Pursuit of Happiness

527 posts

Pursuit of Happiness

Pursuit of Happiness

@zero_baalance

Personal Journal

Katılım Ağustos 2022
26 Takip Edilen6 Takipçiler
Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Some mild volatility now in #ES_F. Long trigger was Sunday's 7085 backtest OR the 7120 Failed Breakdown. We ran to 7180's. 7147-53 was today's support as posted. Held *exact* on test #1, bounced 24 points. Now flushed 7148 must reclaim to pop. 7120 below (watch traps), then 7104
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

While volatility is low, lvls are ultra precise in #ES_F. Our long trigger given here + newsletter was the 7085 Backtest/7120 Failed Breakdown Sunday evening. I just posted 7147-50 was support today. Held *exact* 1st target today was 7160 (hit), 7166 2nd (hit). 7178, 7186 above

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Bird Dog
Bird Dog@birddog_007·
@AdamMancini4 Yep not disagreeing with that but show your profits you’ve never shown them. Many say you make more from subscribers than trading
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
The best long in years continues to print in #ES_F from our original 6793 Failed Breakdown on Sunday. Today's targets given 8am + newsletter were 7103, 7116, 7131 (all hit). Bonus slate today was 7154 (just hit), 7162, 7177. Nothing to do but ride it and get paid until we dip
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

While its only 9:10AM, all targets for today have been completed already in #ES_F as our runner from Sunday's 6793 long keeps paying. Today's targets given 8am and in newsletter were 7103, 7116, then 7131. All hit. Ride that runner. 7154, 7162, 7177 today's bonus slate

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pointbob
pointbob@pointbob2020·
@AdamMancini4 Do you get money back for subscribing if targets not hit?
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Work is done today in #ES_F all targets hit. As always, its same setup, given in advance here and in newsletter. 6793 reclaim was our long trigger given 6pm (or 6809 reclaim given 8am). Targets were 6818-22 (hit), 6832 (hit), 6848 (hit). Now ride runner. Bonus slate=6873, 6886
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Last evening we got our standard Sunday gap down-into-bear trap long in #ES_F (same every week). Given live 6:01PM, I posted the 6793 reclaim triggers long to 6802 (hit), 6818-22 (hit) For those who missed it, 1hr ago I posted 6809 reclaim triggers to 6818-22 (hit), 6832, 6848

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Pursuit of Happiness
Pursuit of Happiness@zero_baalance·
@sarcastic_hedgi @AdamMancini4 Entered on the 80FBD, closed out fully this morning once we hit the 19-22 zone because I didn't want to give back any gains. Been sitting on my hands since. Sucks but you're right about it being a flex. Working on this myself
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Sarcastic Hedgie
Sarcastic Hedgie@sarcastic_hedgi·
@AdamMancini4 the real flex isn't hitting three targets in a row, it's having the discipline to let the runner work instead of banking it all at target two because you're scared it reverses still working on that one myself
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
That is +200 points on our long. Per tweets all day, 6592 reclaim was long trigger. I tweeted 4pm to hold runner for 6716+ then in newsletter I wrote 6742+ was next target for a 1 week #ES_F bull flag breakout. Hold runner. 6802 is big res, but 6833, 6853 bonus. 6755 1st support
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Pursuit of Happiness
Pursuit of Happiness@zero_baalance·
sorry I thought you were talking about this current price action. In regards to your question: 6592 wasn't just any low. It was a major level/shelf that acts as a solid long trigger. Biggest thing I think would help with your understanding is differentiating between important shelves of lows + major daily lows & intraday lows that produce a small level to level FBD before fizziling out. We also were not dumping, you should go back and look at days where price is actually dumping from opening to close.
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Pursuit of Happiness
Pursuit of Happiness@zero_baalance·
You honestly had no chance getting in on this trade unless you were in from before the 5pm close. This was a breakout trade and trying to trade that is chasing price action. 6pm low was an option for a FBD. You see how that 6:00PM 1min candle jumped like 50+ pts? 6:33PM candle swept that 6pm low and immedeatly recovered like 50 pts. This isn't a easy trade to take but that was the only real edge that was presented. Otherwise you can just buy and pray.
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
NYSE closed & #ES_F closes at 915AM. We had a massive long yesterday: The 6525 reclaim given live 8am & in newsletter. Targets given were 6544, 6562, 6592, 6624 (all hit) Plan: Ride runner. 6603, 6593=supports. They keep 6624, 6647, 6663, 6678 live. 6593 fails, sell 6562, 6552
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Closing update #ES_F: Bulls bought last nights dip - and this is a usually bullish after a big rally like Monday. 6525 reclaim was long trigger. Targets were 6544, 6562, 6592, 6624. All hit. Now we hold runner for 6647, then 6677 next week. Newsletter out soon with entries

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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
This market is handing out 100 point Failed Breakdowns like nothing in #ES_F & enormous payout here. 6525 reclaim long was given live here 8am + newsletter. Targets given were 6544 (hit), 6562 (hit), 6592 (hit), 6624 (hit) Work is done, ride runner. 6647, 6654, 6677 bonus slate
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Yet again, today's planned Failed Breakdown long played out in #ES_F. Beginning at 8am I posted to start today's rally 6520-25 had to recover. We spent 1.5hrs basing right below, then recovered. Targets I gave were 6544 (hit), 6562 (hit exact), 6592 next. 6624 above. Hold runner

