Rice to arsenal

492 posts

Rice to arsenal

Rice to arsenal

@zop4299

Katılım Mayıs 2023
82 Takip Edilen26 Takipçiler
Magic hat 🎩
Magic hat 🎩@themagic_tophat·
Now that the Athletic has confirmed Gordon was sold in FY26, my current forecast shows Newcastle breaching the Uefa settlement next year without securing further profit (e.g., a higher PL finish, reducing costs, more commercial revenue or more player sale profits). This estimated overspend is small and only worthy of a fine. But if they want to sign more players this summer, they will risk a full breach and ban unless they can rely on generating more profit. As I’ve been saying for the past week - they will almost certainly need to sell Bruno or Hall this Summer and it makes far more sense to sell Bruno than Hall.
Magic hat 🎩 tweet media
Magic hat 🎩@themagic_tophat

⚪️⚫️ 𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗡𝗲𝘄𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗹𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗻𝗲𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗚𝗼𝗿𝗱𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝟮𝟱/𝟮𝟲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗮𝗰𝘁 𝗼𝗻 𝗕𝗿𝘂𝗻𝗼 I recently posted some analysis which shows why I believe Newcastle will need to sell Bruno (or Hall) due to their likely Uefa settlement conditions. Others have strongly challenged this analysis, claiming it is wrong on the basis Newcastle “almost certainly” booked profit on Gordon’s sale in 26/27. They believe that Newcastle had no reason to sell Gordon in 25/26 and in doing so, make it unnecessarily harder for them to comply with the Uefa settlement in 26/27. This is despite Barcelona and Newcastle both explicitly announcing the permanent move, without conditions. Uefa has not yet published Newcastle’s settlement but we can see Villa’s and Chelsea’s from last year (as well as others’). They tend to follow a very similar structure of financial and sporting sanctions. A uniform sporting sanction applied is a restriction on who a club can include in its “List A” for Uefa competitions. This restriction means they have a ceiling on footballing cost (wages and amortisation of fees) for List A players. Normally in the settlements, it unconditionally applies in the first year (not an issue for Newcastle given they’re not in any Uefa competitions in 26/27) but then conditionally applies thereafter. If Newcastle’s settlement has similar terms to Villa’s (see screenshot), it would apply in 27/28 if Newcastle report a Football Earnings (FE) deficit in 25/26. My forecast for Newcastle’s 25/26 Football Earnings before the sale of Gordon was in fact, a €10m deficit. If accurate, that would have meant the sporting sanction applied in 27/28. It’s highly restrictive for recruitment purposes and so, Newcastle would have had very good reason to sell Gordon and bank the needed profit to avoid it. At the time, I also suspect Newcastle did not plan to sell Bruno. My hypothesis is at the time they sold Gordon in late May, they intended to sell Tonali and Livramento both for hefty profit in 26/27. But then Livramento was injured mid-June and that has put them in a difficult position. Again, if their Uefa settlement follows the structure and standard terms of others, they will have to avoid making an FE deficit of €80m in 26/27 or they will breach and receive a 1-year Uefa ban. Anything over €60m will likely result in more fines too. As they continue to spend, they come closer and closer to this limit. And when you consider that this limit then needs to extend across multiple seasons the year after, it becomes clear that they’ll have to raise plenty more profit, with fewer and fewer players who can help them achieve this (Hall plus Bruno who will fetch more this summer than next). As such, I don’t see them being in a position to secure a high price for Bruno unless someone else comes in with a better offer (for Bruno or Hall).

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Aston Villa
Aston Villa@AVFCOfficial·
It's official 🤩 Aston Villa is delighted to announce the signing of Johan Manzambi 🇨🇭
Aston Villa tweet media
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Darren
Darren@DarrenArsenal1·
Not that I really want to get into the realms of transfer talk on here, because we know where that leads, BUT... you dont sell Leo unless you have a confirmed replacement done. So all those sitting and worrying every hour of the day. We are Champions We want players who come in and improve incumbents We will see movement in the next week imo
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afcstuff
afcstuff@afcstuff·
🚨 Arsenal are weighing up whether to proceed in their attempt to sign Bruno Guimarães, after they were initially led to believe he could move for only £50m. Arsenal would still like to sign Guimarães, but have been surprised by Newcastle’s rigid stance on his asking price. Newcastle have been told about the numbers Arsenal are willing to offer. With add-ons, those numbers have never reached more than £60m. In those talks with intermediaries, the Newcastle hierarchy has made it clear they would demand a fee similar to the £100m Tottenham paid for Sandro Tonali. Guimarães’ representatives have tried to pressure Newcastle into selling, even arguing they should allow a player in the peak years of his career to move to a club playing in the Champions League. They claim their client has given everything to Newcastle, but the time is right for him to move on. Guimarães will push for a departure only if Arsenal make a bid that gets close to Newcastle’s valuation. As things stand, he knows that is NOT the case & is scheduled to return to pre-season training at the end of this month. 🕵️‍♂️🇧🇷 [@LukeEdwardsTele]
afcstuff tweet media
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Ahmad Almutairi 🏆 14
🚨 ( @cahemota ) - موثوق غيماريش غير راضٍ عن وضعه في نيوكاسل، وقد فتح الباب أمام الرحيل هذا الصيف نيوكاسل يطالب بأكثر من 85 مليون يورو (73 مليون باوند) للنظر في بيعه @DeanJamesAFC
Ahmad Almutairi 🏆 14 tweet media
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Luke Edwards
Luke Edwards@LukeEdwardsTele·
✍️EXPLAINED This is known as the “conditioning stage” of a negotiation. Arsenal are trying to let others, agents, transfer influencers and the player himself soften #nufc and move them into a position where they are forced to sell for the low price they are willing to pay 👇Full details below #nufc #arsenal
Telegraph Football@TeleFootball

If there was one player Newcastle United did not want to sell this summer it was Bruno Guimarães. But they have been forced to contemplate their captain’s departure as Arsenal look to sign Eddie Howe’s most important player. @LukeEdwardsTele makes the case for and against selling Bruno and delivers a final verdict ⤵️ telegraph.co.uk/football/2026/…

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O Globo Esportes
O Globo Esportes@OGlobo_Esportes·
Newcastle consulta Danilo, do Botafogo, para substituir Bruno Guimarães em caso de saída para o Arsenal dlvr.it/TTS31H
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Rice to arsenal
Rice to arsenal@zop4299·
@dbmp_ Wow there are more likes than the old Manchester United article lol
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