Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊

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Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊

Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊

@ttyuanli

An accountant who loves music. PhD Candidate. Former Adidas Council Member. 专注撸毛|淡化交易|深度求索

Katılım Temmuz 2018
3.2K Takip Edilen3.3K Takipçiler
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Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊
Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊@ttyuanli·
L2 不再是“以太坊的分片”, 而是围绕以太坊展开的一整个创新光谱 以太坊要做的不是要求一致, 而是把“无需信任的最强基线”做到极致 ----- v 神宣言 L1 变便宜 + L2 很难 Stage 2 会把“通用 EVM 扩容 L2”变成更像公用事业的生意,而是把“差异化能力”与“更强的以太坊级安全语义”变成溢价来源,L2 又要大变天了~ 1⃣ 最容易被压估值的:通用 EVM、主卖点是“更便宜” L1 继续扩容后,“更便宜”边际效用下降 DA 成本下降、互操作工具成熟后,用户迁移成本更低,主打便宜的 L2 已经跑不通叙事了 2⃣ 会被重估的第一类:极致低延迟/极致性能(L1 也替代不了) 这类是“即使 2026 gas limit 上调也不够”的性能红利 MegaETH 属于这里(偏正面重估,但风险也集中) @megaeth 的公开定位非常明确:real-time、超低延迟、10 万 TPS 量级,主打 Web2 级交互体验。它不靠“L1 太贵”这个前提活着,而是靠“L1 再便宜也给不了实时性/极致吞吐”的需求活着。 3⃣ 会被重估的第二类:非 EVM / 隐私 / 可验证计算(L1 扩容不解决) Miden 属于这里(更偏“差异化技术平台”的溢价) @0xMiden 的定位核心是 STARK-based ZK rollup + Miden VM,强调可编程、隐私与可验证计算的设计空间 当“便宜交易”不再稀缺时,稀缺会转向:隐私能力,更适合 ZK 的执行模型,更强的 client-side / 可验证计算范式 这属于 L1 扩容也不会自动提供的能力集合, miden 潜力无限 再见了老的 L2 !!!
Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊 tweet media
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin

There have recently been some discussions on the ongoing role of L2s in the Ethereum ecosystem, especially in the face of two facts: * L2s' progress to stage 2 (and, secondarily, on interop) has been far slower and more difficult than originally expected * L1 itself is scaling, fees are very low, and gaslimits are projected to increase greatly in 2026 Both of these facts, for their own separate reasons, mean that the original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path. First, let us recap the original vision. Ethereum needs to scale. The definition of "Ethereum scaling" is the existence of large quantities of block space that is backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum - that is, block space where, if you do things (including with ETH) inside that block space, your activities are guaranteed to be valid, uncensored, unreverted, untouched, as long as Ethereum itself functions. If you create a 10000 TPS EVM where its connection to L1 is mediated by a multisig bridge, then you are not scaling Ethereum. This vision no longer makes sense. L1 does not need L2s to be "branded shards", because L1 is itself scaling. And L2s are not able or willing to satisfy the properties that a true "branded shard" would require. I've even seen at least one explicitly saying that they may never want to go beyond stage 1, not just for technical reasons around ZK-EVM safety, but also because their customers' regulatory needs require them to have ultimate control. This may be doing the right thing for your customers. But it should be obvious that if you are doing this, then you are not "scaling Ethereum" in the sense meant by the rollup-centric roadmap. But that's fine! it's fine because Ethereum itself is now scaling directly on L1, with large planned increases to its gas limit this year and the years ahead. We should stop thinking about L2s as literally being "branded shards" of Ethereum, with the social status and responsibilities that this entails. Instead, we can think of L2s as being a full spectrum, which includes both chains backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum with various unique properties (eg. not just EVM), as well as a whole array of options at different levels of connection to Ethereum, that each person (or bot) is free to care about or not care about depending on their needs. What would I do today if I were an L2? * Identify a value add other than "scaling". Examples: (i) non-EVM specialized features/VMs around privacy, (ii) efficiency specialized around a particular application, (iii) truly extreme levels of scaling that even a greatly expanded L1 will not do, (iv) a totally different design for non-financial applications, eg. social, identity, AI, (v) ultra-low-latency and other sequencing properties, (vi) maybe built-in oracles or decentralized dispute resolution or other "non-computationally-verifiable" features * Be stage 1 at the minimum (otherwise you really are just a separate L1 with a bridge, and you should just call yourself that) if you're doing things with ETH or other ethereum-issued assets * Support maximum interoperability with Ethereum, though this will differ for each one (eg. what if you're not EVM, or even not financial?) From Ethereum's side, over the past few months I've become more convinced of the value of the native rollup precompile, particuarly once we have enshrined ZK-EVM proofs that we need anyway to scale L1. This is a precompile that verifies a ZK-EVM proof, and it's "part of Ethereum", so (i) it auto-upgrades along with Ethereum, and (ii) if the precompile has a bug, Ethereum will hard-fork to fix the bug. The native rollup precompile would make full, security-council-free, EVM verification accessible. We should spend much more time working out how to design it in such a way that if your L2 is "EVM plus other stuff", then the native rollup precompile would verify the EVM, and you only have to bring your own prover for the "other stuff" (eg. Stylus). This might involve a canonical way of exposing a lookup table between contract call inputs and outputs, and letting you provide your own values to the lookup table (that you would prove separately). This would make it easy to have safe, strong, trustless interoperability with Ethereum. It also enables synchronous composability (see: ethresear.ch/t/combining-pr… and ethresear.ch/t/synchronous-… ). And from there, it's each L2's choice exactly what they want to build. Don't just "extend L1", figure out something new to add. This of course means that some will add things that are trust-dependent, or backdoored, or otherwise insecure; this is unavoidable in a permissionless ecosystem where developers have freedom. Our job should make to make it clear to users what guarantees they have, and to build up the strongest Ethereum that we can.

