Tomas Heard

10.7K posts

Tomas Heard

Tomas Heard

@tomasheard

Doctor. Liberal democracy + globalism. YIMBY+LVT. Free speech+trade. Effective Altruism. Vegan runner+lifter. Systematically collected data over anecdotes.

Katılım Mayıs 2009
309 Takip Edilen366 Takipçiler
AI_🧃_In_My_Phone
AI_🧃_In_My_Phone@AI_In_My_Phone·
@marcportermagee Rich countries are rich because they're more intelligent. Poor countries are poor because they're less intelligent. Therefore, poor countries score worse on math tests. Somehow you invert this obvious truth to insinuate that poor countries are dumb because they're poor.
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Marc Porter Magee 🎓
Marc Porter Magee 🎓@marcportermagee·
“It’s better to be a poor pupil in a rich country than the reverse”
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@MinotaurStock @cremieuxrecueil ..one that emphasizes a hopeful story about how it usually boosts energy and takes the edge off and helps them start exercising and planning meals and fixing sleep hygiene and doing therapy, they're more likely to start up a virtuous cycle
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@MinotaurStock @cremieuxrecueil It definitely matters, cuz expectancy effects can compound and make or break a management strategy. If I give my patients an info sheet that emphasizes a bunch of scary ADEs, they're likely to spot one like ED, psych themselves out, worsen sexual anxiety and function. If I give..
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Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
A certain type of person seems to get extremely angry about the existence of nocebo effects, like they're being personally insulted because drugs don't do what they think they do.
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil

It's wild knowing that so many drug side effects are basically just people being scared of medicine. Whether it's actually a statin or a placebo, people report almost the same side effects, at similar rates, and they recover from those side effects at similar rates, too.

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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@marekjanous It's a weird thing to bring up, because increasing the birth rate is not in the cards. Best we can hope for is slowing the decline, try to stop TFR drop at 0.7 in Asia and 1.0 in Europe+Latam. Otherwise we'll see half the world's states in demographic+fiscal death spiral.
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Marek Janouš
Marek Janouš@marekjanous·
@tomasheard Neither have I accused you of that. But it may be inherent in the worries about population decline. Therefore it may be important to note explicitly that increasing birthrates will not solve rural depopulation.
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Hunter📈🌈📊
Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban·
A lot of countries are going to absolutely plummet in population in the next 75 years. You might see more images like this, an old stadium. Once grand infrastructure, no longer able to be sustained for its intended purpose, remade into something new but more mundane. Like those living in the ruins of Roman civilization.
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@marekjanous Who made that claim? Not I, nor OP, not anyone else I can see in this thread.
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Marek Janouš
Marek Janouš@marekjanous·
@tomasheard But what would make anyone believe that increasing birthrates in such a country would repopulate the countryside instead of increasing congestion of the urban centres?
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@1KawIguy @JJRDescarte @thereisnobeth GDP is a good measure of economic prosperity actually. An easy way to see this is by looking at which direction people migrate between high GDP per cap low manufacturing nations like Aus, NZ, Canada and other-way-round countries, like PRC, Mexico, Cambodia, Vietnam.
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@marekjanous @CryptoGeorgist It's not just pop size, but shape. This is RoK if current TFR continues. 2x retirees for every taxpayer. Govs lack revenue to pay pensions, health, infra. Food won't be the issue, farms will mechanize.
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@marekjanous @CryptoGeorgist It's not relevant because OP's claim is plummeting pop + abandoned infrastructure. That happens regardless of whether peak pop density was high, medium, or low. In fact, it's already happening. 450 schools/yr. Rural municipalities down 75%, not a few %. Working pop down ~80%.
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Rocky
Rocky@rockythe_cat·
@tomasheard @willrobhin @DrDiGiorgio DO are equivalent to MD in the US. Training is almost exactly the same. Literally everything about your comment is incorrect. Source: I'm an MD.
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@JJRDescarte @thereisnobeth Notice that if you add up those 5 agricultural exports, and divide by NZ GDP ($445 bn) you get 3.6%, further proving my point that the NZ economy is much more than 3 ag firms. Domestic industries drive income as surely as exports, which is why they're included in GDP.
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JJR-D
JJR-D@JJRDescarte·
@tomasheard @thereisnobeth Ughhhhh let’s see the export profile …… you know Tomas the thing that drives income …. Zero economic complexity much like Australia but you don’t have a tonne of resources pun intended 🙃
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@SeeboldThomas @warpnwoof @superbeav11 @DrDiGiorgio I have met and worked with one, and he was quite negative about the rigor of his education. I'm ok with scope creep for disciplines fully commited to EBP - RNs, CNs, BPharms. Nonetheless I will consider your comments. I thank you for taking the time to formulate them well.
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Thomas
Thomas@SeeboldThomas·
@tomasheard @warpnwoof @superbeav11 @DrDiGiorgio , especially since osteopath has a different meaning in Australia. I also understand your hesitancy to accept scope creep however, DOs are considered to be on equal footing as MDs here in the US. All of this aside, have you ever seen a DO in practice, or worked alongside one?
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Tomas Heard
Tomas Heard@tomasheard·
@SeeboldThomas @warpnwoof @superbeav11 @DrDiGiorgio ...associations deserve some blame - restrict supply of new doctors, resist expanding scope of evidence-based allied health disciplines eg nursing, pharmacy. Pseudoscientific practitioners arise to meet some of the unmet demand. Regulators then have a difficult choice, often...
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Keşfet

@AI_In_My_Phone @marcportermagee @MinotaurStock @cremieuxrecueil @marekjanous @1KawIguy @JJRDescarte @thereisnobeth