zwb

220 posts

zwb

zwb

@zwb44

Katılım Eylül 2022
26 Takip Edilen19 Takipçiler
zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 @TheHealingTrade when you say acceptance should be obvious, is there a very rough point differential to be considered potential acceptance? for example selling >5 points after touching the level, obviously it is dependent on conditions etc
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@TheHealingTrade In my methodology "elevator down" sells are a good thing not a bad thing...without them there is nothing to trade!
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Lots of chop now around the 7120 magnet which now an ATM machine. Its reclaim Sunday eve gave us the rally to 7180's this morning. At 11:30AM, we then held exact for 20 points. 1hr ago, we reclaimed and ran to ~7135 1st up. 7120 reclaims see 7135, 7147-53. 7104, 7085=supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Very good to see some mild volatility returning in #ES_F. After Sunday's 7085 backtest long OR 7120 Failed Breakdown, we ripped to 7180s this morning. 7120 then became support. Held exact 11:30AM for 20 points, failed 7120 must reclaim to rally to 7135, 7147. 7085, 7058 below

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 @coleridge8264 have you noticed after implementing this relatively new rule, type 2 happens less often because i’ve found after 10 points type 1 is very likely, then under 10 points it’s no acceptance protocol
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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Some mild volatility now in #ES_F. Long trigger was Sunday's 7085 backtest OR the 7120 Failed Breakdown. We ran to 7180's. 7147-53 was today's support as posted. Held *exact* on test #1, bounced 24 points. Now flushed 7148 must reclaim to pop. 7120 below (watch traps), then 7104
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

While volatility is low, lvls are ultra precise in #ES_F. Our long trigger given here + newsletter was the 7085 Backtest/7120 Failed Breakdown Sunday evening. I just posted 7147-50 was support today. Held *exact* 1st target today was 7160 (hit), 7166 2nd (hit). 7178, 7186 above

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 @coleridge8264 shallower breakdowns still > 10 points? i’ve noticed anything under 10 point flush you have been doing no acceptance protocol
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@coleridge8264 The first form only occurs after deep failed breakdowns and is basically impossible to miss. You see a big backtest, rejection, then return. The second one occur in any context but oftne tis shallower failed breakdowns
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@mayurpnag @Kyy937 Would need to see a failed breakdown now. I personally always need to see a failed breakdown though - i never just long supports nor do I short.
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
While volatility is low, lvls are ultra precise in #ES_F. Our long trigger given here + newsletter was the 7085 Backtest/7120 Failed Breakdown Sunday evening. I just posted 7147-50 was support today. Held *exact* 1st target today was 7160 (hit), 7166 2nd (hit). 7178, 7186 above
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

0 to do but ride runner in #ES_F until we get vol. Long still working from Sunday's entry given here & newsletter (7085 backtest long OR 7120 Failed Breakdown both worked). Targets were 7147-53, 7160, 7178 (all hit) 7160 micro support, 7147-53 below (watch traps). Same upsides

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 is that 88 low something to look for if i’m not in a runner, or too low quality?
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
After yesterday's 6592 Failed Breakdown played out for 250 points #ES_F now beginning the digestion/structure building phase. As warned, this takes hours before we get new trade Bulls want to reclaim 6809 to scalp to 6819, 6833, 6853+. 6793 (just hit), 6765-70 remain supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

As posted after +250 points from yesterday's 6592 Failed breakdown long, it takes a long time for #ES_F to "digest" the move and establish a new range. Until then, low quality 6809/6802 support as posted. Held. 6833, 6853, 6872+ above. 6802 fails, retrace starts to 6792, 6765-70

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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Full round trip day in #ES_F and been tons of setups today. 6367 reclaim was initial long trigger after 6pm last evening. 6411, and 6425 reclaims were alternates, and we ran to 6454+ today. 6367 remains support, but weaker now. 6385 must recover to pop again. 6354, 6342 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Finally getting some vol expansion after hours of chop in #ES_F. 6412 was support was 6425 reclaim long trigger given at 10:03AM. Targets given were 6434 (hit), 6454 (hit exact). We rejected there and returned to chop. 6412 must reclaim now to resume up. 6385, 6367 supports