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Nathan@0xNathanWalk·
Genius 是我最近要 TGE 唯一有参与感的项目,1月份市场情绪还没这么熊,做表的时候居然敢写 1B估值 20%的空投份额,现在看就是笑话。 现在 Aspecta 盘前 1.78亿,Polymarekt 74%的概率大于1亿,34%的概率大于2亿,所以 Poly 上给出的估值大概是 1.5亿的样子,算是和 Aspecta 一致。 假设FDV 1.5亿,1.5万积分780U,当初刷的时候磨损忘记了,好像200U的样子,不知道后续大家的积分磨损都多少,希望不要反撸给个猪脚饭。 牛市的收益预期无限趋近于右下角,当下的预期无限趋近于左上角。回看过去亏过的钱,一切都源于韭菜爱幻想。
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Nathan@0xNathanWalk

「⌞ @GeniusTerminal 积分价值预估 ⌝」 Genius 公布公投时间以及具体规则,积分总量 2亿不变,4月12日左右 TGE。 积分总量不变意味着积分价值可以预估。 数千万美金的投资,三五亿的 FDV 应该有吧,提前恭喜这几天上车的小伙伴,3天时间获得 37.5%的空投总量。 3个月时间空投也算是短平快,现在刷可能没有前几天性价比高,但是现在你还有更好的项目可以玩吗。 Genius 目前可以看到的 3个时间节点: 1⃣ 规则更改之前 2⃣ 手续费减免期 3⃣ 手续费减免后 如果想上车,现在不是最好的时机,但也不是最差的时机。 我的建议,先上车,这也会是我今年的主要打法,参与更多项目,在大浪淘沙中筛选优质项目,而不是因为偏见错过。 邀请链接:tradegenius.com/ref/OYQN6E 邀请积分收回,之后只会有 35%的手续费返佣了,多号的小伙伴就当省点 Gas 吧。 // *** 积分规则总结 *** // 1⃣ 4月12日左右 TGE 2⃣ 积分 2亿总量不变 3⃣ 奖励日常使用的真实用户 4⃣ 之前交易量获得的 GP 会被保留 5⃣ 所有引荐GP收回,用 35%的手续费代替,现金 6⃣ 已经发放 7500万积分 7⃣ 积分每周固定发放 1000万 8⃣预留 500万 GP 用来轮盘等激励活动 9⃣ 稳定币 0.5倍权重,其他现货 1倍权重 🔟 交易笔数不再影响分配 1⃣1⃣ 登记分为4级: 1> 10万,手续费 0.3% 2> 100万,手续费 0.2% 3> 1000万,手续费 0.1% 4> 1亿,手续费 0.05%

