Jay R
4.4K posts
Many Canadians, especially members of the 2SLGBTQIA+ community, are in Puerto Vallarta, where violence has quickly escalated. A shelter-in-place order is in effect.
Please stay vigilant and consult the Government of Canada travel advisories for Mexico: travel.gc.ca/destinations/m…
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He just told you everything you need to know in one sentence and I am not sure he realizes it.
“Fully allowed, and legally tested, 15% level.”
Legally tested. This statute has never been invoked in 51 years. It has never been litigated. It has never survived a single judicial challenge. There is zero case law. Not one ruling. Not one circuit opinion. Not one district court order. The words “legally tested” are doing work that no courtroom has ever done.
Now the math. 15% is not a policy choice. It is the statutory ceiling. Section 122 caps the surcharge at 15% ad valorem. He did not raise the tariff to 15%. He maxed out the only tool he has left. There is no 20%. There is no 25%. There is no escalation. The leverage is gone because the ceiling is the floor and the floor expires in 150 days.
And here is what makes it worse. Indonesia signed its deal at 19%. India negotiated 18%. Both rates are now impossible to honor because the statute physically cannot go that high. He just told every country in the world that the enforcement mechanism behind their bilateral agreement is capped below the rate they agreed to.
“During the next short number of months, the Trump Administration will determine and issue the new and legally permissible Tariffs.”
Read that again. He is openly admitting Section 122 is a stopgap. He is telling you the replacement for the replacement has not been determined yet. The 150-day clock is running and the next instrument does not exist.
The IEEPA tariffs had no cap, no expiration, and country-specific rates. The replacement has a hard cap he just hit, a hard expiration in July, and cannot discriminate by country.
He went from unlimited to maximum in 24 hours and called it a victory.
The clocks do not read Truth Social.
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
The Supreme Court detonated $2.4 trillion in fiscal architecture yesterday morning. Wall Street rallied 0.69%. That gap between the headline and the mechanism is the most mispriced risk in global markets right now. Here is what actually died on February 20. Not a tariff rate. The capacity of the executive branch to offer country-specific concessions in exchange for investment commitments. Japan committed $550 billion for a 15% IEEPA rate. South Korea pledged $350 billion. The EU accepted $750 billion in procurement. Indonesia signed its deal on February 19, literally the day before the ruling. Every one of those deals was anchored to legal authority that six Supreme Court justices just declared never existed. The replacement is Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. It has never been invoked in its 51-year history. It was designed for a fixed-exchange-rate monetary system that ended in 1973. It expires in 150 days. And it cannot discriminate by country, which means the bilateral deal architecture is structurally dead. Six clocks are now converging on the same window. Section 122 expires July 24. USMCA six-year review triggers July 1. The Section 232 investigation pipeline races against both. China's rare earth suspension lifts in November. DFARS prohibits Chinese-origin critical minerals in defense systems January 1, 2027. Midterms force every Republican onto the record on tariff codification. The market is pricing a steady-state replacement. The mechanism says it is a 150-day fuse attached to six simultaneous detonators. No single analyst covers trade law, defense procurement, rare earth geopolitics, Fed confirmation politics, and midterm electoral dynamics simultaneously. That is why the convergence is invisible. Meanwhile, gold is above $5,000 and central banks purchased 863 tonnes in 2025. Bitcoin is down 40 to 50% from its all-time highs. The entities that actually constitute the monetary system chose atoms over promises. The verification cost inversion thesis is empirically dead. The consensus is not wrong about any single variable. It is wrong about the interaction effects. And the clocks do not care about consensus. Full analysis in today's publication. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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@grok @natashalovesu86 @YourAnonTV @grok dumb this down for us further. What is this specifically a list of?
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This refers to the DOJ's recent letter to Congress under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. It explains reasons for redactions in the released documents (like protecting victims or privacy) and lists all referenced government officials and politically exposed persons. Unredacted versions are available for congressional review. For details, see justice.gov/epstein.
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🚨⚡️BREAKING: Department of Justice has sent a letter to Congress explaining the reasoning behind the redactions made to the Epstein files.
The six-page document also includes a list of all “government officials and politically exposed persons” referenced in the files.
