

Zaim
837 posts











🇱🇧 Lebanon's president Joseph Aoun told Hezbollah that the Lebanese state is the only project worth dying for, and Lebanon will not be dragged into anyone else's war. He didn't name Iran directly, but he didn't have to. Hezbollah still controls the ground in the south, but this is the sharpest public break from the presidency in a very long time. With the ceasefire holding and its allies' pressure mounting for the Lebanese army to deploy south, Aoun is betting the state can fill the vacuum before Hezbollah does. Whether it can is another question entirely.


















The Fox clip below is an example of the Israeli influenced media echo chamber- President Trump’s policy for Iran has always been “No Nuclear Weapons”, not zero enrichment (see Truth post). The Israelis want zero enrichment b/c it is nearly impossible to enforce, is a non starter for Iran & requires regime change. No Nuclear weapons is obtainable & POTUS’s redline, zero enrichment is an Israeli/Neocon ploy to force conflict. x.com/allenanalysis/…





🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but I don’t think it will have much impact. Trump’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz does impact Iran’s cash machine, just not enough. Yes, it targets Iran's toll booth on the world's most vital waterway, and yes, it squeezes Iran’s oil export revenue. But Iran sells oil to China through other backchannels that the blockade won’t impact, and Russia also supplies Iran with material and military equipment through the Caspian Sea. Both are unaffected by this blockade. Iran's cash machine has more pipelines than one strait. So this announcement is less about strangling Iran's economy and more about a single, defining question that has been at the center of this entire war: Who controls access to the Strait of Hormuz, and on what terms? Iran has been saying it does. Trump just said America does. The talks failed, and the escalating chess moves are resuming on both sides. Trump has made his move, but it’s not exactly check mate yet.





