zero ego

@traderwillhu Of course! Thanks for all you share!

@zeroegotrader Thank you so much!

Apr 21 Daily Review: I Was Reckless Again I have been trading recklessly, specifically by attempting to short $CAR. I lack the requisite experience in parabolic shorting and failed to account for the volatility of liquid stocks hitting circuit breakers, which caused my stop to be bypassed and resulted in a >1R loss. The cumulative losses from $CRML, $CAR, and $GLW put me on tilt. Overall, not a good session to me.

Likely the most extreme day 2 imaginable. All time highs, multiple halts, a violent 23% intraday reversal, and partial recovery with 2 hrs left in the session. Would love to see a close into the highs with a gap up into tomorrow.

Second, May 6 earnings — when the quiet period ends and CAR can announce a share offering. Third, the 5 million share ATM offering — which was already announced but not yet executed due to the quiet period.

Count may not matter. Summary of analysis from @brent_e_trader: Three potential end dates: First, the 35-day FTD grace period, the maximum time counterparties have to settle failure-to-deliver stock. If the squeeze started in mid-March around OPEX, 35 days ends April 19-21.

$CAR - was today day 1? Or day 3? I'm thinking day 1 but I'm not super confident. Anyone know?

@tcjimmyli Ceasefire

wtf is happening

@thecroatviking @investingluc Tracking something similar for BTC (or other assets) is super interesting, hadn’t thought of that.

@zeroegotrader @investingluc Been building something similar for BTC positioning. The metric I'm watching more than anything right now: MSTR mNAV at 0.57x. You're buying Bitcoin at 57 cents on the dollar through Saylor's treasury. That kind of dislocation doesn't last.

Need to dig into this more to get the best use out of it but the 'should I be trading dashboard' from @investingluc is super impressive. Took 5 minutes to set up in Claude using Luc's prompt. What changed since Friday: Trump posted on Truth Social overnight that US-Iran talks were "very good and productive" and paused strikes on Iranian power plants for 5 days. Futures jumped ~1%, oil cratered 6% to $92, and gold sold off 4.7% (risk-off unwind). The Iran talks caused the Macro score to jump from 37 → 48 as the geopolitical risk premium partially eased. What didn't change: The structural damage is untouched. SPX is still below all three MAs with the 200d broken. VIX is still 26.94. Breadth is still destroyed. All of that was Friday's close data — today's open hasn't happened yet. The key watch today: Do not chase the gap up at open. If talks hold and oil stays below $95, the levels to watch for re-engagement are VIX back below 22 and SPX reclaiming its 20d MA near ~6,680.

@smbcapital @YouTube Exceptional video.

How to use Claude To Gain a Huge Day Trading Edge youtu.be/Rqmdw4xyIMM?si… via @YouTube

$NVDA nice bounce off the TCL + AWAP April low.

Great lesson here.

Doesn't feel like a market that wants to respect the weekly 65ema. Next structural downside target in $SPY is 621, below that is 610.

@gilmoreport You called it

Have to say I keep looking over my shoulder for the Trump TACO Truck to come screeching around the corner any minute now.

@BornInvestor Agreed. Immediately cancelled.

Disappointing for me to have to consider paying more for this hell heap of a Platform.

@801010athlete $PL looks great not selling off here

I would think a name like $SNDK would be exploding if this rally had legs, instead they’re using the liquidity to distribute it. A name like $NBIS is flat. Observe the leaders.

@investingluc 45min into this morning's session

@investingluc Your generosity is incredibly appreciated. Thanks so much for sharing all that you do, Luc.

@zeroegotrader This is so cool. Wow.

Two big earnings reports today: $PL and $FLY. For years, the primary bear case against the "New Space" sector was the lack of sustainable business models; PL has now effectively neutralized that argument by generating $53 million in FCF while simultaneously accelerating revenue growth to 41% in Q4. Planet Labs has reached a critical inflection point where operational scaling (revenue and backlog) is finally aligning with fiscal sustainability (Positive FCF). While the GAAP net loss appears large, the underlying unit economics and the massive $900m+ backlog suggest a business transitioning from a speculative hardware play to a mission-critical data utility. PL is currently a bifurcated story: one of a high GAAP loss due to technical accounting, but one of strong operational momentum and structural profitability. The key execution risk lies in the FY27 CapEx guidance ($80M–$95M); the company must successfully launch and operationalize the Pelican and Tanager fleets to maintain its competitive moat in a maturing industry. Firefly Aerospace has successfully transitioned from a specialized launch provider to a vertically integrated space-and-defense prime, anchored by 163% year-over-year revenue growth and the high-margin software capabilities gained through its SciTec acquisition. By parlaying a historic commercial lunar landing into massive "prime contractor" wins like the FORGE missile warning program and the $151 billion SHIELD IDIQ, the company has established a credible path to nearly tripling its revenue in 2026. FLY is currently in a "hyper-growth" phase, transitioning from a successful R&D firm to a major defense prime. The fundamental strength lies in their contract diversity: they aren't reliant on just one rocket or one customer. They have NASA (Civil), Space Force (Defense), and commercial payloads all firing at once.