TrungNR

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TrungNR

TrungNR

@trungnr

NFT Trader & Collector | Crypto Gamer NFT Strategist and Researcher | Follow for insights on the latest developments in NFTs and Web3

Katılım Kasım 2016
1.7K Takip Edilen1.9K Takipçiler
MrKangaroo
MrKangaroo@MrKangarooX·
polymarket tip #32 (this one isn’t a joke) everyone starts in the red zone, and it always goes the same way: - you hop onto polymarket for the first time, find something with <10% odds - see the payout for a $100 bet ($1,428.57 wow), you get excited (without even depositing), the prospect of being able to make money this easily is, well; lets just say your dopamine receptors appreciate your genius discovery
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wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
another profitable day (4/6), but once again i noticed that i’m still not managing my bankroll as efficiently as i’d like i’m working on finding a safer and more productive approach for my strategy ➤ i’ve also noticed that more and more people are starting to bet on basketball markets on @Polymarket which honestly makes me really happy i’m glad to be one of the reasons people are getting into it. it’s amazing to see this space growing ➤ i also want to thank everyone who’s been supporting me on this journey i’m not a professional trader or better, i’m just a person who loves basketball that’s why i started this challenge. to make it more fun, share interesting moments, and earn a bit along the way so keep going
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wincy.eth@gusik4ever

7th day of my basketball challenge (from $100 to $1000) on @Polymarket My bank: $115 On bet: $45 Today we have 6 NBA games on @Polymarket My eyes focus on this: <> Grizzlies vs Knicks (bet on total Under 234.5) Knicks and Grizzlies rarely go over a total of 231.5, especially in recent weeks For both teams, most games this season finish below this line, though the percentage is closer to 60% than 70% Memphis is still missing two key bigs (Clarke and Edey), and Morant is out of top shape statistically. The Grizzlies are likely to slow the game down The Knicks at home are traditionally strong on defense and rebounding, which should also keep the game tight Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-mem-… <> Raptors vs Nets (bet on total Under 234.5) Raptors average around 119 points per game, but in recent games their match totals cluster in the 220–230 range Nets have scoring issues, around 110 points per game, and that can drop against disciplined defenses The last two head-to-head games ended with totals of 202 and 229 points, supporting the idea of a lower total here Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-tor-… <> Celtics vs 76ers (bet on 76ers and total Over 229.5) 76ers are currently playing some of the best offensive basketball of the season. Their core is in great shape, and at home they’ve been fast-paced and confident Celtics, by contrast, are going through a transitional phase after losing key offensive pieces. Their three-point percentage has dropped noticeably, forcing them to rely more on Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and an inconsistent bench unit That said, Boston still maintains a competitive defense. Yet when they face strong offensive teams, their games often turn into high-scoring battles that open up late in the fourth quarter Looking at the last ten games for both teams, the total of 229.5 points has been surpassed in about 60% of cases. In their first head-to-head meeting this season, they combined for exactly 233 points Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-bos-… <> Warriors vs Thunder (bet on total Under 229.5) Thunder are one of the top defensive teams in the league, consistently holding opponents below their season scoring averages, especially at home They also rank among the top five teams in slow, half-court offense, a style that naturally limits possessions and keeps total scoring lower Warriors, meanwhile, are getting a boost with Steph Curry’s return and Butler, but their road games tend to be significantly less productive in terms of scoring Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-gsw-… <> Nuggets vs Kings (bet on total Under 243.5) The average total for games involving these two teams this season sits around 239–240 points Even in their head-to-head matchups, which are typically faster-paced with more possessions, the combined score has only occasionally surpassed the 243.5 line The Nuggets are a team that knows how and when to slow things down, especially in close games or during key stretches. Nikola Jokic often dictates the tempo, turning the game into a more controlled, half-court battle that limits possessions and naturally keeps totals lower Adding to that, the Kings’ inconsistent lineup has also affected their overall scoring output Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-den-… ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM

