mango_lassi

This Polymarket trader started with $20k and is now up $354k in profits 💰 That's an insane 18x return in just five months 🔥 Curious how he pulled it off Check his profile here 👉 @FirstOrder?via=mango-lassi" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@FirstOrder?vi…

@mustafap0ly big or bigggg

big announcement monday 😛🪙

We just launched the biggest update ever! Our new website predictfolio.com is now a must for EVERY prediction market user: - PnL & Performance PER market - Near real time trade activity - See your counter parties in EVERY trade - Combined PnL for events with multiple markets - View your 24H PnL changes PER market - Analyze your total trade history Next up: markets 😛

@AlphaxonP @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @betmoardotfun Woah insane streak

+7.24K in 2 weeks — every single day green in a row on bonds

@CarOnPolymarket trump has a plan for everything!

In a 1988 interview Trump said he would “take” Kharg island from Iran More than 40 years later he bombed the island. The odds of US invading Iran are now at a record high of 43% Trump’s interview in 1988: What would he do about Iran, for instance? ‘I’d be harsh on Iran. They’ve been beating us psychologically, making us look a bunch of fools. One bullet shot at one of our men or ships and I’d do a number on Kharg Island. I’d go in and take it. Iran can’t even beat Iraq, yet they push the United States around. It’d be good for the world to take them on.’

@XPredicter @BrokieTrades Million-dollar strat if you grok the curvature. Flat-sizers stay poor.

@mango_lassi @BrokieTrades do people read this shit?

Gave my roommate a Polymarket API key. Told him: this guy is mass printing on political markets. He made $247,000 in 5 months. Roommate replied: 'dude, this is literally Bayes' theorem from Stats 101. Hard-code this into a bot and it'll do the same thing.' 2 minutes to deploy. I checked. Started analyzing. Same markets as everyone else. Same entry prices. But one thing was different. He sized his positions using one formula. Most traders put the same amount on every bet. He went 40x on some, 0.5x on others. A formula from Stats 101. f* = (bp − q) / b. Sounds like gibberish. In reality — one sentence. And it explains why 91% of Polymarket traders have negative ROI even when their win rate is above 50%. Your brain treats every bet the same. Say you find two markets. Both at 50 cents. Market A you're 80% sure resolves YES. Market B you're 55% sure. Normal person: $500 on each. Kelly says: $1,200 on A. $45 on B. Same bankroll, completely different allocation. Iran Supreme Leader market. 6 candidates. Most traders spread $1000 evenly. $166 each. Kelly calculation on Mohseni-Eje'i at 14 cents with 45% implied probability: f* = 0.36. Put 36% of bankroll on one name. Resolved. +$89,000. Equal-weight traders made $4,200 on the same outcome. A 21x difference from one formula. Built a bot. One rule: size every position by Kelly fraction. 24 trades. +74% ROI. When I sized manually — 52 trades and −3%. This is how the sharps actually trade Polymarket. Not better picks. Better sizing. One formula. 2 minutes to set up. Try it.

@CarOnPolymarket Good read

SCOOP: I’ve uncovered the identity behind the anonymous Polymarket account that has correctly predicted 8 separate military events, profiting over $100,000 in the process. The trader, known as "BulkeyBull," holds an impressive winning record focused exclusively on U.S. military actions. In my previous post, I noted his purchase of a new position regarding U.S. forces entering Iran; he won that trade the same day, profiting $20,000. After several attempts, I finally managed to contact him via Discord. He provided some insights into his thought process. Contrary to public speculation, I can confirm he is not a government insider. He claims to trade based on non-military and non-government data, collaborating with a network of OSINT (Open Source Intelligence) researchers and retired Psychological Operations and Intelligence personnel. However, I confronted him on how he bet "YES" on Maduro being ousted and U.S. military action in Venezuela occurring between December 25–31. He bought those positions at odds of just 1% only days before the events unfolded, but lost after a multi day delay due to bad weather. I thought that position was very strange, as the operation should have been secret to everyone outside of the military. NYT later reported that due to poor weather conditions, the operation got delayed by a few days and was originally supposed to happen in the last week of December, so BulkeyBull somehow knew about it while the market priced it at only 1%. He explained that he entered those positions after observing a massive buildup at SOUTHCOM, paired with the President’s consistent rhetoric. "The President, although I don't agree with him, consistently does what he says," he told me. "If there was a market on him disregarding the War Powers Resolution, if it passes, I would bet on it 100%." Regarding the predictions on U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran on January 14, he lost his "YES" bet when the President reportedly canceled the strike at the last minute. However, by February 28, he managed to correctly time the US & Israel joint strikes on Iran. For those following his predictions, he told me about his next prediction: "I'm going to go hard on the conflict being concluded by June 30, with regime change by that same date. The President and the Republican Party cannot afford for this to drag on that long. Especially with casualties, which are bound to rise."

