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fees on polymarket are expanding its effect on wider range of crypto markets
from just 5-15 min markets to hourly, daily and weekly ones
how it works and affect you:
-> taker fees: dynamic and based on probability curve with the peak being ~1.56% at 50/50 and scaling down to zero with a more certain outcome
-> maker rebates: 20% of all fees are redistributed daily to those who provide liquidity
-> scope: only markets created after March 6, all crypto markets and some sport markets (NCAAB and Serie A)
so, this update once again really hurts bots
especially the ones who play on latency between price on polymarket and other exchanges


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@carverfomo @grok can you create Python code for a BTC arbitrage bot like this that can be deployed via RENDER?
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Chinese trader posted a photo in WeChat: My new farm. 40 servers. Looks like a mining rig. But it's not crypto. It's arbitrage bots.
His friend forwarded it to just one person. By morning, 3,000 had seen it.
On one of the monitors an open profile. gabagool22. $868K profit. Now everyone knows where the $30K/week comes from.
gabagool22. 28,620 predictions. All BTC 15 minute windows. All the same strategy.
The strategy from the leaked screenshot:
→ Build position with low average price
→ Watch for drops in the opposite outcome
→ Check that YES + NO < 99 cents
→ If no hedge available, close with no loss
→ Profile: @gabagool22?via=carverfomo" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gabagool22?vi…
40 machines. Running 24/7. Each one scanning different windows. Together they print $140K/month.
The photo got deleted from WeChat. But the screenshots are already in Discord. The wallet is still public. The farm is still running.
685K watching now. Someone tried to find the location from the photo metadata. It was stripped. They learned from the last leak.


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@0xTengen_ @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade He is testing a bot (thats why going full risk) that exploits order blocks + binance crypto data.
Where did you find his address tho?
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just met a cute girl at the wedding i’m at
like unreal. face card so crazy my frontal lobe clocked out. i’m talking generational. if symmetry was a startup she just closed series b.
we’re vibing. she’s laughing. eye contact locked. i’m farming aura like it’s a full-time job.
then coding comes up.
she goes “yeah i code”
my soul did a hard restart
i’m like oh word “what do you build?”
she says
“mostly vibe-coding rn”
and that’s where a normal man would say “that’s fire” and get her number
but unfortunately i was built in a lab
i go:
“ok define vibe-coding”
“claude code or codex”
“cursor agent mode or raw dogging prompts”
“you got git or just vibes”
“tests?”
“types?”
“deploy?”
“rollback?”
“you read diffs or click accept like a casino addict”
she starts laughing like i’m joking
i was entering forensic mode.
she says “i just use chatgpt and claude and keep asking until it kinda works”
i say “works where”
she says “like… on my laptop”
i say “so localhost cosplay”
bro.
and i swear to God the violinist in the corner sounded like a system alarm
the vibe died instantly
DIED
flatline. kernel panic. social segfault. full emotional 500 in prod.
i try one last save. i go “ok but do you at least push to github”
she says “sometimes, i mostly keep stuff on desktop folders”
DESKTOP FOLDERS
i started dissociating. i could see my ancestors. i could hear linus torvalds screaming in the distance.
her friend walks over like “omg are y’all talking tech”
and i accidentally say
“she said she’s a developer but her stack is claude code, codex, and divine intervention”
she goes “wait no i made a website”
i said “a figma screenshot with a typeform link is not a website, it is a cry for help”
SILENCE.
like biblical silence.
they walked away. she did not look back.
my friend comes over like “bro she was INTO you what happened”
i said “she called herself a coder and then described generating a landing page and praying over it”
he said “so?”
SO???
i’m supposed to build a future with someone whose incident response plan is ‘refresh and re-prompt’???
she had a heavenly face card but an apocalyptic workflow
zero tests
zero repos
zero shame
infinite vibes
could’ve had her number
but she now knows i respect source control
and honestly that’s worth more

