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Weddady
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Weddady
@weddady
MENA Consultant. Interested in the intersection of youth, radicalization and social movements. I also HATE Golf. Views strictly my own 🇺🇸🇲🇷
Boston, MA Katılım Haziran 2008
2.1K Takip Edilen39.4K Takipçiler
"Iranian frigate hit at [the Caspian Sea] port in Bandar Anzali. Interestingly it had returned from Russia just 24 hours ago. It's suspected it brought back drine-related tech from Russia."
Mohamad Ahwaze@MohamadAhwaze
🚨قصف فرقاطة إيرانية في ميناء أنزلي. الملفت أن الفرقاطة عادت من روسيا قبل 24 ساعة، هناك شكوك بأنها كانت تحمل تقنيات مرتبطة بالطائرات المسيّرة من روسيا.
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15 years ago, the Iranian regime stepped in to crush the Syrian uprising.
1 million dead and 5 million refugees later, the regime itself is now fighting for survival.
Qusay Noor@QUSAY_NOOR_
#Syrian Revolution celebrations take place at Al-Omari Mosque Square in #Daraa.
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All pretenses are being dropped. The Iranian regime is giving more incentives to Gulf States to provide full support and assistance to a war they weren't consulted about. Their economic survival is on the line.
Al Jazeera Breaking News@AJENews
UPDATE: Iran warns will destroy Gulf energy sector if its own attacked again 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/b8762y?update=…
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@APHClarkson In a way, he is. Oil prices which he watches closely reflect those operational details. He also probably knows he'll be the new Jimmy Carter if oil prices keep going up.
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There will be more strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure before this is over. It is doubtful whether Trump is fully aware of operational details.
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Again, this is a Politician manufactured out of Iraq war anger, repackaged every election cycle.
No war → Assad normalization → failed presidential bid → right-wing pivot → DNI for a new war.
Not a trajectory. A pattern.
x.com/i/status/20343…
Reuters@Reuters
US Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard asserted that it is not the responsibility of US spy agencies to determine ‘what is and is not an imminent threat’ to the United States reut.rs/4bz1J9e
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A politician manufactured out of Iraq war anger, repackaged every election cycle.
No war → Assad normalization → failed presidential bid → right-wing pivot → DNI for a new war.
Not a trajectory. A pattern.
Tulsi Gabbard 🌺@TulsiGabbard
War with Iran would make Iraq/Afghanistan wars seem like a picnic. #StandWIthTulsi #NoWarWithIran
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Pending verification, this is a good question to put to the Pentagon. It's a cautionary note on why not to mislead the public - don't sell the bear's skin till you've actually killed the bear.
Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno
Iran is firing MORE and they are hitting MORE per shot than during the first days of the conflict. Not good..
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Here is the real multipolar lesson: security guarantees, air defenses, and diplomatic choreography all look impressive until missiles start landing near the world’s energy hub. What exactly is the argument tonight for Saudi Arabia and the GCC to remain permanently non-nuclear?
QatarEnergy@qatarenergy
QatarEnergy Statement on Missile Attacks on Ras Laffan Industrial City QatarEnergy confirms that Ras Laffan Industrial City this evening has been the subject of missile attacks. Emergency response teams were deployed immediately to contain the resulting fires, as extensive damage has been caused. All personnel have been accounted for and no casualties have been reported at this time. QatarEnergy will continue to communicate the latest available information. #Qatar
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Weddady retweetledi
Egypt's two main gas suppliers are out for now: Israel and Qatar.
Bloomberg@business
Egypt will begin curbing some electricity use, including by ordering shops and cafes to close earlier, as the North African energy importer grapples with soaring global fuel costs caused by the Iran war bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Iran's record: Important read to understand why Syrians react badly when some try to guilt them for rejoicing that the Iranian regime is being decimated.
Holly Dagres@hdagres
In my first essay for @newlinesmag, I argue Tehran helped the Assad regime violently crush protests starting in 2011—then used those tactics on Iranians in January. If the IRI survives the war, it'll unleash a level of repression not seen before.newlinesmag.com/argument/what-…
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In other words, geography outlasts alliances.
S. Rifai@THE_47th
No matter how this war ends, the next 5–10 years will be about the GCC diversifying their oil, gas, and export routes away from the Gulf and the Red Sea. Haifa’s port is well positioned, but can’t be relied on alone. Beirut & Latakia are ideal candidates on paper, but stability remains the question.