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Khoai
Khoai@nadusa2001·
Cắt lệnh ngủ thôi @edgeX_exchange mõm làm gì cho lắm!!! Lai rai đến lúc cháy acc!!
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Said
Said@said116dao·
FURIA🇧🇷 ARE THE IEM CHENGDU CHAMPIONS! They won 3-0 on maps, leaving Vitality with no chance of victory. 4 bets / 4 wins Furia always started the map poorly. So you just had to wait and bet on a lower chance, as I did. I bet very little on the first card because I placed bets on both Vitality and Furia. I used the "comeback" tactic. I placed bets when there was a gap in the score, for example, 7-2 in favor of Furia. I bet that Vitality would win the match, and the expected comeback to 7-7 happened, and the odds jumped from 24c to 64c. But I held on to those bets for too long, and Vitality lost, and the bet on Fury to win paid off. I only trade on @Polymarket
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Said@said116dao

IEM CHENGDU CS FINALS. LIGHTWEIGHT 2.5x ON FURIA? Are there any CS fans here? The IEM final will take place at 8 a.m. UTC-0. This will be one of the most interesting matches. These teams will meet in the final, and Polymarket gives the odds as follows - -> Furia - 64% -> Vitality - 39% They performed exceptionally well at this tournament. Both teams deserve to win. The market sees Team Vitality as the favorites. But Furia is ready to give them an answer. I think all five cards will be played in this match. It's hard to believe in a clear victory, as Furia is currently playing at a high level. Furia is currently the top 2 team in the world, and Vitality is the top 1. What about team statistics? Vitality: - Win rate 3m - 76.9% - Lost only 1 game in this tournament. - Have a winning streak of 4 - Lost 5 cards in this tournament - Won 5 games Furia: - Win rate 3m - 74.2% - Lost 1 game in this tournament - Lost 2 cards during the entire tournament. - Won 4 games The statistics for these teams are quite similar. Meetings between these teams: This year, they only had one meeting on October 10. It ended in favor of Team Vitality with a score of 2-1 on the maps. Team Vitality looks like the clear favorite to win. Most likely, that's what will happen. THIS IS A VERY RISKY BET. YOU SHOULD ONLY PLACE IT IF YOU ARE WATCHING THE GAME AND CAN SEE HOW THE PLAYERS ARE PERFORMING. It's better to bet on individual matches. I will watch the live broadcast and place bets in real time What bets did I set for myself and why: - O/U 4.5 -> Over 34% There are only 7 cards in the deck for games, and 1 card is not played by Vitality or Furia. That means there are only 6 cards left for peaks. Here are the win rates for teams on these maps: Vitality / Map / Furia 91% / Dust2 / 50% 67% / Mirage / 67% 73% / Inferno / 65% 67% / Nuke / 78% 44% / Train / 67% 50% / Overpass / 85% We can see that Furia performs better than Vitality on half of the maps. Therefore, we can expect Vitality to win with a score of 3-2. - After determining the maps, I will bet on Furia winning on maps such as Overpass, Nuke, and Train. Overpass is key here. NFA DYOR I only trade on @Polymarket

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wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
new happy profit night on NBA with @Polymarket 4/5 hit and printed more money (but i should bet more than $5 lmao) < my paper analytics below :D >
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wincy.eth@gusik4ever

4th day of my basketball challenge (from $100 to $1000) on @Polymarket My bank: $107.5 On bet: $25 Today we have 12 NBA games on @Polymarket My eyes focus on this: <> Cavaliers vs Wizards (bet on total Under 242.5) Cavs are definitely the favorites, but the profit from a bet priced around 80c would be too small based on my risk management There’s also a chance the odds will drop further during the game. Cavs dominate across most metrics Based on a comprehensive analysis using five calculation methods, historical data, defensive metrics, and both teams’ current form, I expect the game total to reach around 227.9 points Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-… <> Raptors vs Hawks (bet on Raptors and total Over 235.5) Toronto raptors are clear favorites, yet traders on Polymarket are seriously underestimating them Raptors outperform in almost every offensive and defensive metric. Hawks losing Trae Young is a much bigger hit than the Raptors losing Vanvleet In their last matchup, the Raptors completely dominated and won by a 30-point margin A high-scoring game is expected, both teams rank in the league’s top 10 for scoring Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-tor-… <> Rockets vs Spurs (bet on total Over 222.5) Rockets usually play in high-total games (around 240.5), while the Spurs are in lower ones (229.0), that’s an 11.5-point difference In my opinion, the markets are overvalued. Historically, the combined average total for both teams is 234.8 Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-hou-… <> Thunder vs Kings (bet on total Over 229.5) Thunder are in better shape. Holmgren and Caruso are back (a clear boost!), with only Wiggins sidelined Kings are weaker: Murray is out long-term and Sabonis is questionable Thunder are elite offensively, easily putting up 120+ points against almost anyone. Kings have one of the weakest defenses (drtg 116+), and opponents usually score 7–10 points above their average against them Both teams play at a fast pace, trading threes and rarely slowing down for long defensive possessions Exceptions would be an unusually slow game or terrible shooting, but that’s rare for both teams (under 30% of games) Link on market: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-… ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM

