yailine gonzales

116 posts

yailine gonzales

yailine gonzales

@yailinetamara

Katılım Aralık 2012
26 Takip Edilen12 Takipçiler
yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
can't sleep. won't sleep. don't want to
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summer
summer@summerxiris·
me or 2 billion dollars?
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yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
time really does change everything and that's both scary and beautiful
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■ヒサシ■クロスピコナゴヤ×名ぴく6/13(土) ■
Don’t give up, someone loves your art Don’t give up, someone loves your art Don’t give up, someone loves your art Don’t give up, someone loves your art Don’t give up, someone loves your art Don’t give up, someone loves your art Don’t give up, someone loves your art
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Lunar
Lunar@LunarResearcher·
A 24-year-old in Chongqing keeps telling his fiancée he's "still negotiating offers." The wedding is 6 weeks out. He hasn't earned a yuan since November. Last Tuesday his Polymarket wallet cleared $24,000 on a single Bitcoin contract. He goes by marketing101. Bytedance laid him off 11 months into the role. Three weeks of severance and a non-compete he can't read. He never said a word at home. Every morning he opens a dead Slack at 9am, takes the same elevator down, and sits in the Starbucks under Jiefangbei tower. Six guys at the next tables are doing the same routine. Nobody makes eye contact. What he brought to the table was 3,628 logged BTC Up/Down trades and a printout of a 1948 Bell Labs paper highlighted in three colors. Claude Shannon. The MIT professor who quietly compounded 28% a year for three decades and edged out Buffett in the process. He didn't pick stocks. He measured how much information his bets contained, in bits. This kid does the same thing on 5-minute crypto markets. Every market gets one number before he touches it: D_KL(P‖Q) = Σ p(x) · log2[p(x)/q(x)] Under 0.05 bits and the fees swallow you. Past 0.10 it's real signal. Past 0.30 your model is broken. Last Tuesday's hit: a Bitcoin Up/Down quoted at 50¢. Order flow on Binance over the prior 12 seconds gave his calculator 0.21 bits. True probability sat closer to 78%. The bot loaded full Kelly. Five minutes later the contract settled at a dollar. $24,000. Multiple inputs collapse into one number through max-entropy weighting: H(X) = −Σ p(x) · log2 p(x) Binance lag, book imbalance, historical base rate. Jaynes proved 70 years ago that this approach can't sneak in assumptions. It just works. A second loop watches every market for sudden entropy drops: alert if |dH/dt| > 3·σ_H When uncertainty collapses 3 sigma faster than baseline and no headline justifies it, the bot either fades or rides along, depending on which wallets are pushing the move. The whole thing exists because Polymarket's 5-minute BTC quotes trail Binance by roughly 2.7 seconds. Two and a half seconds is forever for a script and impossible for a person. Out of 3,628 entries, the calculator killed 95% before they ever reached the order book. The 5% that survived built the $40K cumulative and the $24K single hit. His fiancée assumes the wedding deposit came from a year-end bonus. He forged a Tencent offer letter last week. Took six minutes in Photoshop. Plans to tell her the truth at $100K. His wallet: @marketing101?via=lunarlunar" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@marketing101?… 99.9% scroll past and call it luck. 0.01% count bits.
0xDipper@Dipper_pol

x.com/i/article/2046…

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yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
alright so hear me out, someone left a sticky note on my desk that said 'you got this' and honestly i'm still processing
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Breitbart News
Breitbart News@BreitbartNews·
Anti-ICE demonstrators came out in San Antonio, Texas, to protest a proposed new immigration enforcement center... what do you notice about the majority of the crowd?
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yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
different league, different game
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yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
@adrianetorkit you know when you just have one of those days where a random kid complimented my shoes and made my whole day . universe is wild sometimes
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yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
sometimes the best nights are the ones you didn't plan at all
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yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
Spent last night celebrating the Marine Corps birthday with my Marine❤️
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CauliWobbles
CauliWobbles@CauliWobbl3s·
It’s also that there’s an extreme self awareness of cameras. Since the Glenny balls/tommy smokes era of barstool these people have all grown up on film and had 0 non-barstool/content lives. In the old days there was more relatability because the bloggers had similar life experiences offline but that doesn’t exist anymore so none of these people are going to react as authentically without considering a camera
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Eric Nathan
Eric Nathan@BarstoolNate·
I think a big part of what’s missing from Barstool, not just the reality shows but the company in general is everyone is dying to be liked. Everyone wants to be perceived as “chill” and “one of the guys” who “just gets it” so we rarely see any real emotion anymore.
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yailine gonzales
yailine gonzales@yailinetamara·
Happy birthday Marines, I’m glad I got to celebrate with mine❤️
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