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Yellow🀄️
@yelloweb3
I have my views and opinion monad fellow | Mod @slmndNFT | | Team @ClayMolandaks | | Intern/Mod @monzooabc |
Katılım Ocak 2025
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@only__violet I already know you're not living in Hanoi. I still remembered that. But that's not what I'm asking for...
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@0xfenrirrkunGG @yelloweb3 Venezuela has the world’s largest oil reserves and it’s now under U.S. influence
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Okay, here’s what’s going to happen:
If you’re a Monad OG, please comment below.
We will be granting WL spots to Monad OGs, selecting based on recognizable names or multiple mutuals from the Monad community.
I’ll DM you to collect your wallet address.
A reminder:
The Monadians collection will consist of 1,000 NFTs with a free mint.

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📊 $MON Update - Day 20 (Thursday, Jan 2, 2026)
🎆🚀
CONSOLIDATION AFTER SPIKE
📈 Current Price: $0.02643 (+17.99% today)
📊 Market Cap: $285.81M (+17.9%)
💰 Volume 24h: $219.19M (+112.98%) - EXPLOSIVE
📊 Vol/Mkt Cap: 76.58% ⚠️ EXTREME
🔥 24h High: $0.02843
🔥 24h Low: $0.02187
THE MOVE:
24h Range: $0.02187 → $0.02843 (+30% amplitude)
MON just had a violent spike to $0.028 and is now consolidating at $0.0264.
This is what parabolic moves look like.
What Happened:
• Early session: Explosive breakout from $0.022
• Peak: Touched $0.02843
• Current: Pullback to $0.0264 (healthy)
• Volume: DOUBLED - 113% increase
Key Signal: VOLUME EXPLOSION 🔥
$219M volume = 77% of market cap.
This is INSANE volume activity.
BTC Context - CRITICAL:
BTC Price: ~$88,960 (+1.5% today)
• Stuck in $85k-$90k range for 2 weeks straight
• Cannot break $90k psychological barrier
• Thin holiday liquidity continuing
• ETF outflows persistent through December
• Bollinger Bands squeeze forming - big move coming
Meanwhile, MON:
• Up +18% today vs BTC +1.5%
• Showing MASSIVE RELATIVE STRENGTH
• 12x outperformance vs BTC
This is SIGNIFICANT. MON rallying hard while BTC stuck = strong decoupling signal.
Technical Analysis:
4h Chart:
• Structure: Parabolic rally from $0.01655 low
• Price: $0.02645 (+18.08%)
• MA5: $0.02534 - Price above ✅
• MA10: $0.02412 - Price above ✅
• MA30: $0.02294 - Price above ✅
• MACD: 0.00039 (positive but DIVERGENCE FORMING)
• Pattern: Clean V-shape recovery
1h Chart:
• Price: $0.02643 (+17.99%)
• MA5: $0.02624 - Holding above ✅
• MA10: $0.02616 - Holding above ✅
• MA30: $0.02413 - Well above ✅
• MACD: 0.00011 - Cooling off (normal after spike)
• Volume: Still elevated at 688M MON
Structure Analysis:
From Dec 18 low ($0.01655):
→ +71.6% gain to $0.02843 peak
→ Currently +59.6% at $0.02643
Pullback from peak:
→ $0.02843 → $0.02643 = -7% retracement
→ Healthy consolidation
Key Levels NOW:
🔴 Resistance:
• R1: $0.02843 (24h high - rejected)
• R2: $0.02900 (psychological)
• R3: $0.03000 (major target)
🟢 Support:
• S1: $0.02550-0.02600 (current consolidation)
• S2: $0.02412 (MA10 on 4h - KEY)
• S3: $0.02187 (24h low)
⚠️ CRITICAL SIGNALS:
1. MACD Divergence (4h)
Price making higher highs → MACD showing weakness.
Classic exhaustion signal.
2. Volume Profile
77% Vol/Mkt Cap is extremely high.
Compare:
• Normal healthy volume: 10-30%
• High activity: 40-60%
• Current: 77% = Speculative frenzy
3. Rejection at $0.028
Price touched $0.02843 and got rejected hard.
Currently consolidating -7% lower.
Resistance confirmed.
What I’m Watching:
• Can we hold $0.025-0.026 zone?