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poezdec 🫵😹
poezdec 🫵😹@poesdec·
i’m trading attention every hype cycle = a market. attention = the new asset class. yesterday during the GTA 6 hype i print +75% in just an hour 😼 saw the rockstar post -> open long -> easy profit attention index scrapes X / Reddit / YouTube in real time - mapping what the internet’s obsessed with now you can long/short the narrative itself attention is the most underpriced asset on earth - making it liquid = pure genius
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poezdec 🫵😹@poesdec

@TrendleFi LONG GTA VI "BREAKING: Rockstar has postponed GTA 6 until 19 November 2026 The game was originally scheduled for release on 26 May 2026." 2 invitations: app.trendle.fi/i/1/1/poesdec/…

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TrungNR
TrungNR@trungnr·
I just started with @TrendleFi ! Want to join in? 👇👇👇
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dunik
dunik@dunik_7·
good morning how I feel when I win a bet on @Polymarket
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Saurav
Saurav@saurav_tweets·
i found this polymarket about which company will have the best ai model by the end of 2025 and here’s the wild part you can literally buy alibaba (qwen) for 1.9¢ and deepseek for 0.6¢ that’s basically free exposure to two chinese labs that have been quietly moving fast i’m not expecting them to win outright but if that happens, that’s pure luck but even small momentum could push these odds way higher so here’s why i think the upside here is real 👇 jensen huang yesterday said china might win the ai race this isn’t from some random influencer, it’s coming from nvidia’s ceo, the guy whose chips power every major ai model on earth in a recent interview with the financial times, he said: > china is going to win the ai race his reasoning was simple and brutally logical: cheap, subsidized power: chinese data centers get heavy energy subsidies. huang literally said that for some ai labs, “power is basically free.” less regulation: while the US wrestles with 50 different state-level ai rules, china moves in one direction that is being fast scale: with cheaper compute and faster iteration, chinese labs can train, test, and release updates at breakneck speed that’s the structural edge that most people ignore when they see 1¢ odds the nof1ai competition showed qwen3 isn’t just hype in the nof1ai challenge a knockout-style competition where top ai models go head-to-head we saw qwen3 came in strong late in the contest, it actually outperformed several western models in direct matchups and these weren’t just text tests, they involved coding, reasoning, and adaptive problem solving that run made a lot of developers and analysts pay attention and with more updates expected soon, qwen3 could easily climb back into public focus deepseek’s history shows how fast things can flip last year, deepseek went from being barely known to completely viral in weeks they launched a new open-source model and suddenly, every developer community was using it their leaderboard ranking exploded as people started testing and remixing it the excitement spread globally and reddit, hugging face, github were all filled with deepseek comparisons so when people call these chinese plays cheap, they’re forgetting that deepseek already pulled this exact move once and they have a v3.2-exp model coming soon, with sparse attention it will a big deal for longer, cheaper reasoning what is lmarena it all comes down to lmarena.ai because these rankings will resolve this market this market doesn’t resolve on internal benchmarks, it resolves based on arena scores from lmarena the world’s most human-driven leaderboard lmarena works through blind head-to-head matchups you give a prompt, two anonymous models respond, and you vote for the better one with no brand names, no bias each win or loss updates a model’s elo score, so rankings can shift in just days if a new model gets traction or goes viral that means if deepseek or qwen3 drop a strong update, a quick surge in user votes could send them flying up the leaderboard and polymarket odds would follow fast the real play is buying deepseek at 0.6¢ or qwen3 at 1.9¢ isn’t a bet on them dominating the ai world, it’s a bet on volatility and visibility these models don’t need to win outright, they just need to move up the rankings enough to catch attention with cheap compute, faster rollouts, and open-source communities behind them, both have a real shot at surprising everyone before 2025 ends and when jensen huang says china could win the ai race, you don’t ignore this in my opinion would love to hear thoughts of all OGs right here