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@Mcloud4004 @AdamMancini4 when i say goes below it briefly i merely mean by a point or two, obviously i’m not referring to when it’s just selling
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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@Mcloud4004 @AdamMancini4 I read his newsletter every night, i was talking about how strict he personally is with staying exactly above the 5 point range
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Sunday futures open for #ES_F with the typical gap down but smaller this week than usual. ES needs to recover 6385 now to work back to 6412, and that must reclaim to mount a more sustained rally to 6420, 6454, 6492+ 6367, 6342 are next down from here if we grind lower
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Closing update #ES_F: 6426 support as posted and ES agrees stuck around here for 1hr. Quick spike down to 6412 just now. This is a big zone that ES will need to defend or trap/recover off Sundays open. 6454 reclaim then starts us up. Newsletter out soon with next supports/entry

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 NL worked out perfectly! thanks adam
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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 any eyes on the 406 low from a while ago? or was it too long ago to be attractive
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
We've arrived at 6424-26 next support down in #ES_F finally. Bears control all day as warned since 8am though. While supports can produce pops, ES must recover levels to start any sustained bounce. For now, that is 6454, which works up to 6466-70, then 6493+. 6412, 6385 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Ultra slow session continues in #ES_F and lowest volatility day this week. Bears controlled all day as warned at 8am, and 0 trigger/reclaim to change it. We are coming into 6424 next support down, with 6412 just below. 6454 must recover now to see 6466-70 magnet, 6492+

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 is it too slow for the NL setups which may or may not be around here
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Ultra slow session continues in #ES_F and lowest volatility day this week. Bears controlled all day as warned at 8am, and 0 trigger/reclaim to change it. We are coming into 6424 next support down, with 6412 just below. 6454 must recover now to see 6466-70 magnet, 6492+
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Very slow, grinding action continues in #ES_F and just no volatility to engage. Bears control. 6466-70 remains a magnet today as posted and we just backtested it again exact. That must recover to see 6492 again which has been a brick wall resistance 6446, 6426 remain below

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 @Pete66668332642 adam is it a coincidence we often have news events which are timed correctly for the technicals? just out of curiosity
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@Pete66668332642 I don't skip anydays, if there's setups I trade them, if there isn't I don't. I just want to be engaging volatility whenever we have it
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Grind down continues in #ES_F after bears took control yesterday on the loss of the big 6575 shelf. To even start a rally today, 6492 must reclaim, and its been resistance all morning. Grind down until then. 6446, 6426 remain next supports down. 6466-70 recover sees 6492 again
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

No volatility now as #ES_F is exhausted and very poor quality trading until we get some. 6466-70 is a magnet today. Reclaims see 6492 as posted and we just popped to 6490 and rejected. Bears remain in full control below 6575 and 6492 recover to start a rally today to 6524+

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 atleast sunday should be good down here
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
No volatility now as #ES_F is exhausted and very poor quality trading until we get some. 6466-70 is a magnet today. Reclaims see 6492 as posted and we just popped to 6490 and rejected. Bears remain in full control below 6575 and 6492 recover to start a rally today to 6524+
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Bears in full control so far today and have been since 6575 failed yesterday as warned in #ES_F. Multiple levels have to reclaim now to shift momentum. 6466-70 1st resistance up as posted and been stuck here 1hr. Must recover to see 6492(next big pivot) then 6524 Same supports

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 for acceptance of a zone, am i right in saying you only really need to see it in 1 out of the 2 bounds?
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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Bears in full control so far today and have been since 6575 failed yesterday as warned in #ES_F. Multiple levels have to reclaim now to shift momentum. 6466-70 1st resistance up as posted and been stuck here 1hr. Must recover to see 6492(next big pivot) then 6524 Same supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

Grind lower continues in #ES_F as bears retain control (and nobody wants to hold long over weekend) below 6575. Little to do until we start getting reclaims. 6442 remains next support down with 6424 below. 6466-70 reclaim is weak trigger to 6484, 6492. 6492 must recover to rally

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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 66-70 too weak of a trigger for you? or do you just mean it’s not likely to go further than first tp
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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Yesterday, bears took control in #ES_F on the loss of 6575. At 4pm, I posted 6524/6538 reclaims takes us to backtest. Mins later, a headline instantly took us there, before rejecting Plan today: 6524 must reclaim to rally to 6538, 6553, 6575. 6500=support, 6492, 6466-70 below
Adam Mancini tweet media
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zwb
zwb@zwb44·
@AdamMancini4 @wrkndad my monday low is at 82.75 but you say 84, do you normally normalise the lows to a level which is really close to it?
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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
@wrkndad 6524 would have to recover now, bears strongly control here though so we might have to use the lower entries from newsletter
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