Turso

756 posts

Turso

Turso

@turso_dev

building software 🛠️ 🧑‍💻

India Katılım Eylül 2022
629 Takip Edilen46 Takipçiler
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Turso
Turso@turso_dev·
Good morning folks, @ThePrimeagen gave us a new meme template.
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linie
linie@linie_oo·
fees on polymarket are expanding its effect on wider range of crypto markets from just 5-15 min markets to hourly, daily and weekly ones how it works and affect you: -> taker fees: dynamic and based on probability curve with the peak being ~1.56% at 50/50 and scaling down to zero with a more certain outcome -> maker rebates: 20% of all fees are redistributed daily to those who provide liquidity -> scope: only markets created after March 6, all crypto markets and some sport markets (NCAAB and Serie A) so, this update once again really hurts bots especially the ones who play on latency between price on polymarket and other exchanges
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@SakashiNakamoto
@SakashiNakamoto@SakashiNakamoto·
@carverfomo @grok can you create Python code for a BTC arbitrage bot like this that can be deployed via RENDER?
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Carver
Carver@carverfomo·
Chinese trader posted a photo in WeChat: My new farm. 40 servers. Looks like a mining rig. But it's not crypto. It's arbitrage bots. His friend forwarded it to just one person. By morning, 3,000 had seen it. On one of the monitors an open profile. gabagool22. $868K profit. Now everyone knows where the $30K/week comes from. gabagool22. 28,620 predictions. All BTC 15 minute windows. All the same strategy. The strategy from the leaked screenshot: → Build position with low average price → Watch for drops in the opposite outcome → Check that YES + NO < 99 cents → If no hedge available, close with no loss → Profile: @gabagool22?via=carverfomo" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gabagool22?vi… 40 machines. Running 24/7. Each one scanning different windows. Together they print $140K/month. The photo got deleted from WeChat. But the screenshots are already in Discord. The wallet is still public. The farm is still running. 685K watching now. Someone tried to find the location from the photo metadata. It was stripped. They learned from the last leak.
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daedalus
daedalus@BasedDaedalus·
just met a cute girl at the wedding i’m at like unreal. face card so crazy my frontal lobe clocked out. i’m talking generational. if symmetry was a startup she just closed series b. we’re vibing. she’s laughing. eye contact locked. i’m farming aura like it’s a full-time job. then coding comes up. she goes “yeah i code” my soul did a hard restart i’m like oh word “what do you build?” she says “mostly vibe-coding rn” and that’s where a normal man would say “that’s fire” and get her number but unfortunately i was built in a lab i go: “ok define vibe-coding” “claude code or codex” “cursor agent mode or raw dogging prompts” “you got git or just vibes” “tests?” “types?” “deploy?” “rollback?” “you read diffs or click accept like a casino addict” she starts laughing like i’m joking i was entering forensic mode. she says “i just use chatgpt and claude and keep asking until it kinda works” i say “works where” she says “like… on my laptop” i say “so localhost cosplay” bro. and i swear to God the violinist in the corner sounded like a system alarm the vibe died instantly DIED flatline. kernel panic. social segfault. full emotional 500 in prod. i try one last save. i go “ok but do you at least push to github” she says “sometimes, i mostly keep stuff on desktop folders” DESKTOP FOLDERS i started dissociating. i could see my ancestors. i could hear linus torvalds screaming in the distance. her friend walks over like “omg are y’all talking tech” and i accidentally say “she said she’s a developer but her stack is claude code, codex, and divine intervention” she goes “wait no i made a website” i said “a figma screenshot with a typeform link is not a website, it is a cry for help” SILENCE. like biblical silence. they walked away. she did not look back. my friend comes over like “bro she was INTO you what happened” i said “she called herself a coder and then described generating a landing page and praying over it” he said “so?” SO??? i’m supposed to build a future with someone whose incident response plan is ‘refresh and re-prompt’??? she had a heavenly face card but an apocalyptic workflow zero tests zero repos zero shame infinite vibes could’ve had her number but she now knows i respect source control and honestly that’s worth more
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Turso
Turso@turso_dev·
@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp You cannot copy the "Limit" orders, they are not visible until they get a match and gets executed, then the API can detect that Llama Traded, copy trading after that is not possible becase Llama already ate the liquidity at that price.
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Turso@turso_dev·
@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp Hey, love your posts but I think this is misleading. Lets take example of the wallets the video mentions. LlamaEnjoyer.
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Turso@turso_dev·
@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp The Stampede: KeroApp suddenly sends hundreds of automated Market Buy orders on behalf of all the users who clicked "Copy Trade." The Fill: Because Llama already ate the cheap shares, the KeroApp users are forced to buy at 6¢, 8¢, or 10¢. KeroApp users pay massive slippage.
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Turso@turso_dev·
@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp The "Slippage Trap" Llama Sweeps: LlamaEnjoyer's HFT bot strikes first. It instantly buys all the cheap shares (e.g., 2¢ to 3¢) on a longshot. KeroApp Reacts: KeroApp detects Llama's completed trade via the WebSocket or Activity API.
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Turso@turso_dev·
@Atlantislq While a broad expansion of fees to all other crypto markets (1H, 4H, daily, and weekly) takes effect on March 6, 2026, the 5-minute markets were launched with taker fees already active on February 12, 2026. And they are still printing money. unaffected
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Atlantis liquidity
Atlantis liquidity@Atlantislq·
Your money printer needs a new strategy Polymarket is adding fees to all crypto markets starting March 6 This will probably hit some arbitrage bots Real geopolitics chads are fine, nothing to see here
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self.dll
self.dll@seelffff·
i spent a week analyzing the top polymarket leaderboard i wrote a bot that copies trades from three wallets $340 starting capital $31 400 in 11 days here is who i found #1 0x2a2c plus $1 779 843 in a week trades only esports valorant and cs started in march 2026 three weeks in and already number one in the world #2 minorkey4 plus $704 481 in a week nba and la liga nothing else 352 predictions diversification through volume #3 drpufferfish $5 378 869 all time trading since may 2025 1272 trades biggest win 918k currently holding celtics to win nba finals bot strategy →monitor three wallets via polymarket api →they open a position larger than 5 000 bot copies 8 seconds later →position size 12 percent of capital →exit when the original closes 34 trades in 11 days 31 in profit average hold time 4 3 hours fastest trade 11 minutes plus $2 140 longest trade 9 days still open plus $8 900 they already know what to trade my job is just not to be late can you copy their trades the same way I do here t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… do you follow top wallets or trade blind?
self.dll@seelffff