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Billions 华语社区
Billions 华语社区@Billions_CN·
🔵 从社区走进 Billions:3名新成员加入团队 @horkays @Ghost_IOO @jackxx969 正式加入 Billions 💙 他们没有投简历,每天都在buidl社区 听起来很熟悉? @monitalan@HeyAverno 当年也是这样。 现在他们共同管理整个社区。 这就是在 Billions 获得位置的方式。 👉 加入我们:billions.network 💬 中文社区:t.me/Billions_CN
Billions@billions_ntwk

Welcome @horkays @Ghost_IOO @jackxx969 to the Billions team 💙 Three interns hired straight from the Billions community. They didn't apply to a job listing. They showed up. Every day. In the trenches with us. Sound familiar? @monitalan and @HeyAverno did the same thing. Now they co-lead the entire community. That's how you earn a spot at Billions.

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Nathan@0xNathanWalk·
@ttyuanli 偶尔搞搞互关啥的,熊市有时间搞粉丝。
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Nathan@0xNathanWalk·
很多小伙伴开通 OKX 星球碰到各种问题可以加入官方星球交流群,不过现在里面多数都是互关的,连接我会放在评论区。 因为星球自动同步推特内容,绑定一次终身受益,相当于零撸了。牛市忙着搞钱,熊市可以磨铲子,用历史的垃圾时间把推特账号做起来就是熊市中最牛叉的零撸,IP 是超级复利的,我想不到当下还有比这个更值得你投入的项目了。
Nathan@0xNathanWalk

OKX 星球绑定推特后就没管,2个关注 41个粉丝给了 6U 的创作者收益,有点意外。 星球的推文是自动同步推特的,不需要耗费任何精力,如果 OKX 想在内容上发力,前期用户估计会有一些机会。 没绑定的记得去绑一下,NathanWalk,注册的可以关注下。

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Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊
@MuxuanqingCpa 巧了~~级别一样,退休的时候职级并行靠上去的+40年工龄退休金~~三部分加上接近13000,老师副高退休=副处待遇(但是少了单位津贴),事业单位退休也不止5000吧🤔 一巡(二级教授)退休单单社保退休金差不多 12000多,什么正科退休月薪 18000,就是糊弄傻子玩的(除非是军队或者特殊贡献)天天意淫
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Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊
🚨 Billions Network ($BILL) 发售估值预判 📊 核心结论 在当前极度恐惧市场(恐惧贪婪指数 = 10)下,$BILL 合理 FDV 区间: 👉 1.5亿 – 4亿美元 对应:初始价格 $0.015 – $0.04 初始流通市值(IMC):3450万 – 9200万美元 🧠 估值逻辑拆解 1、市场环境压制 BTC ≈ $66,786,但情绪极弱(F&G=10) 熊市定价逻辑:融资倍数降至 5–10x(牛市为15–20x) 2、赛道对标(DID) 当前中位FDV:约2–3亿美元 类似项目普遍开盘承压,破发常见 别骂我~~ @SurfAI 的胡言乱语 🔗: asksurf.ai/share/23f29862…
Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊 tweet media
Billions@billions_ntwk

DeepFake → DeepTrust 😮Scary story: Bad people created deepfakes of Billions cofounder @sandeepnailwal and joined Google Meet calls pretending to be him, as our Billions CEO and cofounder Evin McMullen @provenauthority explains. Our DeepTrust framework fixes deepfakes and the identity problem for AI agents with our "Verified Agent Identity" skill for OpenClaw🦞 and other AI agents

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Captain Kent | 肯特船长🪶
为什么 USDT 发行商敢给自己估值5000万美元? 什么概念?这估值是宇宙第一所 币安 的5倍,和老支付巨头 VISA 相当,是宇宙第一股 SpaceX 的1/4。 它凭什么?因为它可以无限印钞?利润率接近100%?有点魔幻啊兄弟们。
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Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊
目前熊市中最好的策略(个人观点) 1、定投 标普500 、纳斯达克,假设要跌30%,每 1% 加一次仓位,就是30份 2、刷 polymarket ( 低成本的去交互) 3、去吃稳定币的利息
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Surf@SurfAI·
Surf Studio never fails to impress. Aggressively providing free credits to passionate builders and enthusiasts who wish to create with Studio. Comment below for free credit codes along with what you plan to build.
IB 💸@flyest

just got access to @SurfAI Studio and honestly, this is beyond ridiculous. i cannot contain these superpowers. h/t @0x_dingus for the white glove onboarding. back to the lab.

