Will

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Will

Will

@wolvespez

back from Twitter jail

Wolverhampton, England Katılım Aralık 2022
380 Takip Edilen89 Takipçiler
ຮς๏ŧŧ
ຮς๏ŧŧ@wwfcscott·
Joining the trend. Just found this in my camera roll. What a time.
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Will
Will@wolvespez·
@brodders_be I love this horse but never back something that’s running for the 2nd or third time. You get 1 tiger roll a lifetime and we’ve had ours.
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Ian
Ian@brodders_be·
I’ve had another bet on the Grand National. Perceval Legallois ew @ 50/1. Was sent off 10/1 last year off a mark of 153 and fell at the 9th which is clearly a slight worry. This season he was pulled up in the Coral Cup when the Cromwell horses were completely out of sorts and
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Will@wolvespez·
@_JIBBER_JABBER_ Won’t have the legs, last run was an absolute age before in terms of the national
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JIBBER JABBER
JIBBER JABBER@_JIBBER_JABBER_·
Some thoughts on MONTY’S STAR (20/1) for the Grand National… A few of you have asked about Monty’s Star, and I can see why he’s starting to come onto people’s radar. At first glance, he doesn’t jump off the page in the same way as some others. No recent wins No flashy profile No obvious “plot horse” angle But the more you dig into him, the more interesting he becomes. This feels like a very different type of case to some of the others I’ve looked at. Let’s go through it. 1️⃣ The basic profile Trainer: Henry De Bromhead Age: 9 Official mark: 159 Weight: 11st 3lb Current odds: around 20/1 (5 places) Straight away, a few things stand out. 👉 Proven Grade 1 horse 👉 Running in a handicap off 159 👉 Currently carries 11st 3lb (a very workable weight) That weight is important. The modern National has favoured horses carrying 11st-11st 5lb, and he sits right in that sweet spot. 2️⃣ The “graded horse in a handicap” angle This is the key to him. He has spent the last couple of seasons running in races like: - Gold Cup - Grade 1s at Leopardstown - Punchestown Grade 1 And he hasn’t been disgraced. That matters. Because instead of picking up wins in weaker races, he has been: 👉 running against the very best 👉 holding his own 👉 and keeping his mark in a workable place His RPRs tell the story: 👉 161 at Leopardstown 👉 162 earlier in the season That’s proper high-level form. Now he drops into a handicap. That is always worth paying attention to. 3️⃣ The “nearly horse” profile… and why it might suit On paper, you could knock him for not winning since 2023. But in this race, that can actually work in your favour. Because: 👉 he hasn’t been hammered by the handicapper 👉 he hasn’t had a brutal, all-out winning effort recently 👉 he has been kept ticking over in top company He’s been running well without getting his head in front. And that’s often how you end up with a horse: 👉 who is still competitive 👉 but not fully exposed 4️⃣ The track angle (this is interesting) One thing I like here is his December Leopardstown run. 👉 RPR 161 👉 flat, galloping track 👉 similar rhythm to Aintree Not every National horse wants a flat track. Some are better suited to Cheltenham’s undulations and stamina grind. Monty’s Star looks like: 👉 a smooth traveller 👉 an economical jumper 👉 a horse who should be comfortable at Aintree That’s a big plus. 5️⃣ Stamina – unknown or opportunity? This is the big question. He hasn’t run over 4m+. But… 👉 strong runs over 3m+ in Grade 1 company 👉 stayed on well in those races 👉 pedigree suggests stamina (Walk In The Park/Glacial Storm influence) So while it’s not proven, it looks like: 👉 the extra trip could bring improvement rather than expose him And in a race like this, that’s often what you’re looking for. 6️⃣ The market position Currently around 20/1 with 5 places. The Betfair market shows: 👉 solid support around 20–22 👉 decent liquidity 👉 holding his position He’s not being smashed. But he’s not being ignored either. That’s usually a sign of: 👉 a solid, respected contender 👉 rather than hype-driven money 7️⃣ The negatives (and there are some) It’s not all straightforward. 👉 Hasn’t won since 2023 👉 Can look like he lacks a finishing kick 👉 Has been beaten a fair way in some Grade 1s 👉 Needs to prove he truly stays this trip So you are relying on: 👉 the trip unlocking improvement 👉 rather than proven dominance 8️⃣ Where I land on him This is where it differs from something like Haiti Couleurs. With Monty’s Star, I don’t feel like: 👉 the handicapper has him fully boxed in 👉 or the market has completely caught up Instead, it feels like: 👉 a solid Grade 1 horse 👉 dropping into a handicap 👉 with the potential to improve for the trip At around 20/1 with 5 places, that’s appealing. Final thought He’s not the obvious one. He’s not the flashy one. But he’s the type that: 👉 keeps running his race 👉 sits in the right weight range 👉 and could take a step forward at this trip So where I land is: 👉 a solid, likeable profile 👉 with a bit of upside at the trip 👉 and still looks fairly priced at around 20/1 Could be an each way play with 6-8 places available on the day. One I’m happy to keep firmly onside 👍
