Ulrich Fritsche

Stellenausschreibung „Senior Lecturer“ Methoden der VWL, Universität Hamburg, Fachbereich Sozialökonomie uni-hamburg.de/stellenangebot…

On Monday I gave the "New Developments in Language Models for Economics" lecture at AEA! Link to the video and slides in the next post, and then a 🧵.

@michaelbauer_hh 👍Great service to the scientific community and interesting results at the first glance. Thanks for sharing

📢 New Data & Paper 📢 We released the U.S. Monetary Policy Event Study Database, a transparent, regularly updated dataset of high-frequency financial market reactions to all official FOMC communication since 1994. Data: sffed.us/USMPD Paper: frbsf.org/research-and-i…

@Mishi_2210 7

How many dots you see ?? 99 % will fail

This looks like a must-read! "Beyond the Taylor Rule" by Emi Nakamura, Venance Riblier, and Jon Steinsson. "The Federal Reserve partially “looked through” the post-Covid rise in inflation and ultimately managed to bring about an “immaculate disinflation.” The Fed’s policy deviated strongly from the Taylor rule during this period. More generally, central banks with strong inflation-fighting credentials looked through post-Covid inflationary shocks yet experienced less inflation than more hawkish but less credible central banks. In light of this episode, we assess the degree to which the Taylor rule is descriptive, and the degree to which it should be viewed as prescriptive." "During the post-Covid inflation episode, the market was confident that the Fed would act aggressively if inflation persisted or de-anchoring of expectations started to occur. This high degree of credibility is partly due to the Fed’s strong track record, but also partly due to institutions such as central bank independence. These are valuable assets that can be destroyed much faster than they were built up." kansascityfed.org/documents/1120…

Wow, super interesting! "Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk" by Tobias Adrian, Domenico Giannone, Matteo Luciani, and Mike West. "We develop methodology to bridge scenario analysis and risk forecasting, leveraging their respective strengths in policy settings. The methodology, rooted in Bayesian analysis, addresses the fundamental challenge of reconciling judgmental narrative approaches with statistical forecasting." imf.org/en/Publication…

The paper contributes to the increasing interest in the analysis of narratives in macroeconomics by proposing a way to identify and extract inflation narratives in media discourses. @mavalwe #narratives #expectations #inflation wiso.uni-hamburg.de/forschung/fors…

The beautiful sound of the Notre Dame ‘Worker’s Choir’ rehearsing. More than 80 engineers, architects, carpenters, crane operators, construction workers… who all worked on the Cathedral’s restoration have formed a choir that will perform inside Notre Dame next week.

From @Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts, this is CS50x 2025. Available on January 1, 2025, on YouTube, edX, Apple TV, Google TV, and beyond. Open to anyone online; no prior programming experience required. Enroll for free at cs50.edx.org. And meet @CS50’s #AI-powered duck of whom you can ask questions along the way, thanks to GitHub, OpenAI, and Microsoft! 🦆

@lena_draeger Herzlichen Glückwunsch! Das freut mich sehr!

Very excited about this new collaboration, opportunity and challenge 🥳🥳🥳👇

@kielinstitute @lena_draeger @LeibnizUni Herzlichen Glückwunsch zu dieser großartigen Verstärkung!

Excited to welcome @lena_draeger & Sebastian Horn to our research team this October! 🎉 🔹 Lena Dräger (joint appointment with @LeibnizUni) will lead a group on monetary macroeconomics, bringing expertise in monetary policy, central banks, inflation expectations, and more. 🔹 Sebastian Horn (joint appointment with @Uni_Hamburg) will also lead a group, exploring topics such as international finance, global capital markets, financial crises, and China’s impact on the financial system. Looking forward to their contributions! @MSchularick @Ch_Trebesch

@PhilippaSigl @FilipposKourt @spdmuenchen Herzlichen Glückwunsch und viel Erfolg!

🙏🙏🙏 für das Vertrauen und danke @FilipposKourt für den fairen Wettbewerb! Freue mich unglaublich als Bundestagskandidatin für die @spdmuenchen im Münchner Norden antreten zu dürfen! Wer Lust hat mitzumachen oder beizutragen 👉 philippa-sigl-gloeckner.de Auf gehts 🚀!

@Ch_Trebesch @VfS_econ Herzlichen Glückwunsch!!!

It’s a great honor to receive the Gossen award for German-speaking economists under 45. I really appreciate this big recognition of my work and I still cannot believe that I now belong to the impressive list of previous Gossen winners. Thank you so much @VfS_econ!

Ich auch!

@jsprondel Mein herzliches Beileid. Ich habe ihn nie persönlich getroffen aber durfte ein Buch gemeinsam mit ihm machen und es hat sehr viel Freude gemacht. Denke gern an die Telefonate zurück.

Mein Lehrer, Mentor, Vertrauter und Freund Friedrich A. Uehlein ist gestorben. Mensch, Friedrich! Mit wem denk ich denn jetzt? Ich bin unendlich traurig.

Kurze Auszeit in der Datsche. Schwimmen und Lesen. #buchempfehlung

Heideflughund

Stellenausschreibung Wiss. Mitarbeiter:in im Bereich Emprische Wirtschaftsforschung (75%) mit Möglichkeit der Promotion ⁦@unihh⁩ uni-hamburg.de/stellenangebot…

Lang nicht mehr so ein Dauergrinsen im Gesicht gehabt … Freu mich sehr für ihn.

Juliausgabe jetzt online! Mit einem einem Zeitgespräch zu Verteilungskonflikten @CharlyBartels @ThereFeen @jsuedekum @PoschDaniel und einer Replik & Erwiderung zur Schuldenbremse @lmuehlen @pat_kaczmarczyk @l_hornung @Lars_Feld @dnientiedt wirtschaftsdienst.eu/archiv/jahr/20…