nshrd

@MEPPonPM @PolymarketTrade @polymtrade bruh I wonder how you survived that triple bottom, amazing

90% of gamblers quit before they win big. 7 months ago I was down 55k after losing 85k to IDF insiders in 24h, my moral was at a low. I took 24h off, didnt give up and I am now up more than 313 000$ usd. Thats 375 000$ in 180 days!!!!. Moral of the story.Learn from your mistakes, Never give up!!!. (link to profile in bio)

@MEPPonPM @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Donaldi Trumpenei

had the supreme leader of IRAN listened to my podcast, he would be alive today.

@radarmentions RadarTools + AveTools became my main ultimate mentions instruments

New update on MentionsTerminal tool -> Word matrix now shows the # of mentions of a strike in each of the Yes grids! Super helpful for seeing if this is a word that they have to say one time, or if it gets spammed. See blow for an example of my personal Mamdani transcripts in here.

@goosemaxxing were you mostly on Y or N side? or both? hard to get any Y fills

Played all three hearings today... Was quite a mess when both Walz & Noem were going on at once but overall went well. Despite being VERY long I do think these are some of the more interesting mention markets

Able to buy some food @PredictHQ_

We're entering a new Trump Mentions meta... and whoever solves it is going to print. Gone are the days of Trump rambling about forcefully taking over Greenland, or bragging about his peaceful settling of eight wars... we're now in war time Trump mode! Epic Fury! Ayatollah! Discombobulator! Or are we...? Things kind of settled down with the Trumps Mentions meta a bit in the lead up to Iran strikes and he was getting, dare I say, predictable. Though there were already hints of change. We saw less Iran strikes hit as he was considering the strikes, and more focus on economy. What will the Trump + GOP strategy be on messaging over the next 60 days as we are in the midst of an Iran war and midterms kicking off? And how much will Trump stick to those messaging lines? Time will tell. But whoever figures it out first, will certainly have an edge on these next few weeks of mentions! Do the work. Check the data. Feel the vibes! Fun times in mentions land.

@yanksjoeys doing great my dude!

Week 7 - +$6231.58 Back in the black this week, making a dent in that disgusting week 6 number. Week 1 - +$1267.67 Week 2 - +$685.06 Week 3 - +$3903.86 Week 4 - +$5560.76 Week 5 - +$11698.38 Week 6 - -$12602.13 Week 7 - +$6231.58

@radarmentions eurosharps got rekt as always 💀

While prediction market traders were worried about Iran strike markets and Khamenei markets, I was thinking about what Leavitt would say in her next briefing. I mogged most of the cheap no’s on order book late last night. I was mostly sidelined on politics/current events because I have no edge there. But for mentions, this should dramatically shift down the chances she talks about normal agenda things as she has to focus on Iran. Biggest question is when is her next conference? I would guess there’s one without her today (ie Trump and Hegseth). But she may be leading one Monday or Tuesday. Check Maduro for comps.

@PredMTrader tariff NO holders on Karo's market today be like

Waking up today only holding positions in mention markets and Kevin Warsh

@LordFarquaad_PM sir please I need all of your alpha

Mentions trader AND reality TV enthusiast! Shout-out Rob, I never doubted you for a minute 🐍 Sometimes you just have to follow the money (after doing your research of course!)

@radarmentions bruh so much free alpha I can't believe it

How much volume with Trump's big rally tomorrow do, given Vance's Rally yesterday hit $1.4M in volume? A Trump rally? Probably will 2-4x that! A ton of people printed $1k - $10k's yesterday on Vance.. it's already trading and a lot of edges are showing up. I've got you covered with: 1 - Transcripts of his last 4 rallies (free, see below) 2 - Analysis tools to validate strike chances 3 - Rally structure analysis - understand when he hits what strikes in his rallies (hint: rallies are a bit diff than SOTU) 4 - Live terminal to watch what's hitting and set price targets in real time

@radarmentions @MentionMetrix @Kalshi we cook

That's A LOT of green from the @MentionMetrix crew. Crazy stuff going on in mentions on @Kalshi right now!

@TheGrandeTop10 well deserved

Stay mad that I’ve made $100K+ Let’s get one thing right. Kalshi has helped me pay off my student loans, my car, and grad school. All without me taking a single cent from earnings from my job. The problem isn’t me, you wanna take your anger out go ahead. Jealousy is a sin.

@MercurialArya @KalshiTrade W

🚨💚 CALLING ALL KALSHI MENTIONS SHARPS. I NEED YOU TO ANALYZE MY PERFORMANCE!! Some Kalshi reflections (2026 stats): As of today, I have: > a 78.0% winrate > 810 wins / 214 losses What I learned: (I think) I’m a sharp mentions trader with good reads generally. On January 26th however, I made a grave mistake. I bonded yes on NATO Secretary Mark Rutte saying Ukraine during a Fox News interview, when he actually said Ukrainian. I burned more than 2/3rds of my portfolio that day. After that mishap, I vowed to never over-leverage ever again. A costly -$1000 mistake that I now treat as a “course fee”, because the best way to learn is to make actual mistakes that hurt. A life lesson too really, because you don’t want to put all your eggs in one basket, even outside of trading. Anyways, since the Ukraine mismog, I’ve taken the remnants of my portfolio from around $390 to $557 in one month, without overexposure. My biggest win was around $40 during Trump’s #SOTU. Do you guys think this is a good performance and worth it to continue the grind? What would you suggest? #PredictionMarkets

@radarmentions only 2 hours passed since the suggestion... beast!

Awesome feature update shipping thanks to great feedback from @unshared In your transcript analysis, you can now easily select/unselect all transcripts with a certain tag from your analysis. Ex: Here's Gavin Newsom transcripts I have - I deselected all of hit State of State speeches bc they're not relevant to today's analysis.

Time to share my alpha for SOTU: I think i found a mega-bond!!!

@Kalshinomics good tech

"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader" markets are now added to the Geopolitical Strike Risk Dashboard

@Kalshi Top is in. We are cooked. AI bubble burst

JUST IN: Institutional investors sold $8+ billion in stocks last week — second largest sale ever

@camolNFT more affordable biotoilets for social democrats!

Things are getting SCARY in New York City with the current blizzard. How will Mayor Mamdani respond???

@GreekGamblerPM @BondHunterXYZ Bond. James Bond

The only tool that can instantly make you money on prediction markets. Introducing my new project @BondHunterXYZ . Handpicked bonds, rating on each one, breakdown of potential risks, APR calculator and more. Your money should be earning yield, not sitting idle. Coming soon.