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GCC states were never truly secure but only buffered. Iran built its entire doctrine around threatening Gulf energy flows. Defense pacts and massive spending since 1979 didn’t eliminate that reality, they masked it. This war didn’t create that vulnerability, it revealed it.
S. Rifai@THE_47th
No matter how this war ends, the next 5–10 years will be about the GCC diversifying their oil, gas, and export routes away from the Gulf and the Red Sea. Haifa’s port is well positioned, but can’t be relied on alone. Beirut & Latakia are ideal candidates on paper, but stability remains the question.
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First immediate consequence: Iraq's already terrible power grid will falter
Al Jazeera Breaking News@AJENews
BREAKING: Iraq’s Ministry of Electricity says Iranian gas supplies have stopped completely, cutting over 3,000 MW from the national grid after a strike on Iran’s gas infrastructure.
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This is a turning point. If Iran retaliates against the Gulf states, the playbook is obvious: establish self-defense and respond. The real question is whether escalation serves their long-term position because in conflicts like this, the obvious move is often the wrong one.
Michael A. Horowitz@michaelh992
Video of the South Pars facility that was attacked in Iran
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Larijani was the polished and smooth representative that diplomats and officials enjoyed talking to thinking it made a difference . Whereas talking to typical regime officials starting with Khamenei Sr was a chore; long lectures, grievances, and little that could be written as news in a report
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Larijani’s killing hasn’t been received the same way previous assassinations were, almost across the board and regardless of sentiments towards the Iranian regime. newlinesmag.com/running-notes/…
عبدالرحمن الراشد@aalrashed
#لاريجاني يصنفه البعض بأنه من المتشددين سياسياً بناء على دفاعه عن سياسات طهران في وقت التصعيد. لكن الذين تعاملوا معه يقولون انه براغماتي ومن قلة المعتدلين. شارك او أيد معظم المفاوضات النووية منذ 2005 مع أوروبا والولايات المتحدة، ودعم مفاوضات الاتفاق الشامل كرئيس للبرلمان، وكذلك عندما خلف شمخاني كأمين للمجلس الأعلى للأمن القومي دعم #اتفاق_بكين مع السعودية الذي نجح في وقف التوتر بين البلدين. اغتيال لاريجاني الحقيقة يجرد القيادة الايرانية من رجالاتها المعتدلين وليس العكس في وقت تنشد واشنطن واسرائيل نهاية سريعة ومناسبة للحرب.
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The first step to use force to open the Hormuz strait: eliminate the anti-ship missile silos, their radars and command centers. That's the easy part, the hard part is finding the mobile ones in advance and eliminating them. Iran has had 40 years to prep for this.
U.S. Central Command@CENTCOM
Hours ago, U.S. forces successfully employed multiple 5,000-pound deep penetrator munitions on hardened Iranian missile sites along Iran’s coastline near the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranian anti-ship cruise missiles in these sites posed a risk to international shipping in the strait.
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Joining the EU, NATO and having a functioning democracy produced this outcome. Compare this to what Russia chose to do over a generation..
NBC News@NBCNews
A generation ago, Poland rationed sugar and flour while its citizens were paid one-tenth what West Germans earned. Today its economy has edged past Switzerland to become the world’s 20th largest with over $1 trillion in annual output. nbcnews.com/business/econo…
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@MelekTawuse The Vatican's influence is not in what it says publicly, but how it wields it in private behind closed doors.
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@weddady Church commentary on say AI or bioengineering is genuinely fascinating because it’s so counter cultural. As a member, I do wish it would bring the same depth of analysis to contemporary conflicts instead of, for example, all but telling religious Ukrainians to surrender.
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This is a very common perception. However, the Vatican/Catholic church does have influence and its voice still matters even in a de-christianized West. More so in the Middle East.
Melek Tawuse@MelekTawuse
The Church’s appeals during international crises always fall a little flat—in large part I think because it’s been out of the secular governance business for a long time. It lost some insight into that realm. Nowadays, its geopolitical pronouncements could come from any NGO.
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@hamed_hashemi Gosh... That was years ago. I couldn't myself find it without scrolling for hours ..
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@weddady The most random thing: you once shared a super funny Arabic dance meme if I remember correctly. The news today made me think I need that video! but I couldn’t find it.
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The now de facto commander of the Iranian war effort after the killing of Larijani. Between him and Mujtaba Khamenei, Iran isn't run by the regime's brightest minds -- just power hungry ideologues.
محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf@mb_ghalibaf
The Strait of Hormuz situation won't return to its pre-war status.
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