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Jay R retweetledi
Are you kidding! @cafreeland brought the #canadian economy to its knees. She was the worst and most unqualified #finance minister in Canadian history. She pissed off the #Chinese the #Egyptians the #Indians the #americans and finally the #Canadians so finally her own party did the right thing and banished her. The #ukraine is the last country on earth that can afford this level of incompendce. They are at war! On behalf of all canadians I beg for fogiveness!
Liberal Party@liberal_party
Thank you, @cafreeland, for your service to the people of University—Rosedale, to Canadians — including as Canada’s first woman Finance Minister — and to our Liberal Party. In so many ways, you've helped shape a better Canada and we wish you the best in your next chapter!
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TRUMP: "I am pleased to report that today, the United States has the strongest economy, the strongest borders, the strongest military, the strongest friendships, and the strongest spirit of any nation anywhere."
"This is the Golden Age of America."
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Jay R retweetledi
It was a magical ride with all of you.
Our city, our home, our fans showed up on the grand stage...and we couldn't be prouder.
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It was an honour to be recognized by The Chicago Council on Global Affairs as the 2025 Global Leader. Sharing this moment with so many inspiring leaders from Chicago and around the world was truly special. The Council’s work to bring people together across borders, ideas, and experiences matters more than ever. Thank you to the @ChicagoCouncil for this recognition and for your commitment to building a better, more united world.
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@JustinTrudeau You can’t be fucking serious! Get back on your new yacht and leave Canadians alone… you’ve done irreparable damage to this once great Country! You resigned… now leave us alone!
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Ten years ago today, Canadians chose a more hopeful path.
I’ll never forget that night in 2015. The energy, the optimism, and the belief that together, we could build a better future.
A decade later, we’ve lifted hundreds of thousands of people out of poverty, strengthened and grown the middle class, built a $10-a-day child care system, led the fight against climate change, advanced reconciliation, and made Canada more inclusive and fair for everyone.
I’m deeply grateful to everyone who was part of this journey and believed that better is always possible. 🇨🇦
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@nationalpost Trudeau completely destroyed Canada and made it unrecognizable… and we have the boomers to thank for re-electing that disaster of a party! 7 months in and we’re no better off! How’d that meeting with Trump go today? 🙄
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How quickly (and dramatically) Canadians lost faith with immigration
'In only a few years, Canadians went from near-universal support for immigration to a near-majority demanding mass-deportations'
nationalpost.com/opinion/how-qu…
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‘Lot of confidence’: Body language expert analyzes Carney’s shift in Trump meetings ctvnews.ca/politics/artic…
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Jay R retweetledi
Jay R retweetledi
@theJagmeetSingh Good riddance! You obliterated your party when you cozied up to the Liberals. Could have been Opposition Leader but instead you’re gonna lose your own seat! 🤡
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Dental care is on the ballot.
Make a plan to vote.
howyouvote.ca
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@Katie___Simpson What purpose did this question serve? And we’re worried about election interference from OUTSIDE the country?!
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Asked about tariffs first, annexation second during today’s White House briefing. No updated guidance on possible help for the auto sector, and the US President’s position on Canada as the 51st state has not changed.
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Friends! Friday is the first day of advance polls – and I've already got my plan to vote, do you?
Now is the time to have your say.
Tell your friends, family, coworkers — everyone, and make a plan to vote early.
Go to howyouvote.ca for more info.
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@theJagmeetSingh Can’t wait to see you lose your seat and resign… you helped destroy this country the last two years and I’m thankful karma will find its way on the 28th!
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Canada works best when no one gets left behind.
New Democrats have a plan to deliver for Northern Ontario communities and ensure Ottawa never forgets the people who live there.
We will fix healthcare, make groceries affordable, and rebuild the roads and connections you rely on.
Read more here: ndp.ca/northern-ontar…
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What’s your voting plan?
liberal.ca/how-to-vote/
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@MarkJCarney Ummmm this is already in place… If you’re gonna get tough on crime, don’t try to fool Canadians!
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Someone who’s been convicted of violent offences — especially intimate partner violence — should not be allowed to own a gun.
My government will automatically revoke their licences.
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Jay R retweetledi
🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦
I don’t buy the polls.
I especially don’t believe that they are truly without bias.
FACT - The @liberal_party has ONLY changed one person. The team is intact.
For the sake of Canada please vote to support @PierrePoilievre
🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 🇨🇦
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