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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Mid day chop time in #ES_F now, just hold runner. Long trigger was the 6360 (Sunday/Monday low) Failed Breakdown 830pm last eve. Targets were 6467 (hit), 6490 (hit), 6524 (not yet). Supports were 6447 posted (held to the tick 1hr ago), 6413-15. 6447 remains weak, watch traps
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

We went +134 points from last evenings 6360 Failed Breakdown in #ES_F, given in advance. 6360 was a shelf of lows from Sunday. We swept it, trapped bears, recovered. Targets were 6467 (hit), 6490 (hit), 6524 stretch target (not yet). Ride runner 6447 (weak), 6413-15=supports

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Pursuit of Happiness
Pursuit of Happiness@zero_baalance·
@AdamMancini4 Great start to the week! Was out golfing during the 6pm open glad we got 2 chances at 6367. No brainer entry around 10:20pm. Woke up to all targets hit!
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
After running 100+ points from last evenings 6367 long, #ES_F finally getting the actionable dip of the day. I posted at 8am that 6425, 6412 had to hold on retracements today. We held ~6412 and this is a huge shelf from July/Aug 2025 6425 recoveries see 6437, 6454+. 6385 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Strong start in #ES_F. Newsletter readers got 6367 reclaim long, but I posted live 6pm 6385 reclaim. We based below, then recovered. Targets I gave were 6412 (hit), 6420 (hit), 6454 (hit), 6492 Plan today: 6425, 6412 must hold on retraces. 6460 reclaims see 6476, 6492, 6520

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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
We are now just into pure mid-day chop. Today has offered 4-5 good trades all given live or in newsletter. Now, just hold runner in #ES_F. 6638 is today's magnet and recovery of it was last long trigger given. Targets were 6647 (hit), 6664, 6677, 6690-95. Just ride runner now
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Todays magnet is 6638 and it keeps paying over and over. Mid day chop now, so don't push it in #ES_F. I posted 6623 was support & watch traps of 6638. We recovered 6638 and ran to 6647 1st up. 6664, 6678, 6690-95 if we unpin. 6623, 6604 are supports below here