x.com/i/article/2014…

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sopersone
sopersone@sopersone·
I launched a weather trading bot on Polymarket with $100 -> $8,000 here is how it works and how to copy it most people on polymarket price weather markets randomly based on vibes or a phone app but there is NOAA - a government agency that publishes free forecasts with 94%+ accuracy the result? you regularly see something like this: > NOAA gives a 94% probability that NYC will reach 74°F on Saturday > polymarket prices it at 11¢ the bot buys at 11¢ sells when the market corrects to 45¢ that is 4x on an almost guaranteed outcome how to launch it in 5 steps: > install OpenClaw on your pc > connect it to ChatGPT Plus + a telegram bot > create an agent on simmer markets deposit $100 > install the weather trading skill with: clawhub install simmer-weather > send the config to the bot and it starts trading the bot scans 6 cities every 2 minutes non-stop example of a real trader: profile: @automatedAItradingbot?via=sopersone" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@automatedAItr… +$75,055 just from weather markets zero emotions. fully automated the window is still open but not forever
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🧙‍♂️Mo0nless
🧙‍♂️Mo0nless@LCSeekers·
I fed secret quant data to my Claude and my Polymarket trading bot performance jumped 30% $3,100/day. $21,700/week. $87,000/month. $1,050,000/year Here's what changed: Most people build bots on vibes and YouTube tutorials I fed Claude the exact math that Jane Street quants use to manage billions The bot stopped guessing probabilities It started calculating them The core upgrade was one formula: Edge = α (unexplained return) × Bayesian posterior update × Kelly fraction When new data hits - a price move, a news signal, a volume spike - the model updates conviction in real time Not after the candle closes During it The second upgrade was stopping overfitting Old bot: tested 200 strategies, picked the best one That's not alpha. That's noise dressed up as signal New bot: Bonferroni correction on every single backtest If your strategy can't survive statistical rigor it was never real Quarter Kelly sizing. Max 5% bankroll per trade Exit on movement. Never on expiry. The math has always been there. Most traders just never learned to use it.
gemchanger@gemchange_ltd

x.com/i/article/2028…

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Turso
Turso@turso_dev·
@KyleDeWriter oh, must be a fake, what is your profile?
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Kyle the Writer
Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter·
I bet $130 to win $604 on UFO declassification AARO stated they're working in coordination with Feds to publish never-before-seen UAP info Trump confirmed preparations for UFO declassifying Unlike aliens existence confirmation this market needs any UAP update on AARO website
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All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office@DoW_AARO

03:23 "AARO is working in close coordination with the White House and across federal agencies to consolidate existing UAP records collections and facilitate the expeditious release of never-before-seen UAP information..."

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cristal
cristal@0xCristal·
The best Polymarket ClawdBot model has been LEAKED! One month. $313.51 → $384,3K What's the secret? - He trades BTC, SOL, and XRP (15 min markets) - He looks for underpriced shares compared to the true market probability - Buys YES/NO shares for 25¢-55¢ Top wins (imho): - $3,332.76 → $14,669.74 - $3,369.19 → $14,215.87 As far as I can see, a quiet automation race is already underway on Polymarket Follow me, I closely monitor this niche Profile: @0x8dxd?via=cristal" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x8dxd?via=cr… I copy trades here: t.me/PolyCop_BOT?st…
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