• MACD divergence resolution
• Volume on next move (spike or sustained?)
• BTC breaking $90k (catalyst for alts)
• Holder behavior (accumulation or distribution?)
BTC Breaking $90k = Key Catalyst:
If BTC breaks $90k with volume:
→ Risk-on mode activates
→ Alts like MON pump harder (amplified moves)
→ MON target: $0.030-0.035
If BTC rejects $90k again:
→ MON likely consolidates $0.024-0.026
→ Or pullback to $0.022 zone
Watch BTC first. Always.
Scenarios:
📈 Scenario 1: Healthy Consolidation (50%)
What happens:
• Consolidate $0.025-0.026 for 24-48h
• Volume normalizes
• MACD resets
• Then attempt $0.028 breakout again
Targets if confirmed:
→ $0.028-0.030 (+6-14%)
Gestion:
• Hold if you’re in
• Stops under $0.025
• Add on confirmed breakout $0.028
📉 Scenario 2: Correction (35%)
What happens:
• Fail to hold $0.025
• Volume sellers step in
• Drop to MA10 zone $0.024
Targets:
→ $0.024-0.025 retest
→ If breaks: $0.022-0.023
Gestion:
• Secure profits above $0.026
• Don’t catch falling knives
• Re-entry at $0.024 support
🚀 Scenario 3: Continued Parabolic (15%)
What happens:
• Immediate reclaim $0.028
• Break with volume
• FOMO kicks in
Targets:
→ $0.030-0.032
Gestion:
• Trail stops aggressively
• This is unsustainable
• Take profits in stages
Volume Analysis Deep Dive:
$219M volume breakdown:
• 688.77M MON traded in 24h
• $17.19M in USD terms
• 77% of total market cap
This tells us:
• Massive speculative interest
• Could be whale accumulation
• OR could be distribution (dumping on retail)
• High risk of volatility
Risk Assessment:
🔴 RED FLAGS:
• MACD divergence forming
• Rejection at resistance
• Extreme volume ratio
• +72% move in short time
• No clear fundamental catalyst
🟢 GREEN FLAGS:
• Holding above all MAs
• Structure intact (higher lows)
• Volume shows real interest
• Holder count at 8,720
• Outperforming BTC massively
Overall Risk: 🟠 HIGH (8/10)
For Different Traders:
If you bought $0.01655-0.019:
+39-60% gains!
Action:
• SECURE 50-70% of position NOW
• Trail stop at $0.025 minimum
• Let 30-50% ride with $0.024 stop
If you bought $0.022-0.024:
+10-20% gains
Action:
• Watch $0.025 support closely
• Stops at breakeven or $0.023
• Consider taking some profit
If you bought the spike above $0.026:
Underwater or barely green
Action:
• Tight stop at $0.025
• Don’t average down yet
• Wait for structure confirmation
If looking to enter:
DON’T CHASE THIS.
Wait for:
• Pullback to $0.024-0.025 (safer entry)
• OR confirmed breakout above $0.028 with volume
• Patience pays
Critical Reminders:
1. From ATH Perspective:
• ATH: $0.049
• Current: $0.02643
• Still -46% from ATH
• This could be bear market rally
2. Take Profits Strategy:
Don’t be greedy.
Strong moves = take profits in stages:
• 25% at first resistance
• 25% at next resistance
• 50% runner with trailing stop
3. Risk Management:
With 77% Vol/MktCap:
• Position size: MAX 2-3% of portfolio
• This can gap violently
• Use stops religiously
New Year Context:
Early January 2026:
• Holiday liquidity ending
• Traders returning
• Fresh capital inflows expected
• BTC at critical $90k test
Real test comes next week when full liquidity returns.
Perspective:
This is NOT normal price action.
+30% intraday range with 77% volume ratio = high speculation.
Could be:
• Major accumulation before catalyst
• Pump before dump
• Genuine breakout start
We don’t know yet.
What we DO know:
• Structure is bullish short-term
• Volume confirms real interest
• But exhaustion signals appearing
Trade what you SEE, not what you HOPE.
Next 24-48h Critical:
Key question: Can we hold $0.025-0.026?
If YES:
→ Consolidation → Next leg possible
If NO:
→ Correction to $0.022-0.024
Watch:
• Volume on next move
• MACD reset
• Support test behavior
• BTC $90k attempt

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