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Will
Will@wolvespez·
@andrewlownie We got a pedophile defender and israeli mouthpiece what a coincidence
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Andrew Lownie
Andrew Lownie@andrewlownie·
EXCLUSIVE: Tory ex-Home Secretary Priti Patel BLOCKED the FBI from quizzing Andrew over Epstein mirror.co.uk/news/politics/… . Priti Patel has questions to answer.
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Will@wolvespez·
@TBJ_Racing If you haven’t won over 3 mile count yourself out of a national
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TWL
TWL@TWL_Racing·
I personally think Jagwar has a massive chance in the Grand National. The Ultima was onpy his first attempt at a trip past 3m, he clearly does stay just needs to sharpen his jumping but the National trip could bring even mor improvement out of him!
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Will
Will@wolvespez·
@WWWoodzy92 First run since last year, the stats will tell you they need 3 runs current season to even contend
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James Woods
James Woods@WWWoodzy92·
Oh hang on that was lovely on Nick Rockett 👀 Is 25/1 too big to go back to back in th3 Grand National 🤔
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Will
Will@wolvespez·
@MorganSmith1000 @yungsmirnofff Stellar Story 3rd in the bobbyjo has a near 20plb swing in the weight back to his favour against grangeclare for the national
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MJ 🚜 🇱🇨
MJ 🚜 🇱🇨@MorganSmith1000·
@yungsmirnofff @wolvespez Oh you love to see it. Can’t see past Grangeclare West or Haiti Coulers personally, but will have a sentiment bet on him 😂
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Ciarán Ó Deoráin
Ciarán Ó Deoráin@ciaranodeorain·
Quite the race today at Down Royal Runners include…. A 4x G1 winner (Won a G1 at Down Royal) and Gold Cup 2nd A Grand National winner And a 14yo
Ciarán Ó Deoráin tweet media
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Will
Will@wolvespez·
@Bpovey98 @ciaranodeorain He’s one of very few who have good experience and winning experience in big handicap fields. Shame I don’t tend to take anything on that runs for a 2nd time.
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Brendan Povey
Brendan Povey@Bpovey98·
@wolvespez @ciaranodeorain Said this numerous times he was giving Walsh a great spin until came down at canal turn I was on him that day gonna be on him today & national defo
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RaceiQ
RaceiQ@Race_iQ·
Would Kopek Des Bordes have beaten Kargese in the Arkle had he not knuckled after the last? This is a great angle from @RacingTV. The data tells us he lost 7.23mph and took 4.3sec to recover, with Kargese (lost only 3.08mph) gaining 2.33 lengths off him. She won by 2.25 lengths.
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Dan Neidle
Dan Neidle@DanNeidle·
@TiceRichard I’ll add it to my list. (I’m a little busy at the moment investigating what may be the largest government IT screw-up in years) The question for you: why do you have an offshore trust? It’s crap tax planning. So why did you do it?
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Richard Tice MP 🇬🇧
Richard Tice MP 🇬🇧@TiceRichard·
Dan, Are you having a laugh? How can a property company with properties approx £6m value be spending £1.8 m (30%) pa on property expenses? Year in year out. That stinks Political parties are taxable on trading and commercial income. This Labour company has never paid corporation tax in 24 years despite over £30 million of income…. Either they are spectacularly incompetent or something very improper appears to be going on @Gabriel_Pogrund
Dan Neidle@DanNeidle

It's not that surprising that a property holding company owned by a political party makes a teensy taxable profit. It is surprising it's failed to file accounts. Potentially an offence (albeit one that's almost never prosecuted).

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