Ussal Sahbaz
31.5K posts
@ussal
Fikir çapkını & policy entrepreneur. I approach X in a provocative and sometimes hyperbolic manner to make an underlying point. For English: @ussalEN.
Dünya artık krizleri çözmüyor, krizlerle yaşamayı öğrenmeye çalışıyor. Anormal olan normalleşiyor. Ve piyasalar artık tek bir şoka değil, şokların sürekliliğine fiyat veriyor. 4x4 Podcast “Dört Dörtlük Muhabbet” Petrol 100 doları geçerse Türkiye’ye ne olur? open.spotify.com/episode/1SvgIx… @ussal @alemsah @cenksidar @sinanguler @4x4pod
Marc Andreessen believes that true innovators share 5 specific personality traits that allow them to do groundbreaking work. First, they have high openness, so they are always ready to hear new ideas from any field. But being open is not enough if you never build anything, so they also need high conscientiousness to work hard for many years. It is actually quite rare to find both traits in 1 person because they usually contradict each other. These people are also disagreeable so they do not quit when others call their ideas stupid. To tie it all together, they need a high Intelligence Quotient to handle information and low neuroticism so they do not break under the pressure. --- Video from 'Andrew Huberman' (@hubermanlab ) YT channel (link in comment)
Petrol 100 doları geçerse mesele sadece benzin değil. Cari açık, enflasyon, faiz ve bütçe aynı anda baskı yemeye başlar. Türkiye için asıl risk burada. 4x4 Podcast “Dört Dörtlük Muhabbet” 🎧 youtube.com/watch?v=_72iYd… @ussal @alemsah @cenksidar @sinanguler @WandPodcast
Harika gelişme. Nihayet Avrupa'dan görmek istediğimiz atılımlar. Avrupa'da 48 saatte uzaktan şirket açılabilecek. - Minimum sermaye yok - Süreçler tamamen dijital Komisyonun detaylarına baktığımızda. - Kolay iflas ve fesih süreçleri - Otomatik vergilendirme gibi detaylar var. Dünyadan mikro sermayeyi ve online girişimleri çekmek adına aslında Türkiye’nin yapması gereken ama inatla ve sanki bilerek yapmadığı şeyler.
Ulke bazinda Claude kullanimi. Turkiye 0.59 ile dunya ortalamasinin gerisinde kalmis.
"safety has become the most elastic word in Washington. It’s spacious enough to mean child protection one moment and the suppression of politically inconvenient outputs the next." Very important point
TBMM Yapay Zekâ Araştırma Komisyonu'nun raporu 900 sayfaymış. Başkan Trump'ın geçen gün açıklanan sibergüvenlik strateji belgesi 6 sayfa. Rekabet Kurumu'nda ilk işe girdiğimde özene bezene kısa bir rapor yazmıştım. Üstad gelip "Ussalcım, eline sağlık ama devlet KALIN sever, sen bunu biraz uzat" dedi. Kalın raporlar kadar uygulamaya da önem vermemiz lazım. TBMM'nin raporunu artık yapay zekâ okur diye düşünüyorum. 😎
The future of Hormuz is not primarily about closure. It is about the repricing of confidence in passage. That distinction matters because the global system is not organised around legal definitions of access. It is organised around assumptions of continuity. When those assumptions weaken, traders, shipowners, insurers, central banks, sovereigns, and industrial buyers all begin repricing at once. Hormuz is therefore no longer simply a route for hydrocarbons. It is becoming the world’s most consequential trust bottleneck: a corridor where the costs of concentrated dependence are discovered in real time. Hormuz is not only a corridor for hydrocarbons. It is a corridor for confidence in continuity. And that makes it one of the clearest places where the emerging multipolar order is revealing how it prices resilience, dependence, and institutional credibility. That is why the #PersianGulf now matters in a deeper sense. It is not simply a supplier region. It is one of the principal operating theatres of the multipolar system. It is a place where security, trade, capital, logistics, and energy demand are no longer bundled together under one coherent framework, but negotiated across multiple actors with different forms of leverage and different tolerances for risk. In that setting, power is no longer defined only by reserves or wealth. It is increasingly defined by the credibility of movement. This is the deeper strategic shift now under way. In the old order, advantage came primarily from owning the resource. In the order now emerging, advantage increasingly comes from preserving confidence in its movement; or, where that confidence cannot be guaranteed, from redesigning the economic model so that less national stability depends on any one corridor behaving flawlessly. The real meaning of Hormuz in the present period: It is not simply a strait through which energy passes. It is the corridor through which the global system now learns how to price fragility, reward resilience, and expose the institutions still built on the assumption of frictionless just-in-time flow. Full: saeedvaladbaygi.info/hormuz-and-the…
