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@zeroxrrrr

here because there is no way out

Katılım Mart 2021
1.7K Takip Edilen172 Takipçiler
sasuke⚡420
sasuke⚡420@sasuke___420·
@arcticinstincts my waifu and i went on an "easy" hike in hawaii which was easy, so the next day we went on a "medium" hike which was very difficult. there was a japanese family there and the mom was dressed as a ninja, carrying her kids up the mountain
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dax
dax@zeroxrrrr·
there's this thing in trading in which you will always feel bad for what you didn't make in the upside... but it is because you restrict yourself from some upside that you also restrain yourself from blowing up part of the game
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Barchart
Barchart@Barchart·
Hedging Downside Risk is nearly at its cheapest level in more than 20 years 🚨🚨
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WALL ST JESUS
WALL ST JESUS@WallStJesus·
🗣️ MCELLIGOTT: “But the most important observation here is that increasingly, we’re seeing an unwillingness from market makers to price some of this most ‘toxic’ stuff, as it’s becoming increasingly intuitive that the market is heading toward a negative convexity event into an inevitable ‘crash’ day.”
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Geoff Karren
Geoff Karren@geoffreykarren·
@VolSignals @WallStJesus I get the negative convexity part, but what’s he referring to that is toxic and MM’s won’t price today?
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𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐞
Too many are missing the point that all of this pain across assets has been caused by real rates. It has been the driver of repricing in the last week - nominal bonds, stocks, gold, etc. Not only that, breakevens have been declining due to the size of the move in reals.
𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐞 tweet media
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dax
dax@zeroxrrrr·
what is crazier about an economic bubble like this is that the bigger it gets the more expensive and scarier it gets to hold cash long-term... increasingly pulling more money to the bubble until it bursts in the face of those scared to lose money to inflation...
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dax
dax@zeroxrrrr·
bonds are not safe-haven, persistent high inflation triggers you to spend your cash in assets, assets inflate with high volatility due to bonds volatility too... can't stay 100% in cash waiting for the burst, but also can't size too big in this environment... good luck everyone
Opulent Vocation@OpulentVocation

Thoughts from Michael Hartnett, BofA | Door To Doom Has Opened Markets are entering a dangerous late-cycle “melt-up” phase similar to 1999 (dot-com bubble) and 2009, driven by a combination of: •rapidly rising US Treasury yields (10Y and 30Y above key resistance levels) •persistent inflation risk (US CPI potentially moving back above 5%) •extreme concentration and valuation in AI/semiconductor stocks •a widening disconnect between stocks and bond markets. •Once long-term yields break higher decisively, a bond market shock could trigger a sharp correction in equities. •Semiconductor stocks are behaving similarly to historical bubbles, with the SOX index trading far above long-term averages. •Current market behavior resembles prior speculative peaks where both stocks and yields surged together before instability followed. •US household wealth has been massively inflated by equities, reinforcing a self-sustaining “boom loop.” •Political backlash from inflation and inequality could eventually shift capital away from AI/chips toward more consumer-focused sectors. The market is not necessarily at immediate collapse, but the combination of high yields, sticky inflation, AI euphoria, and stretched valuations creates conditions historically associated with bubbles and elevated systemic risk.

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dax
dax@zeroxrrrr·
@stonXBT i disagree.. if a company is able to use commodities to produce something and get value from it the company appreciates, and thus is a safe place. why do you disagree with this?
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𝔰𝔱𝔬𝔫 𓆏
there won’t be a safe place except commodities. material commodities. not equity not bonds not gold not crypto
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dax
dax@zeroxrrrr·
@chumbawamba22 its like unemployment down but these dont pay taxes :(
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dax
dax@zeroxrrrr·
persistent high inflation was (and is) the biggest worry in the market and not something the fed was up to solving as it increased - explaining the run to stocks&commodities that generate value / are essential to society and current economy as the oil supply crisis was unfolding
dax@zeroxrrrr

honestly never been so curious for seeing how the next 3-6 months develop, and looking back since this mar-apr season and reflect on how and why market prices reacted in such a way to the current situation..

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Lisa Abramowicz
Lisa Abramowicz@lisaabramowicz1·
Two takeaways from May’s BofA fund manager survey: first, equity allocations surged by a record amount on the month, and second, 40% of respondents see a second wave of inflation as the biggest tail risk. The two ideas are connected: stocks are increasingly seen as an inflation hedge
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Ari
Ari@daaniyaan·
Good morning! Just doing my duty with a daily reminder that the internet in Iran has been shut down for 80 days. I’ve been to both China and Russia, and bypassing internet restrictions there is way easier compared to what’s happening in Iran right now. it's just sad.
NetBlocks@netblocks

😶 Metrics show that #Iran's internet blackout is ongoing into its 79th day in its twelfth week. The mass-censorship measure has reshaped the nature of civic participation with information controls being used to relegate the general public to mere observers in their own country.

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CryptogemsX 🇵🇹
CryptogemsX 🇵🇹@bestcryptotoken·
Good morning legends I just bought a brand new @KeewayGlobal 125cc and I'll be using it a lot to buy bread and go to the beach without having to worry about parking. My new house is only 2 km from the beach, so investing in a motorcycle made perfect sense. Do you guys like it?
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