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Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊
现在已经看不到,那种教大家怎么撸毛(人均 几千u、几万u) 的文章了~~ 这个行业的风向太重要了,去年 mira 这种没人关注的小项目上线都能 20亿 估值,现在天王级上来都没有 10亿级别 所以,熊市就别太努力了,耐心点,不亏就是赚 @0xMiden \ @OpenGradient \ @base \ @Polymarket 下个牛市见!
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Ttyuanli 🎒🕊️ 🌊
a16z 投资 2500万的 ai 项目 @yupp_ai 关门了 这让我想起 @SurfAI ( 好的产品一定是要收费的,尤其是 ai ) yupp 最大的失败就是打法太单一,远没有 surfai 这么会玩 目前币圈最看好的 ai 应用只此一家 !
Pankaj Gupta@pankaj

1/ We’ve made the difficult decision to wind down yupp.ai. The website will be up for another 15 days during which time users can download their chat data. New users won’t be able to sign up and existing users won’t be able to create new conversations after today. Yupp is a loved product by many and we are sorry to the community for this outcome.

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Nathan@0xNathanWalk·
这是菊厂过去十几年的股权分红走势,今年历史最低。菊厂员工收入三驾马车:工资,项目奖年终奖,股票分红。 菊厂新员工对比其他大厂,工资收入没有任何竞争力,年终奖很低,股票前两三年基本没有。 但是随着时间推移,绩效A的火车头每年配股越来越多5年期限的 TPU 也会更多,五年后的车头收入会开始碾压其他大厂,这就是任先生说的板凳需坐十年冷,想在菊厂赚钱得耐得住寂寞。当然这是火车头,车皮是不行的。 10个点的年化收益分红对于外界来说已经很高,华为的信誉也不至于跑路,算是无风险收益,但放在员工总包里与其他大厂对比,竞争力会降低很多。 当然现在经济下行,工作不好找,特别是35岁以上的,公司也不太担心老员工跑路,没准还想着你快点走呢。 其实我想知道 Polymarket 官号为啥关注中国科技公司利润,还搞了个突发。
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Polymarket@Polymarket

BREAKING: Chinese tech companies reported their weakest quarterly profit growth in three years.

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Nathan@0xNathanWalk·
将前两周解压的 Kaito 和 HUMA 质押陆续提到交易所分批卖掉,暂时告别链上质押以及时间稍长的链上活动。 Kaito 和 HUMA 是过去一年唯二参与质押的项目,面对熊市的冲击也无法独善其身。 Kaito 作为 web3 宣发平台,造富效应一定是跟着行情走的,X 的致命一击,直接让曾经的商业模式走进了死胡同,目前我看不到任何未来。 因为盈利业务在 Web2,一度认为 HUMA 可以在熊市提供有竞争力的收益,结果面对现在的稳定币大战,这个链上收益已经毫无竞争力了。 现在 Maxi 6M 的年化 9%,Classic 12.7%,Prime 20.7%,唯一可以参与一下的 Prime 的额度少的可怜,而其他两个不如放交易所理财。 如果你觉得如团队所说未来一年 HUMA 币价会大涨,可以用存款资金的 10% 直接在二级购买代币,而不应该通过大额本金链上质押来获取。另外如果你二级买币就不是在撸毛了,也是需要注意的点。 当然 HUMA 的质押我没有全部解压,存的钱也是等待到期后陆续提取,目的是保留已经获取的徽章,用最低的风险成本留个钩子以观后续。
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Star@Day1Global Podcast
据彭博社报道,伊朗考虑向过境霍尔木兹海峡的船收取通行费,每桶石油 1 美元,以稳定币或人民币支付 超大型原油运输船(VLCC)的容量通常约为 200 万桶,也就是需要支付 200 万美元的通行费 我感觉消息挺像真的,不过 USDC / USDT 等稳定币是可以被美国政府要求冻结地址的,不知道伊朗会如何处理
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