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fxFundedSim
fxFundedSim@fxfundedsim·
@AdamMancini4 “just ride runner now” after the whole move already happened… classic 😭
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86·
BREAKING: At 7:04 AM Eastern on Monday March 23, President Donald Trump posted that the US and Iran had “productive conversations.” By 7:10, the S&P 500 had surged 240 points, adding $2 trillion in market capitalisation. At 7:37, Iran’s Foreign Ministry denied all contact, calling it “falsehood and psychological warfare.” By 8:00, the S&P had fallen 120 points, erasing $1 trillion. WTI crude collapsed from above $100 to below $90, a drop exceeding 10 percent in hours. $3 trillion swung in the S&P alone in 56 minutes. On two social media posts. While missiles were still hitting Kiryat Shmona. While the Israeli Air Force was striking targets in the “heart of Tehran” moments after Trump posted about productive conversations. Now hold every signal from the last 12 hours simultaneously, because that is what the war requires you to do. Trump says Iran wants to finalise the deal within five days. Iran says “no direct or indirect contact” and accuses Trump of buying time. Axios reports Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan are passing messages. An Israeli source warns the cancelled ultimatum may be read as weakness. Netanyahu says Israel is bringing Iran “to places it has never been.” Iran’s General Abdollahi warns of a “new secret weapon.” The IDF strikes an IRGC missile city near Isfahan while the power-plant pause is in effect. Rosatom evacuates Bushehr to a skeleton crew. The Pentagon accelerates 4,500 Marines. Iran’s Fars claims Trump retreated after hearing Iran would target all power plants across West Asia. Every signal contradicts at least one other. That is not confusion. That is the war’s operating system. Trump needs oil down before the midterms. One Truth Social post crashed WTI over 10 percent, doing more for American consumers than every naval operation in three weeks. Iran must deny talks because any appearance of negotiating with the country that killed Mojtaba’s father would end the regime faster than the bombs. Israel keeps striking because the IDF says weeks remain. The Pentagon deploys Marines because the five-day window may end with invasion, not a deal. Every actor is simultaneously negotiating and escalating. Every statement is simultaneously true and false. The “productive conversations” happened through Turkish, Egyptian, and Pakistani intermediaries who held separate talks with White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi, per Axios. Iran must deny them to survive domestically. The strikes are real, with the IDF hitting the IRGC Khordad missile city near Isfahan even as power plants are paused, and Trump must claim progress to justify the pause. The troop deployment is real: 4,500 Marines and the 11th MEU accelerated toward the region. The secret weapon threat is real, because Iran needs escalation dominance to negotiate from a position its public denial says does not exist. Rosatom is evacuating Bushehr to a skeleton crew because Moscow calculates the next phase involves targets that glow. This is psychological warfare at a scale that did not exist before social media gave sovereign leaders the ability to move trillion-dollar markets with a sentence. One Truth Social post moved more market value in six minutes than the entire Iranian navy was worth. One Mehr News denial erased half the recovery in 27 minutes. The war is no longer fought with missiles alone. It is fought with timestamps. And through all of it: the strait is still closed. The 40 energy assets are still destroyed. The fertiliser is still blocked. The planting window is still closing. The helium is still bottled. Primorsk is still burning. The molecules do not read social media. The molecules wait. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING. Thirty-six hours ago President Donald Trump said “obliterate.” This morning he said “productive conversations.” The question every trader, diplomat, and general is asking: what broke between Saturday night and Monday morning? Six things broke simultaneously. Not one of them was Iranian. First. The bill arrived. The Pentagon requested over $200 billion in supplemental funding. The war cost $11.3 billion in six days, $16.5 billion in twelve. At $1.38 billion per day and accelerating, congressional resistance to the supplemental is real. The money that was supposed to fund “days not weeks” now needs a vote that may not pass. Second. The Fed killed the rate-cut thesis. On March 18, the Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5 to 3.75 percent and revised its 2026 PCE inflation forecast to 2.7 percent from 2.4, citing the Iran war energy shock. The dot plot shows one cut in all of 2026, down from two. Every basis point of delayed easing is pain for housing, credit, and the Magnificent Seven. The war that was supposed to demonstrate strength is demonstrating inflation. Third. The allies revolted politely. Twenty-two countries signed up to coordinate on Hormuz. Zero committed a warship during combat. Japan is releasing strategic reserves. South Korea’s Kospi has fallen 12 percent. Europe’s gas surged 35 percent after Qatar’s LNG was knocked offline & declared force majeure up to 5 years. Trump called NATO “cowards” and got a press release. The coalition of the willing is a coalition of the waiting. Fourth. TSMC sent the signal. Taiwan imports nearly 97 percent of its energy. Its LNG reserves cover 11 days. Qatar supplies a third of global helium, which TSMC needs for chip fabrication. The helium is bottled behind a closed strait. Every Nvidia GPU, every Apple chip, every AI cluster depends on a fab in Hsinchu counting its gas in single-digit days. The Magnificent Seven have shed hundreds of billions as energy rotation crushes tech. Fifth. Birol named the damage. The IEA chief told Australia this morning that 40 energy assets across nine countries are severely damaged, global oil supply has fallen 11 million barrels per day, the crisis exceeds both 1970s shocks combined, and no country is immune. He named fertilisers and helium as interrupted flows. The man who runs global energy security called the war Trump started the worst energy crisis in modern history. Sixth. The midterms. Gas prices are up 93 cents per gallon. Sixty-six percent of Americans call this a war of choice. Sixty percent disapprove. Fifty-seven percent say it is going badly. The numbers that matter in Washington are not barrels per day. They are approval ratings in swing states where voters fill their tanks every Tuesday. Six pressures. One post. President Trump did not discover diplomacy. He discovered arithmetic. The 48-hour ultimatum was a threat. The 5-day pause is a confession that the threat’s consequences were worse than its target. Destroying power plants would have sealed the strait permanently, triggered Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” Gulf desalination and energy infrastructure, crashed TSMC’s supply chain, spiked inflation past 3 percent, and handed the midterms to the opposition on a platter of $7 gasoline. The pause is real. The relief is not. The strait is still closed. The 40 assets are still damaged. The fertiliser is still blocked. The planting window is still closing. The five-day clock is already ticking. The molecules do not negotiate. The molecules wait. Full deep dive analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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Pursuit of Happiness
Pursuit of Happiness@zero_baalance·
@AdamMancini4 Those London folks stopped me out overnight from that beautiful 6pm entry. Would've been an insane run up!
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
We've had numerous big trades since Sunday's open in #ES_F given to newsletter readers, now whipsaw. I posted at 8am here the 6648 reclaim triggers up. Targets I gave were 6664 (hit), 6690 (hit, overshot by 5, sold) Just triggered again. Same upsides, with 6707, 6716 bonus today
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Great push to start the day and we are already running targets in #ES_F. Newsletter readers got the early entries, but I posted at 7:58AM here that "6648 reclaims see 6664, 6690+". We reclaimed 6648 just after. 6664 (hit), 6690 (almost here) Ride runner. 6707, 6716 next up

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The Jason Jones Show
The Jason Jones Show@JasonJonesVPP·
Joe Kent’s resignation letter will be remembered as an act of courage and moral clarity. At a time when many confuse loyalty to a man with loyalty to country, he chose principle. The rule of law is not merely procedural—it rests on a transcendent moral order. This letter is a truly historic document. @POTUS @TulsiGabbard @joekent16jan19 @VP @SecRubio @PeteHegseth
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BarDown
BarDown@BarDown·
John Carlson has been rocking the Bauer 4500 for his entire career. It’s since been discontinued, but the Ducks made sure their newest D-man could keep wearing it in Anaheim orange. 🙌 (via @anaheimducks)
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Balligami
Balligami@balligami·
?????
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NRM84
NRM84@Mappy6984·
That's real asf Wayne
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