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@yogababe2014

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Washington, DC Katılım Mayıs 2014
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
I just spent hours reviewing the final version of Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill,” which he will sign into law in the coming days. There's a lot of important stuff related to EVs, renewable energy, and more. Here's everything you need to know: • $7,500 EV credit for new vehicles: Ends September 30, 2025 • $4,000 used EV credit: Ends Sept 30th • EV fees: There is nothing in the bill about an annual $250 EV fee, so no need to worry about that. • Solar credit: Terminates the 30% tax credit for rooftop solar on Dec 31, 2025 • ZEV credits: While this bill does not directly eliminate regulatory Zero-Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credits—the type that Tesla and other automakers have earned billions from by selling EVs under California’s ZEV mandate and other state-level programs—it effectively guts the system that creates demand for those credits. First, Trump’s bill eliminates penalties for automakers that fail to meet federal Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards. Previously, automakers that didn’t meet fuel economy targets had to either improve efficiency or buy credits (including ZEV credits from Tesla) to avoid stiff fines. Now, those penalties are reduced to $0, removing a major incentive to purchase credits. Second, and more significantly, Congress recently used the Congressional Review Act to revoke EPA waivers that allowed California (and the 17+ states that follow its lead) to enforce stricter emissions rules, including ZEV mandates. These waivers were the legal foundation of the state-level ZEV credit programs. Without them, states can no longer require automakers to meet ZEV sales targets or buy ZEV credits to comply. Together, these two actions remove both the federal and state compliance pressures that created the market for ZEV credits. As a result, demand for Tesla’s (and other EV makers) credits will likely collapse in the U.S., unless courts overturn the waiver revocations in the coming legal battles. Tesla can still generate ZEV credits outside of the U.S. (such as Europe). • Home Geothermal: Terminates tax credit for geothermal heat pumps and other home devices on Dec 31, 2025 • Battery manufacturing credit: The bill keeps this around, which is great, but there are new sourcing restrictions. I did my best with interpreting the complicated bill language on this topic, so please correct me if I'm wrong: It sounds like Tesla’s new Nevada LFP battery plant can qualify for the 45X credit ($35/kWh for battery cells + $10/kWh for modules) for batteries made at that facility, but it looks like it will need to meet increasingly difficult content requirements (60% U.S. content in 2026, rising year by year to 85% in 2030). If the plant uses CATL equipment, it will be tough. The batteries Tesla makes at Giga Nevada in partnership with Panasonic, as well as the batteries made at Giga Texas, should continue to qualify for the manufacturing credit as long as they meet requirements. We will get further clarification/guidance from the U.S. Treasury in the near future on the manufacturing credit which should help clear up any remaining confusion. • Qualified commercial clean vehicles credit: Cancels the credit for companies that buy electric cars or trucks, including businesses that lease the vehicles to consumers, by Sept. 30, 2025 Deduction for car loan interest for American-made vehicles: From 2025 through 2028, interest paid on loans for purchasing a personal-use vehicle will no longer be considered "personal interest" and can be deducted. To qualify for the deduction, the vehicle must meet all of the following: • Original use begins with the taxpayer. • Manufactured primarily for use on public roads (not rail-only). • Has at least two wheels. • Is a car, minivan, SUV, pickup, motorcycle, or van. • Has a gross vehicle weight rating under 14,000 lbs. • “Final assembly” must occur in the United States Max deductible interest of $10,000 per year. Deduction phases out for taxpayers with income above: $100,000 (single) and $200,000 (joint). • Advanced manufacturing production credit: Terminates credit for wind power components after 2027 and disqualifies facilities that use certain components from China and other “foreign entities of concern.” • Clean electricity production credit: Phases down tax credits for low-emissions electricity sources like wind, solar, nuclear and geothermal power. New restrictions on the use of components from China. Wind and solar projects can still claim the credit as long as they either begin construction within a year of the law’s enactment or come online before the end of 2027. Nuclear, geothermal or battery projects would have more time. They also removed a controversial tax for projects that have ties to Chinese firms The bill kills clean electricity investment and production tax credits for wind and solar that have been in place since 2005 and 1992. Solar and wind farms that enter service after 2027 would no longer be eligible for the credits, a big blow to the US' renewable industry. • Energy efficient home improvement credit: Terminates a tax credit for energy audits and renovations to improve efficiency by Dec. 31, 2025 Terminate the credit for companies that buy electric cars or trucks, including businesses that lease the vehicles to consumers, by Sept. 30, 2025 • Clean hydrogen production credit: Companies must begin construction by the end of 2027 to claim credits • Energy efficient credit for new homes: Terminates a tax credit for the construction of new homes that meet energy star standards by June 30, 2026 • Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit: Ends June 30, 2026 I hope this breakdown was helpful. Let me know if I missed anything.
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Peter DiCarlo
Peter DiCarlo@pdicarlotrader·
If $TSLA holds over this $290 liquidity zone we’re cutting right up to $350 🎯 like a hot knife through butter.
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matthew sigel, recovering CFA
matthew sigel, recovering CFA@matthew_sigel·
🚨 SoftBank to Join Tether, Bitfinex, and Cantor to launch 21 Capital, seeded with $3B in Bitcoin and set to go public via SPAC: FT SoftBank will contribute $900M to buy BTC @ $85k, with Tether in for $1.5B and Bitfinex $600M. Masayoshi Son's biggest Bitcoin bet yet. In 2017, Softbank's Son personally bought ~$200M of Bitcoin near the top, then sold months later, reportedly losing over $130M. Earlier this year, SoftBank invested $50M in Cipher Mining, acquiring approximately 10.4 million shares (3%) to support HPC data center development and entering into a month exclusive negotiation for data center space which was never completed. This time, it looks like the bet from one of big tech's most infamous risk takers can't be unwound so easily.
matthew sigel, recovering CFA tweet media
matthew sigel, recovering CFA@matthew_sigel

The next big link between Bitcoin and Big Tech won’t come out of nowhere. When it arrives, it will feel obvious.

