W. W. S. Hsieh - Sometimes Satirical!

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W. W. S. Hsieh - Sometimes Satirical!

W. W. S. Hsieh - Sometimes Satirical!

@whsieh

Military historian. Once a temp diplomat. Opinions expressed are my own personal thoughts. RTs & links ≠ endorsements. Fully Hatch Act compliant.

Katılım Mayıs 2009
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W. W. S. Hsieh - Sometimes Satirical!
I still think Twitter remains the best source of breaking news, but I don't think I've ever been that great a fit for the medium (as seen in my follower account😂), so I'm moving most of my posts to Substack. 1/2 @plaintivenumbers/notes" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@plaintivenumb
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wretchardthecat
wretchardthecat@wretchardthecat·
I think the single most valuable experience going to a world class academic institution is the realization that you aren't the smartest person in the room. Not even close. This is quite a shock for people, who in their small towns or small countries, were always king of the hill. Learned humility is a very powerful thing. It makes you willing to listen; to learn and to be appreciative of your achievements. If you had gone on thinking of yourself as the smartest you might never have amounted to much. x.com/PeakThinkers_/…
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W. W. S. Hsieh - Sometimes Satirical!
@polanskydj @phl43 I’m sorry I need to take a mental health break from geopolitical commentary because we will no longer have more Sora ring cam video of cats playing musical instruments and shooting guns on a front porch.
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David Polansky
David Polansky@polanskydj·
@phl43 @whsieh In retrospect I probably should have known I was gonna wake up to a series of replies here
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David Polansky
David Polansky@polanskydj·
Correct — it should be possible to observe that certain policies the United States undertakes are imprudent or destructive without invoking the goddess Nemesis (in whom you believe for as long as it takes you type a post)
Philippe Lemoine@phl43

Once again, people really underestimate how powerful and secure the US is, which is why they keep hoping against all evidence to the contrary that something terrible will befall to Americans because of their foreign policy blunders that will finally make them learn and stop doing stupid shit. But even in the worst case scenario, where Trump orders a ground invasion and it turns into a quagmire that lasts years, Americans will be fine. They will be harmed, but less than almost everyone else, because the US will be relatively insulated from the both the energy shock and the economic slowdown that will result from it since it's a net exporter of energy and is probably the least trade-dependent major economy. Moreover, while the cost will be huge even for Americans, it will be relatively invisible because 1) it will be very diffuse, 2) Americans are so rich that even a much larger cost per capita would still leave them very well-off and 3) people won't really see it for the same kind of reasons that Bastiat explained a long time ago in his parable of the broken window. For the rest of the world, especially some of the poorest people, it will be a different story, but Americans mostly won't feel much. Even the invasion of Iraq, which is widely seen as one of the worst foreign policy blunders in US history and cost the US trillions of dollar, didn't make such a huge difference for Americans. They complain about it and talk about how it was a terrible mistake, but for the average American it was mostly a non-event, for the same reasons I just mentioned. I also don't think it will have the effects some people think on US influence in the world in general and in the Middle East in particular. It's not going to end the role of the dollar and I don't think Gulf states will abandon their alliance with the US either. Where else would they go? It's not as if China was going to protect them from Iran or as if they had a lot of attractive yuan-denominated assets to buy with their earnings from oil and gas exports. To be clear, I don't say that to defend this stupidity or to deny that it will have large costs even for Americans in absolute terms (to say nothing of the effects it will have on the rest of the world), I'm just saying that people are fooling themselves if they think that it will teach Americans a lesson. At best it will be a very short-lived lesson they will forget after a few years because it won't matter much for them.

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AX
AX@A_XENOP·
@whsieh It did steam off very far away though. Was that just they ran out of interceptors? Were there other issues? These are legitimate questions.
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Lawk Ghafuri
Lawk Ghafuri@LawkGhafuri·
Notice tonight’s Coordination Framework meeting excluded Nouri al-Maliki, Abu Alaa Walai, & Qais Khazali. Now Qais & Abu Alaa are reportedly in hiding over fears of US airstrikes, However - this marks Maliki’s second missed meeting this month. I guess unofficially “sidelined”.
الإطار التنسيقي@framecf

