China does it. Germany does it. The United States does it. The UK does it. Indeed, it would be negligent for any government not to support its domestic industry through such instruments. The real issue is whether Nigeria is using that financing to upgrade critical infrastructure. On that question, Mr. Ayodele is conspicuously silent—because it would require engaging with facts rather than sentiment. Ajaokuta: The Ritual Invocation of a Policy Failure No Nigerian polemic is complete without invoking Ajaokuta. Yet Ajaokuta’s paralysis has nothing to do with the availability of external finance. It is the product of decades of institutional failure, contractual incoherence, and policy drift. To suggest that refusing to modernize ports will somehow revive Ajaokuta is not just incorrect—it is conceptually incoherent. A functioning steel industry would, in fact, depend on efficient ports, not compete with them. Foreign Reserves: Not a Kitchen Drawer of Spare Cash Perhaps the most elementary error in the article is treating foreign reserves as though they were idle funds available for discretionary spending. Foreign reserves are macroeconomic buffers, not budgetary allocations. They exist to: • Stabilise the exchange rate • Meet external obligations • Sustain investor confidence Deploying reserves for infrastructure in lieu of borrowing would weaken the very stability that makes investment possible. In serious economies, reserves are protected. They are not casually liquidated to satisfy rhetorical impatience. Migration Agreements: Diplomacy, Not Drama The portrayal of migration cooperation as a surrender of sovereignty is, at best, theatrical. 1/2

@dmightyangel He's an evil personality. He gets sadistic pleasure from seeing people in what he believes is their uncomfortable positions.

But why was Rufai laughing at the guest though?

@TosanHarrimanDr Absolutely correct

The nature of mindsets of some people is grievous. Fulani comes into your town and enters the forest not to pursue legitimate enterprises but to mount a blockade in the forest against food production. Again we see this evil spirit playing out in Iran. The Strait of Hormuz is an international Strait covered under the United Nations convention on the laws of the sea (UNCLOS) About 20 percent of the world's Maritime trade passes through this Strait. It is not like the Panama canal that is artificial. This is a natural Strait used from ancient times before the Persian civilisation. It is awkward to think that any nation could mount a blockade on such important Strait to frustrate Africa and other countries that depend on the it for supply of sensitive food, drinks, medicines and petroleum resources. The United States already has the required build up in the area without many nations in Europe assisting it.. It should as a matter of global urgency take down these demagogues threat over the Strait and consign them to the scrap heaps of forgotten tyrants.

@Correctfemi If you understood economics well, you'll realize that "what used to be robust currency" was artificially controlled and sustained by all the previous governments. This is actually the first time we are getting to see the true value of the Naira in nearly past 40 years, or so.

@thoughtsfromUSA He is just revealing how devalued our currency is. What used to be a robust current

“$1 million can buy you a house in America. £1 million can buy you a house in the UK. 1 million rands can buy you a house in South Africa. ₦1 million can’t rent you a place in Nigeria. I hope you guys understand how cooked Nigeria is?” — Man laments.

India Tells Iran: No Permission Needed – Navy Sends 7 Warships to Guard Oil Lifeline India just drew a firm line in the sand against Iranian strong-arm tactics in the Strait of Hormuz. New Delhi made it crystal clear: the strait is an international waterway under UNCLOS rules. No permission, no crew lists, no "protection" fees required for Indian ships to pass. While the world watches Iran-Israel tensions choke off 20 percent of global oil flows, the Indian Navy launched Operation Urja Suraksha and deployed seven frontline warships – including destroyers – in the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea. Their mission is simple and tough: escort India-bound tankers carrying LPG, crude, and LNG straight through the danger zone. This is no empty gesture. India relies on these routes for 90 percent of its LPG imports. Disruptions hit kitchens and factories hard. The Navy has already guided ships like Jag Vasant and Pine Gas to safety, with more escorts rolling out. Warships stay outside the strait but stand ready to protect every mile to Indian waters. No begging Washington. No weakness. Just clear-eyed strategic autonomy backed by steel. India is putting its navy where its energy security is – and sending a loud message: mess with our tankers at your peril. The video making rounds shows exactly why adversaries should think twice: Indian destroyers slicing through the sea, missiles ready, fleet in fighting form. This is how a serious nation defends its interests when global chokepoints turn into chokeholds. Jai Hind.

@MarioNawfal The question isn't about Iran winning the war. They've lost already. The real question is, when will the Mullah regime, or what is left of it, collapse to allow the Iranians citizens troop to the streets and reclaim their country.

Anyone who follows me knows I tell it as it is. Iran is currently winning this war, strategically (not militarily) BUT ....that may be about to change

🚨 BREAKING: "Israel wanted to assassinate Iran's Foreign Minister Aragchi and speaker Ghalibaf. It had coordinates of their movements. Pakistan intelligence got the information about Israeli plans. Pakistan informed US that if Israel kills Abbas Aragchi and Ghalibaf, there will be no one left in Iran to talk to. Iran will be taken over by the hardcore IRGC commanders. At this, US intervened and stopped Israel from carrying out strikes to eliminate Aragchi and Ghalibaf. " - Pakistani official to Reuters

CNN Just Admitted the Real Reason Iran’s Mullahs Are Scared to Escalate Even CNN can’t hide the truth anymore. In a rare moment of clarity on mainstream television, Bloomberg Editor-at-Large Bobby Ghosh told Anderson Cooper exactly why Iran’s regime is desperate to avoid real war with the United States. “They’re fighting for their existence,” Ghosh said. “They know that if they lose this war, their biggest problem will not be American bombs from the air. Their biggest problem will be their own citizens, who will be hanging them from lampposts in Tehran.” He continued: “They’ve done so much damage to their own country and their own people for so long that there’s a lot of resentment built up there. They can’t afford to show any weakness.” That’s it. The mullahs aren’t holding back out of strength or clever strategy. They’re terrified of their own people. After decades of brutal repression, stolen elections, crushed protests, and economic ruin, the Iranian street is a powder keg. One major defeat and the regime knows the payback will be swift and final. This is the dirty little secret the foreign policy blob never wants to say out loud: the greatest threat to the ayatollahs isn’t America. It’s the Iranian people finally rising up and settling scores. The regime has spent years building a police state precisely to prevent exactly that outcome. Now even CNN is forced to admit the obvious: weakness invites the noose. The mullahs aren’t strategic masterminds. They’re cornered thugs who know their own citizens hate them more than we ever could. And that fear is the only thing keeping them from going all-in.