Stefan Georgi@StefanGeorgi
Weird realization: As a consumer, I don't think I need a more powerful AI Model than Claude 4.6-4.8 / Chat GPT 5.5. and I would guess this is true for most consumers.
As a small business owner, it's different (but probably not for long).
I say this because, as the owner of an AI Startup...
A more powerful model has use cases for us on both the coding side and the data analysis side.
For data analysis - we'll definitely test Fable5 in StefanBrain and compare quality of outputs to earlier models...
And for coding - if Fable5 really is so much better than previous models (or Coex)... and it enables us to ship a higher quality product faster...with fewer errors or bugs or regressions...and better security...
Then nice, we'll use Fable5 (assuming speed is comparable to current outputs).
But even then...
It's very easy to see a point where even exponentially more powerful AI Models only lead to incremental improvements in business activities and processes (even coding).
In other words, it seems obvious that we'll kind of hit a wall here...and when I think about that it makes sense:
You don't need godlike intelligence to build an app, or sell a consumer product, or to create a viral video.
What the consumer really wants more than intelligence is: speed, capacity, and memory.
Outputs faster. No usage limits. Unlimited context.
For small businesses, they want applications and tools built full loop and production ready with minimal inputs or guidance...
Plus deeper and better data analysis (to guide decision making)...
Plus outputs faster, no usage limits, and unlimited context.
All of which suggests that we might be reaching an end point in the first inning of modern AI.
It was an inning where models were being built for consumers and where the benefits that accrued from improvements in each new model were fairly widely distributed.
In the next inning, the big advances in AI Models won't directly benefit the consumer, or most small businesses).
Instead, the advances will most benefit medium and large size companies who use this expanded intelligence to solve bigger problems. Drug discovery, breakthroughs in material sciences, ecological challenges, space travel, etc.
In that second inning, the consumer and the small business owner will still benefit - they just won't be participants in the creation story of those bigger solutions.
Hell, maybe all of this is obvious...
But it feels important, which is why I took a minute to capture this stream of consciousness while it was flowing through my mind.