George

$btc Many will be fucked

Covering short term puts at a loss here, system is given green lights for risk on in the short term. 88k soon I think - 0% long $75k puts expire May 1st - 1.5% long 72k, 74k, 76k puts 26th June expire - 0% long BTC Vol 1/3 month ** (cut this back to 0) - 20% long altcoins - 25% (short BTC / long alts) - 1% Polymarket Alexandra Cortezto be next pres

Adding to altcoins that are down on the day raising myself to make spot risk here. Expecting $btc.d to fully collapse to ≈50% - 2.5% long $75k puts expire May 1st - 1.5% long 72k, 74k, 76k puts 26th June expire - 0% long BTC Vol 1/3 month ** (cut this back to 0) - 20% long altcoins - 25% (short BTC / long alts) - 1% Polymarket Alexandra Cortezto be next pres

As stated yesterday all out of puts. Now doubling my BTC.D short and starting to long vol Current trading positions - 0% btc puts 2-3 week rolling - 2% long 1/3 month BTC Vol (starting to buy this over the next few weeks with DVOL back near 41. - 11% long altcoins - 20% (short BTC / long alts) - 1% Polymarket Alexandra Cortezto be next pres

@shawmakesmagic Shaw, easy place for elizaos to win. Integrate Elizaos into comfyUI allowing people to have a nanobannana pro type system locally. You will win with this

same energy

Altcoins are only instruments so that large players can hedge their BTC exposure with something that will eventually go to 0. This is why a true BTC.D drop is so fast, you wash trade alt coins higher to create buyers. So you can then short them against your BTC exposure

@Nigel_Farage So going after pensions right?

The big divide in Britain today is between those who work and those who don’t. Reform are on the side of Brits who set their alarm clocks, get up early and go to work.

Starting a swing short on the Nasdaq here, looking for $16,000 as a target. Will build the short over the next 2 weeks

$btc update on this, my liquidity model is now calling for an $SPX top within a few weeks. Expect us to chop around here for a while. The next bull market will again be weaker 62000%, 12000%, 1900%, 740%. Previous bull markets. Next one will only be around 120%-130%

$btc Many will be fucked

@uttamsangwan I'm king bear ahah x.com/TheVolOfGeorge…

The next bull market $btc goes from 27k to 63k... then to sub 10k

Think the numbers got a little crossed. 75k puts aren’t some lottery ticket way out in the desert, they’re a lot closer to the table than that depending on where you’ve got BTC marked. Not selling anything fancy either just a shortdated hedge. Alts are the play, BTC’s the tide, and I’m not in the mood to get dragged out with it if things turn. Yeah, there’s some bleed on the puts. Cost of staying in the game while keeping the upside seat. I can live with that.

respecting the structure here but that altcoin exposure while hedging spot with puts is basically paying theta to lever what you actually want to own curious on the May 1 strike choice though -- 75k is 126% above spot, you positioning for some specific catalyst or just selling premium against it?

@weavertrades Get them irons on

@TheVolOfGeorge Irons! 😉

$btc Expecting RV to drop over the next few months, good luck trying to trend trade a range bound asset.

DXY really is the core part of the puzzle here. I have no read on its direction though watching very closely for answers