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𝗡𝗜𝗖𝗢𝗟𝗘✰
10 common mistakes most people make on @Polymarket and how to avoid them☟ 1. Chasing hype markets They rush into trending topics like elections or Trump odds. By then, every edge is gone. If it’s viral, it’s already priced in. 2. Overbetting on emotion After one win, they double their stake. After one loss, they chase it back. Pros stick to fixed percentages per trade. 3. Holding too long They stay in positions even after prices already reflect their thesis. Taking profit at 70% is still winning. 4. Ignoring liquidity They enter low volume markets and get trapped. Liquidity means freedom to exit when odds shift. 5. Trading based on vibes “Feels obvious” is the most expensive phrase in prediction markets. If you can’t explain the odds, you’re guessing. 6. Forgetting time decay As events get closer, the edge shrinks. The biggest profits come early when uncertainty is high. 7. Not tracking performance No logs, no notes, no data, no progress. Serious traders record every entry, exit, and thesis. 8. Panicking at volatility Odds move fast on Polymarket. The best response is smaller sizing and patience. 9. Focusing only on wins They celebrate green trades but ignore why they won. Real growth comes from studying both wins and losses. 10. Treating it like gambling Guessing outcomes might feel fun, but profits come from discipline, timing, and analysis. Polymarket rewards accuracy. Trade with structure, not emotion.
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Logics
Logics@immortalhowwl·
BREAKING: Chaos, Noise, and Manipulation in the NYC Mayoral Market Just 4 hours left until the election ends I’ve studied the massive market and countless tweets Here are 15 key takeaways to help you understand what’s really happening and make your final call Main highlights: • NYC mayoral election market on Polymarket expires today • Current odds: Mamdani 92%, Cuomo 8% • Mamdani appears twice on the ballot - confusion adds chaos • Almost $400M in trading volume - biggest Polymarket market ever • Back in June, Cuomo was at 80%, scandals flipped the market • Mamdani is the DSA progressive candidate backed by the left • Trump and Musk publicly support Cuomo, pushing an anti-Mamdani narrative • Obama refused to endorse Mamdani - rare political silence • @Polysights data: 14x more insider bets on Mamdani than on Cuomo • Multiple whales dropped $30-40k on Cuomo in the last hours • Trader "stelth" parked $87k total, mostly on Mamdani • Alleged manipulation: top 10 wallets control 40% of market volume • Much of the capital flows through major centralized exchanges like Binance, Bybit, OKX • Some believe the market is a psyop to influence voter confidence • Despite Mamdani’s dominance, a late Cuomo surge isn’t impossible Market: polymarket.com/event/new-york… Conclusion: it looks like Mamdani already won - market overheated, media convinced, insiders aligned But the signs of artificial price support and narrative control are too clear Cuomo’s upset chances are small, yet the market smells rigged NFA, DYOR & good luck, polyfrens! coded by @Polymarket <3
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dedsec (prediction arc)
as the nyc mayoral race enters its final hours, elon musk has just publicly endorsed andrew cuomo he said "bear in mind that a vote for curtis is really a vote for mamdani" but the @Polymarket odds aren’t budging, still holding strong at 92% for mamdani despite this aggressive endorsement from elon musk
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TrungNR
TrungNR@trungnr·
@Polymarket A player or an insider? I see he started buying YES 2 months ago.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: A whale just dropped over $1 million on Mamdani winning the NYC Mayoral Election. They'll profit $127k if he does. Is this a bond?
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Bitcoin.com News
Bitcoin.com News@BitcoinNews·
JUST IN: ⚡ Polymarket now shows an 80% chance of #Bitcoin dropping below $100K before 2026. Market sentiment, or probability at work?
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mango_lassi
mango_lassi@mango_lassi·
Someone on Polymarket just dropped over $1M betting that Mamdani will be NYC's next mayor 😳 If he's right, he'll cash in $127k profit 💰 Check his profile here 👉 @dubdubdub2?via=mango-lassi" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@dubdubdub2?vi…
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