@CarOnPolymarket @corgil Goat trader, well deserved!

I just hit $1,000,000 PNL on Polymarket! It all started with a $500 deposit 2 years ago Huge milestone. 2M is next poly.market/user/Car

@XPredicter @holy_moses7 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade start with 1000 and reach 1M

@holy_moses7 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade should i start with a 1$ account and try my luck?

$100 to $100,000 in only 1 year on Polymarket. I literally can't believe I hit this milestone. Thank you to everyone who supported me from the start. To anyone still out there: never doubt your dream My profile, if you are curious about my next trade: @XPredicter1?via=xp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@XPredicter1?v…

@XPredicter @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade woah amazing bro!!

@CarOnPolymarket real

Ive been hearing things about the top 100 users of Polymarket getting $10M airdrop each and thousands of users getting $1M+ each

@kashishonchain @tradehotstuff @mks_hot @hotstuff_labs oh wait she's promoting something bet nobody noticed👀

@Osint613 whats your profile

I was spot on.

@abhiandniyu @championswimmer *you're

@championswimmer thanks for proving your low IQ - I didnt delete the tweet :) there was nothing wrong in it.

Got dunked. Deleted tweet. Tweeting again without holding govt accountable. Getting dunked left and right again. 😂😂

@CarOnPolymarket @DeItaone 🤣

After hundreds of undisclosed Kalshi ads, Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) decided he does not want to get his account banned

@Foster @PredMTrader gg man!!

This time last year, I had just crossed $10,000 in all time profit in my trading. And today I just broke $700,000... Unreal acceleration I am super grateful for, and I hope to keep going. I am up over $209K in the first ~50 days of 2026 alone. I don't think I've ever mentioned it, but back when I started on pm's I tried to log every day of trading - my profits, strategies, theories, what worked, and what I needed to improve on. It was kinda silly but I felt like facing mistakes and reflecting at the end of the day really helped me nail down what worked for me and what didn't. And nowadays it's super cool to look back on and see how far I've come, and also to keep myself grounded

@PredMTrader @Foster @Squee451 damn i would have bet on this too

@Foster Not looking good for @Squee451

@CarOnPolymarket @CSP_Trading what a scam

@CSP_Trading To make it even worse, they don't pay me a single dollar. Is this a scam platform? Are they insolvent?

KALSHI STEALS FROM ITS USERS Today im launching KalshiSteals.wtf to keep a running tally of how much Kalshi has stolen from its users by not paying out interest on time. Again, Polymarket pays out 4% yield on 2028 positions that are sent EVERY DAY out of their own pocket

@evan_semet @Polymarket @judyshel 🤡

Tonight @Polymarket scammed me out of 25 grand. The odds for @judyshel were clearly above 5% for the majority of minutes of an hour period. All’s well that ends well? Maybe this is the end of @Polymarket?

@kashishonchain @GadgetLeo 👀

@GadgetLeo 👀

Mom asked what I do for work you sit in a room and somehow make hella money!! what is this web3 & crypto? it’s not illegal na you don’t scam people right! What should I tell her?