Ashish
605 posts



Tata power
Apna apna dekh lo bhai log
Vibhor Varshney@nakulvibhor
Tata power in multiple IB Watch for BO/BD for a June option trade Keep snipper eye
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#Taril
Transformers and Rectifiers (India)- Electrical Products
5th Pending.
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Which #Stocks will give 10% Upside in the next week?
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Comment Your Picks 👇 👇
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🚨Kaynes Technology-The cash flow challenge,
Kaynes Technologies' shares are now nearly 50% down from the peak,
What is happening at Kaynes Technology?
Let's find out👇
Kaynes Technology is a leading Indian design-led electronics system design and manufacturing (ESDM) company.
Kaynes Technologies is a leading EMS player with the following divisions:-
Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS): Manufactures printed circuit board (PCB) assemblies and complete box-build solutions.
Original Design Manufacturing (ODM): Develops proprietary designs for IoT solutions, smart devices, and connectivity technologies.Internet of Things (IoT): Provides edge-to-cloud IoT solutions, predictive maintenance, and asset tracking.
Kaynes Technology aggressively expanded into the semiconductor sector through its subsidiary, Kaynes Semicon.
The company operates a major Assembly, Testing, Marking, and Packaging (ATMP/OSAT) plant in Sanand, Gujarat, which is designed to produce 60 lakh chips daily.
So, how were the Q4FY26 results?
Revenue 1242.64 Cr vs 984.48 Cr
(+26.22% YoY┃+54.55% QoQ)
EBITDA 193.70 Cr vs 167.86 Cr
(+15.39% YoY ┃+62.34% QoQ)
EBITDA Margin 15.59% vs 17.05% YoY & 14.84% QoQ
The company reports a massive negative cash flow of 600cr
1000cr stuck in trade receivables,
So what did the company Guide for?
Originally,
Kaynes had guided for FY26 revenue of around ₹4,400-4,500 crore.
However, after weaker Q3 performance, management reduced the target to around ₹4,100 crore as growth in some segments slowed and execution delays emerged.
Actual FY26 revenue came in at ₹3,626 crore, meaning the company missed its lowered target by nearly ₹474 crore and achieved only around 88% of revised guidance.
The disappointment became even sharper in Q4. Management had indicated quarterly revenue could reach around ₹1,700 crore, but actual Q4 revenue came in at only ₹1,242.6 crore.
Management had guided for a slightly negative cashflow,
But this came in with negative 600cr of cashflow,
This was one of the bigger shocks in the guidance which was surprising to the investors,
Why did the cash flows remain negative?
Management’s core explanation: consolidated cash burn is dominated by the smart metering subsidiary / business model, while core EMS improved materially.
“As a standalone EMS business, our cash flow was 250 crore positive (vs 65 crore last year).”
Smart metering receivables: ~INR 1,365 crore, plus ~INR 250 crore referenced by an analyst as non-current/long-term component (management did not refute; implied similar).
On the ~600 crore negative, management claimed:
“by end of the third quarter… at least 70 to 80 percent of this will come down for sure, and by end of the year, we’ll be positive” (explicit but execution-dependent).
What is the market fearing?
Kaynes tech has a strong order book and is in all the sun rise sectors.
The company has strong expansion plans,
The real concern is if the company doesnt convert profits into cash,
The company will need to keep raising money thru equity,
Company raised,
1400cr in December 2023 through a QIP,
1600cr in June 2025, again through a QIP,
If the profits dont convert into real cash,
The need for cash infusion will be a major thing to watch for,
Management Guidance:-
Management repeatedly avoided explicit revenue numbers for FY27, citing volatility and customer pull-based recognition:
“We don’t want to attach a number,” instead committing to “outgrow the market… double the market growth.”
Working capital::-
Core EMS: commitment to remain cash positive and improve WC by 8–10 days over time.
Smart metering: explicit intent to change contracting model and deliver visible receivable reduction within ~3 quarters, with “quarterly progress” updates and potentially enhanced disclosures in presentations.
Valuation:-
Kaynes tech trades at 60x P/Ex
This is still not cheap,
Conclusion:-
Kaynes Technologies operates in sunrise sectors.
The company has gone for aggressive growth plans,
Management guidance has been way off the ground realities,
Management must be careful on the promises to the analyst community,
Underpromise and overdeliver is the key to all successful management.
P.S. This is my study and not investment advice
Please consult ur own financial advisor before taking any investment advice.

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@nishkumar1977 sir, 4th still running in #TARIL or the the 5th has commenced in it?
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