بيان الإطار التنسيقي عقد الإطار التنسيقي اجتماعه الطارئ المرقّم (١٦٦) في القصر الحكومي، لمناقشة مجمل التطورات في العراق والمنطقة، بحضور السيد رئيس مجلس القضاء الأعلى والسيد رئيس هيئة الحشد الشعبي. وأدان الإطار التنسيقي الاستهدافات المتكررة لقوات الحشد الشعبي، معتبراً إياها انتهاكاً صارخاً للسيادة العراقية، مؤكداً دعمه لقرار المجلس الوزاري للامن الوطني القاضي بالسماح للقطعات الامنية العراقية بالدفاع عن نفسها وفق أوامر وتعليمات تصدر من قيادة العمليات المشتركة. كما أدان الإطار استهداف المنشآت الحيوية ومؤسسات الدولة والبعثات الدبلوماسية، مشدداً على ضرورة ملاحقة مرتكبي هذه الاعتداءات واتخاذ الإجراءات القانونية بحقهم. وعبّر الإطار عن تضامنه مع الشعبين الإيراني واللبناني، داعياً إلى ترجمة هذا التضامن عبر فعاليات شعبية ومبادرات دعم إنساني. وفي الختام، أكد الإطار التنسيقي على أهمية الحفاظ على المسار الدستوري في إدارة الخيارات الوطنية، وحق الدولة الحصري بما يتعلق بقرارات الحرب والسلم. الإطار التنسيقي الدائرة الإعلامية ٢٤/٣/٢٠٢٦

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jerry
jerry@jerrrrrrryyyyy·
@ChrisCoop_ Ohtani was clearly left in too long. First ever start on three days rest and obviously had nothing.
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Yankees Stats
Yankees Stats@ChrisCoop_·
Rewatched the 2025 World Series last night and couple of notes... 1. Why the hell was Anthony Banda pitching in the bottom of the 6th in a 3-run game with bases loaded to Addison Barger before the grand slam 2. Will Smith's heroics aren't talked about enough, hit two late game go ahead HRs in game 2 and 7 that won both games. 3. The Dodgers somehow won with only 2 guys above an 800 OPS that series, including Mookie at a .424 OPS and Freddie at a .688 OPS. 4. Shohei Ohtani gave up 7 ER in 8.1 IP, 3 being in game 7 5. That is the worst sports loss I've ever seen and I don't think it's close😂 To Miguel Rojas of all people man holy shit
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Schadentröst
Schadentröst@jkuehn50·
@whsieh The MEUs (embarked with ACE) used to be able to do Visit BoardSearch & Seizure of seagoing vessels…do they still do that or have they & Navy left it to JSOC only????
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Elizabeth Tsurkov
Elizabeth Tsurkov@LizHurra·
The US struck locations of pro-Iranian militias in Salah a-Deen and al-Anbar in western Iraq. The militias have fired missiles & drones at US interests in Iraq. They haven't caused any casualties.
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W. W. S. Hsieh - Sometimes Satirical!
@polanskydj @phl43 Most recent American admins try to disengage from the ME, and it usually doesn’t happen. Maybe because policy makers are dumb, or maybe the region has inherent importance, because of energy, sectarian fault lines, etc.
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David Polansky
David Polansky@polanskydj·
@whsieh @phl43 I definitely see more downside with current policies, mostly because I don't think ME so important to us, whereas costs are quite real. Agree downside of doing nothing is non-zero, and it's annoying to see people pretend Iran was smol bean prior to start of war.
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Philippe Lemoine
No, I don’t want to admit it because it’s not true, and you couldn’t explain what the "massive downside risk" is except by coming up with a far-fetched scenario that has a probability for all practical purposes no different than zero, whereas I can give you a scenario for a massive downside risk of your policy that has a probability that is for all practical purposes equal to one. In fact I just did. The idea that there is any kind of symmetry here is totally fake.
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David Polansky
David Polansky@polanskydj·
"What Derrida, Rand, and Strauss all have in common is they appeal to those who don’t want to do the hard work of scholarship and argument..." Whereas this blog post is a model of substance and rigor.
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W. W. S. Hsieh - Sometimes Satirical!
@polanskydj If the downside risk really is so limited, then that thread IMO supports throwing the dice to break the back of the Iranian regime. That whole tweet is strange to me.
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