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@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp You cannot copy the "Limit" orders, they are not visible until they get a match and gets executed, then the API can detect that Llama Traded, copy trading after that is not possible becase Llama already ate the liquidity at that price.
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@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp Hey, love your posts but I think this is misleading.
Lets take example of the wallets the video mentions. LlamaEnjoyer.
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@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp The Stampede: KeroApp suddenly sends hundreds of automated Market Buy orders on behalf of all the users who clicked "Copy Trade."
The Fill: Because Llama already ate the cheap shares, the KeroApp users are forced to buy at 6¢, 8¢, or 10¢. KeroApp users pay massive slippage.
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@CarOnPolymarket @kreoapp The "Slippage Trap"
Llama Sweeps: LlamaEnjoyer's HFT bot strikes first. It instantly buys all the cheap shares (e.g., 2¢ to 3¢) on a longshot.
KeroApp Reacts: KeroApp detects Llama's completed trade via the WebSocket or Activity API.
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@Atlantislq While a broad expansion of fees to all other crypto markets (1H, 4H, daily, and weekly) takes effect on March 6, 2026, the 5-minute markets were launched with taker fees already active on February 12, 2026. And they are still printing money. unaffected
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i spent a week analyzing the top polymarket leaderboard
i wrote a bot that copies trades from three wallets
$340 starting capital $31 400 in 11 days
here is who i found
#1 0x2a2c
plus $1 779 843 in a week
trades only esports valorant and cs
started in march 2026 three weeks in and already number one in the world
#2 minorkey4
plus $704 481 in a week
nba and la liga nothing else
352 predictions diversification through volume
#3 drpufferfish
$5 378 869 all time trading since may 2025
1272 trades biggest win 918k
currently holding celtics to win nba finals
bot strategy
→monitor three wallets via polymarket api
→they open a position larger than 5 000 bot copies 8 seconds later
→position size 12 percent of capital
→exit when the original closes
34 trades in 11 days 31 in profit
average hold time 4 3 hours
fastest trade 11 minutes plus $2 140
longest trade 9 days still open plus $8 900
they already know what to trade
my job is just not to be late
can you copy their trades the same way I do here
t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
do you follow top wallets or trade blind?
self.dll@seelffff
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I launched a weather trading bot on Polymarket with $100 -> $8,000
here is how it works and how to copy it
most people on polymarket price weather markets randomly based on vibes or a phone app
but there is NOAA - a government agency that publishes free forecasts with 94%+ accuracy
the result? you regularly see something like this:
> NOAA gives a 94% probability that NYC will reach 74°F on Saturday
> polymarket prices it at 11¢
the bot buys at 11¢ sells when the market corrects to 45¢
that is 4x on an almost guaranteed outcome
how to launch it in 5 steps:
> install OpenClaw on your pc
> connect it to ChatGPT Plus + a telegram bot
> create an agent on simmer markets deposit $100
> install the weather trading skill with: clawhub install simmer-weather
> send the config to the bot and it starts trading
the bot scans 6 cities every 2 minutes non-stop
example of a real trader:
profile: @automatedAItradingbot?via=sopersone" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@automatedAItr…
+$75,055 just from weather markets
zero emotions. fully automated
the window is still open but not forever
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I fed secret quant data to my Claude and my Polymarket trading bot performance jumped 30%
$3,100/day. $21,700/week. $87,000/month. $1,050,000/year
Here's what changed:
Most people build bots on vibes and YouTube tutorials
I fed Claude the exact math that Jane Street quants use to manage billions
The bot stopped guessing probabilities
It started calculating them
The core upgrade was one formula:
Edge = α (unexplained return) × Bayesian posterior update × Kelly fraction
When new data hits - a price move, a news signal, a volume spike - the model updates conviction in real time
Not after the candle closes
During it
The second upgrade was stopping overfitting
Old bot: tested 200 strategies, picked the best one
That's not alpha. That's noise dressed up as signal
New bot: Bonferroni correction on every single backtest
If your strategy can't survive statistical rigor it was never real
Quarter Kelly sizing. Max 5% bankroll per trade
Exit on movement. Never on expiry.
The math has always been there.
Most traders just never learned to use it.
gemchanger@gemchange_ltd
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I bet $130 to win $604 on UFO declassification
AARO stated they're working in coordination with Feds to publish never-before-seen UAP info
Trump confirmed preparations for UFO declassifying
Unlike aliens existence confirmation this market needs any UAP update on AARO website

All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office@DoW_AARO
03:23 "AARO is working in close coordination with the White House and across federal agencies to consolidate existing UAP records collections and facilitate the expeditious release of never-before-seen UAP information..."
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The best Polymarket ClawdBot model has been LEAKED!
One month. $313.51 → $384,3K
What's the secret?
- He trades BTC, SOL, and XRP (15 min markets)
- He looks for underpriced shares compared to the true market probability
- Buys YES/NO shares for 25¢-55¢
Top wins (imho):
- $3,332.76 → $14,669.74
- $3,369.19 → $14,215.87
As far as I can see, a quiet automation race is already underway on Polymarket
Follow me, I closely monitor this niche
Profile: @0x8dxd?via=cristal" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x8dxd?via=cr…
I copy trades here: t.me/PolyCop_BOT?st…

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