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Mr Weaver
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Mr Weaver
@weavertrades
Discretionary trader trying to close the retail-institutional gap. Trading crypto perps & options with personal & prop capital. CFP managing 8-figures.
London Katılım Şubat 2025
220 Takip Edilen167 Takipçiler
You’re totally off the mark, here. Financial success is reversed engineered. Start with the end in mind - want to retire in 40 years with an income of X net per month in today’s money? How much do I need to save per month between now and then to achieve this? How is this affected with different growth rates (what growth rate should I be aiming for rather than “what’s a popular index fund?”).
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Paste this into Ai:
I earn £2500 a month and I want to start investing in the stock market. Ask me questions about my monthly outgoings so I can establish how much I can invest monthly. Is a stocks and shares ISA the best option for me? What are the most common index funds?
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@TheVolOfGeorge @DeriveXYZ Let’s hope so, man! Keen to connect with you. DMs always open 👊🏼
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@deriveinsights @DeribitOfficial @DeriveXYZ Where can we find this info please? @dillonlin_ @0xfluflu
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$BTC Options Walls on @DeribitOfficial and @DeriveXYZ
Spot pinned at $74,500 and the two venues are telling completely different stories.
Deribit looks institutional. A thick call wall caps everything from $78.5K up past $100K, while put walls build a solid floor between $45K and $68K. The $72.5K to $75.5K zone is thinly populated, exactly where price is chopping. Spot is pinned between the walls.
Derive is where it gets interesting. Around 22:20 a fresh call wall lit up at $72K and has held firm ever since, sitting clearly below spot. That doesn't show up on Deribit at all. Calls building below spot usually signal conviction that any flush gets bought. The Derive crowd is drawing a line in the sand and saying $72K is the floor.
Two venues, two reads. Deribit participants are positioning to cap the upside and catch the dip lower. Derive traders are refusing to entertain anything below $72K. The divergence is clean, one side expects a grind higher from support, the other is fading rallies and waiting for a deeper pullback.
Spot likely magnets toward $75K as both walls squeeze it. Watch whether that Derive $72K wall holds or dissolves. If it cracks, $68K opens up fast. When venue-level conviction splits this clearly, the heavier-capitalized side tends to win the longer timeframe.
Positioning is not prediction, but the walls tell you where the fight happens.
Text and Analysis by @derivativemonky
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Wow. Currently been on the phone to the "fraud prevention team" at my bank for 30 minutes - all because they will only let me deposit a measly... £100 per day to crypto exchanges. WTF? 101 questions about where I buy crypto, how long I have been involved in crypto, who got me into crypto, and all risk warnings associated to crypto investing and how crypto scams work. Insanity.
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messed up the order lol but here is first part😂😂
BTC Options Daily | 2026-04-19
GEX positioning is call-heavy, with a PCR of 0.72, indicating bullish sentiment. Dealers are pinned at key gamma strikes, particularly $80,000 and $75,000, with $30.6M and $18.3M in GEX respectively.
Dealers are short gamma below $75,500, which is the GEX flip level. This sets up a gamma wall at $75,000, where dealers will be forced to buy, supporting the market. The $80,000 strike is also crucial, with $30.6M in GEX, as a break above this level would trigger significant dealer hedging.
The OI structure is skewed towards calls, with 257,136 contracts in total call OI, compared to 185,315 in total put OI. This imbalance will lead to a vol crush if the market breaks below $75,000, as dealers cover their short gamma positions.
The biggest expiry is on April 24 at $7.9B, which will be a key event for the market. The gamma regime is positive, meaning dealers will dampen moves, creating a compression zone. This sets up a tense situation, as the market is poised to break out of this range.
Derivatives Monkey 衍生品猴子 ( locked-in era )@derivativemonky
BTC Options Daily | 2026-04-19 Vol Term Structure Vol term structure in contango, with front IV at 45.4% and back IV at 47.4%. Risk reversals signal bullish lean: +1.1 on 1d, +6.2 on 11d. Whale flow indicates smart money is positioning for upside. Whale trades show a buyer of May 08 $81,000 Calls and May 29 $95,000 Calls, while selling Dec 25 $86,000 Calls and Jun 26 $115,000 Calls. This flow looks like a play for a summer rally, with $81,000 and $95,000 as key upside targets. Vol curve analysis suggests a gamma wall at $80,000, where dealers will be forced to buy. IV levels of 45.4% and 47.4% indicate a vol crush is unlikely. Term shape and skew suggest a breakout above $80,000 will spark a vol squeeze. Not financial advice.
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I started building these $btc put positions somewhat prematurely, but they are now back in the green.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, the beauty of options is that you cannot be liquidated if your view on direction is correct but you are slightly off with your timings (most frustrating aspect with perps).
I’ve nearly concluded my “trial” process and am ready to deposit larger sums into my options account.
Options on @DeriveXYZ 😌
Mr Weaver@weavertrades
Puts don't lie
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No bueno on the $73k put but collected 100% of the premium on my $76k bear call spread $BTC
Mr Weaver@weavertrades
I haven't posted an update of this nature in a while - I have been locked in with my normal work and spending less time trading, but still keeping my eye in. In terms of how the institutions and large players appear to be positioning, noticeable calls at $75k for 24APR expiry have been sold (i.e. betting price won't exceed $75k before then). There is also an increased demand for $68k puts notably for the 26JUN expiry. This is a bearish outlook. Today I bought weekly $73k puts along with bear call debit spread to profit from any move to the downside. $BTC
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Big milestone on the horizon.
Derive.xyz@DeriveXYZ
About to cross $25B in total notional volume, it took us 4 years to hit the first $1B.
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I haven't posted an update of this nature in a while - I have been locked in with my normal work and spending less time trading, but still keeping my eye in.
In terms of how the institutions and large players appear to be positioning, noticeable calls at $75k for 24APR expiry have been sold (i.e. betting price won't exceed $75k before then).
There is also an increased demand for $68k puts notably for the 26JUN expiry.
This is a bearish outlook. Today I bought weekly $73k puts along with bear call debit spread to profit from any move to the downside.
$BTC
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@TheVolOfGeorge With you, dude. Although 73k put for EOW as well as a bear call debit spread.
GIF
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Continued to add more over the day, all in now. Still think a move around $69k $btc
George@TheVolOfGeorge
Thank you for the entry, buying ATM $btc puts here for EOM and some $69k lottos
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Back to conventional basics.
The first image shows the price and accumulate/distribution indicator between Jan-Apr 2025. Clearly, the price is declining but the A/D is in a clear uptrend - suggesting accumulation as price declines (bullish), kick-starting the rally from $75k to the highs of $125k.
Comparing this to the current picture, price has been in a decline since Oct 2025 - however, unlike in the Jan-Apr 2025 scenario, the A/D is also in a downtrend - suggesting distribution is still dominant.
Given that price remains within the downtrend channel, with no signs of accumulation, every rally is an opportunity to short / buy puts / sell bear call spreads (albeit IV is low to be selling premium) until proven otherwise - clean breakout of downward channel with strong volume (OBV).
Remember, price trends more often than not.
$BTC
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