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Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilello·
Fed Funds Rate: Market Expectations... -May 2025: Hold -Jun 2025: 25 bps cut to 4.00-4.25% -July 2025: 25 bps cut to 3.75-4.00% -Sep 2025: 25 bps cut to 3.50-3.75% -Oct 2025: Hold -Dec 2025: 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50% bilello.blog/newsletter
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Stefan
Stefan@stef12345xyz·
MSTR is the most misunderstood company today: - The market thinks it’s a BTC holding company overpriced at 2x its btc value. In fact, it’s a capital investment company, growing at 72% btc/share ytd, mispriced and trading at a price that is essentially risk free (you will easily get the investment back in 2-3 yrs). - The market thinks a balance sheet must be a cash equivalent that keep losing value. “It’s just cash sitting there, what can you value that at, 1x? 2x?”. What the market doesn’t get is that BTC is not cash, it’s a scarce asset. The key difference is: you can leverage it and use it as collateral. They think BTC is some kind of money you would like to use to buy coffee. - Even *seemingly* smart or accomplished people are saying it’s a ponzi. They don’t get that when you have something scarce and valuable you can get a loan for it, and buy even more of that scarcity. And they don’t get that Bitcoin is just as guaranteed to go up as Manhattan is, because it’s scarcity in a sea of infinite fiat. - I think MSTR is twice as misunderstood as Bitcoin. The more misunderstood, the higher the returns.
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Bitcoin Magazine
Bitcoin Magazine@BitcoinMagazine·
JUST IN: $725 billion Bernstein says MicroStrategy's #Bitcoin treasury model is unparalleled, raised its price target to $600 🚀
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
U.S banks are currently sitting on $750 billion in losses on real estate debt, per PiQ. That is 7 times larger than it was in 2008 when the housing bubble, per PiQ.
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Alpha Batcher
Alpha Batcher@alphabatcher·
I earn $50K a month writing Amazon reviews. It takes just 1-2 hours a day with no investment required. Here's a step-by-step guide 🧵👇
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Cheddar Flow
Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow·
$TSLA Bulls are hungry for more ✅
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Cheddar Flow
Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow·
$NVDA Millions worth of put sell orders coming in below the bid this morning ✅
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Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilello·
Market expectations for Fed Funds Rate: -June 12, 2024: Hold -July 31, 2024: Hold -Sep 18, 2024: 25 bps cut to 5.00-5.25% -Nov 7, 2024: Hold -Dec 18, 2024: 25 bps cut to 4.75-5.00% -Jan 25, 2025: Hold -Mar 19, 2025: 25 bps cut to 4.50-4.75% -Apr 30, 2025: Hold
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
JUST IN: BlackRock, $BLK, CEO Larry Fink has said that bitcoin is an "international asset." In 2017, he said bitcoin was an "index of money laundering."
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yogini
yogini@yogababe2014·
@Svwang1 Got to love Mayes footwear
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硅谷王川 Chuan
硅谷王川 Chuan@Svwang1·
慢慢意识到, YouTube 上涉及健康内容的各种带着 “做某某事情/动作,吃某某食物/药,就可以几分钟内让你停止某个部位疼痛 /马上让你减肥 /马上让你逆转衰老 / 马上让你壮阳" 等等标题的视频,严重误导普通人,助长懒汉思维,把观众弱智化。 真实情况比较复杂: 这类建议第一往往是治标不治本,最好也只有几个小时的表面上的效果 ; 第二甚至连标都不能治,只是一种涂脂抹粉的掩盖和幻觉的制造,好比安慰剂,甚至理直气壮的把安慰剂给合理化 ; 第三是因为迎合受众想迅速达到目标的心理,反而让受众忽视对于治本的研究和耐心实践,这样丧失了真正治本的时间窗口。 第四,完全不提副作用和潜在的损害,把一些本质是"拆东墙补西墙"的操作,推荐给病急乱投医的受众。
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硅谷王川 Chuan
硅谷王川 Chuan@Svwang1·
世界上最好的中国园林,现在洛杉矶附近 San Marino 市的 Huntington Library,名叫“流芳园”, 耗资五千五百万美元,费时十六年建成。占地十五英亩 (约九十亩) 。苏州拙政园实际园林面积只有 38亩。这个园林,也远大于波特兰和温哥华的中国园林 (都不到六亩). 高级的艺术,都是要钱和时间堆出来的。
硅谷王川 Chuan tweet media硅谷王川 Chuan tweet media硅谷王川 Chuan tweet media硅谷王川 Chuan tweet media
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Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilello·
The "Fed Put" is back with assets on their balance sheet increasing $392 billion over the last 2 weeks, the largest 2-week spike higher since April 2020. Thus over 60% of the Quantitative Tightening since last April has been undone ... in just two weeks.
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