Tyler Leek

The new retirement plan: DCA into $BTC, $ETH, $QQQ, & $VTI

Why has the #StockMarket and #CryptoMarket been going down?

How low will #Bitcoin go? $BTC #CryptoNews #CryptoMarket

Keep dumping

I hope the stock market and crypto market keep DUMPING for the next 2-4 months. Want to do some heavy dollar cost averaging. #buy #stocks #stockmarketcrash #crypto

$19B WIPED FROM CRYPTO AFTER TRUMP TARIFF SHOCK Over $19 billion in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours — the biggest single-day loss in crypto history. The crash followed U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff hike on Chinese imports starting November 1.

*TRUMP: US WILL IMPOSE 100% TARIFF ON CHINA STARTING NOV 1 *TRUMP: US TARIFF ACTION BASED ON CHINA'S EXPORT CONTROLS

CHINA: ‘NOT AFRAID’ OF TRADE WAR WITH US China’s Ministry of Commerce said it does not seek a trade war with the U.S. but is “not afraid of it.” Beijing urged Washington to “correct its wrong practices” and respect agreements made between their leaders. If not, China warned it would take “resolute measures” to defend its interests. This comes after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods yesterday.

MARKETS SEE FED CUT IN SEPTEMBER AS POWELL FLAGS RISING RISKS Powell signaled that the balance of risks is shifting, with downside pressures on employment becoming more evident and tariff-driven price effects feeding into inflation. While stressing that stable inflation expectations cannot be taken for granted, Powell’s comments reinforced bets on a rate cut. Kalshi data now shows 81% odds of a 25bps cut in September, versus just 11% for no move and 4% for a larger cut. kalshi.com/markets/kxfedd…

🚨 TRADERS RESUME FULLY PRICING IN TWO FED RATE CUTS BY YEAR-END

*POWELL: SHIFTING BALANCE OF RISKS MAY WARRANT ADJUSTING POLICY

*POWELL: SITUATION SUGGESTS DOWNSIDE RISKS TO EMPLOYMENT RISING

*TRADERS ADD TO BETS ON FED INTEREST-RATE CUT IN SEPTEMBER

📊 FED SEPTEMBER DECISION — THE MARKET IS SHIFTING Prediction markets Kalshi now show: •✅ 25bps cut → 68%, but trending down •⚖ Hold rates → 34%, and rising steadily •🔻 Cut >25bps → 4%, stable near zero Over the past two weeks, confidence in a September cut has softened, while bets on the Fed holding steady have climbed. 👉 Traders are clearly starting to hedge against a “wait-and-see” Fed, even though a 25bps cut is still the base case. kalshi.com/markets/kxfedd…

US BANKRUPTCIES SURGE PAST 2020 PANDEMIC LEVELS: BUSINESS INSIDER

MARKET ODDS FOR THE SEPTEMBER FED MEETING HAVE SHIFTED SHARPLY. For the first time, traders now see a higher probability of a 50bps rate cut (11%) than of no cut at all (10%), according to Kalshi data. The overwhelming favorite remains a 25bps cut at 81%, but the balance between “no change” and “larger cut” is flipping — suggesting some are starting to price in more aggressive easing kalshi.com/markets/kxfedd…

🚨 FED RATE CUT BETS SURGE AFTER JULY CPI DATA Following the latest July inflation report showing US consumer prices rose 0.2% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year—slightly below expectations—and core CPI rose 0.3% M/M and 3.1% Y/Y, traders have sharply increased their bets on a Fed rate cut in September. According to Kalshi data, the probability of a 25bps rate cut now stands at 80%, while only 14% expect the Fed to maintain rates and 6% predict a cut larger than 25bps. kalshi.com/markets/kxfedd…

*US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.2% *US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 2.7% Y/Y; EST. +2.8% *US JULY CORE CPI RISES 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.3% *US JULY CORE CPI RISES 3.1% Y/Y; EST. +3.0%

U.S. JUL CPI +0.2% (CONSENSUS +0.2%) , EXFOOD/ENERGY +0.3% (CONSENSUS +0.3%) U.S. JUL CPI YEAR-OVER-YEAR +2.7% (CONSENSUS +2.8%) , EXFOOD/ENERGY +3.1% (CONSENSUS +3.0%)

JULY 2025 CPI FORECAST: 2.7% YOY 📈 Headline inflation is forecast to rise in July as tariff-induced price pressures become more apparent, experts say. Economists expect CPI to hit 2.8% y/y (from 2.7% in June) and core CPI to edge up to 3.0%. Shelter and energy remain key drivers, while gains in household goods, medical care, and apparel offset drops in vehicle and airfare prices. kalshi.com/markets/kxcpiy…