@AdamMancini4 @Kyy937 47-53 still good or weaker now? Worth longing the recovery again?
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MN
348 posts
MN
@mayurpnag
Tech Leader, Entrepreneur, Advisor, Investor
Katılım Ağustos 2020
179 Takip Edilen49 Takipçiler
While volatility is low, lvls are ultra precise in #ES_F. Our long trigger given here + newsletter was the 7085 Backtest/7120 Failed Breakdown Sunday evening. I just posted 7147-50 was support today. Held *exact*
1st target today was 7160 (hit), 7166 2nd (hit). 7178, 7186 above
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
0 to do but ride runner in #ES_F until we get vol. Long still working from Sunday's entry given here & newsletter (7085 backtest long OR 7120 Failed Breakdown both worked). Targets were 7147-53, 7160, 7178 (all hit) 7160 micro support, 7147-53 below (watch traps). Same upsides
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@mayurpnag The reason I said 92 is because there was a strong shelf that formed there for the last couple hours so ES would not only need to recover 84 but also 92 to get anywhere
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Slow motion grind down in #ES_F and bears retain control below 6575 - 100 points higher. We backtested after 4pm yesterday, overshot, rejected.
6492 must reclaim now to see a pop to 6500, 6524 (above which we can rally today). 6466-70, 6446 next supports down from here
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Yesterday, bears took control in #ES_F on the loss of 6575. At 4pm, I posted 6524/6538 reclaims takes us to backtest. Mins later, a headline instantly took us there, before rejecting Plan today: 6524 must reclaim to rally to 6538, 6553, 6575. 6500=support, 6492, 6466-70 below
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@AdamMancini4 Hey @AdamMancini4 6658 is still a good level for fbd no? 3/15 low.
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Closing update #ES_F: There's 6690 next support. Readers remember this 6689-90 zone it was the reclaim here Sunday 7pm that gave us the 120+ point long into this weeks highs. Now backtesting from above. 6703 must reclaim this evening to squeeze. Newsletter out soon with entries
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The range is finally expanding a little in #ES_F from that chop range and there's 6703 next support down hit. 6716 must recover now to rally again. We already got that reclaim once and we ran to 6735 and rejected.
6690, 6678/72 next down if the retracement continues from here
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Muted 1st FOMC reaction. 6716 support & I posted to watch for sweeps of it. Before FOMC, we lost it by 1 point, recovered, and popped. 6735 was first big resistance up, hit. 6743, 6749, 6764-70 if #ES_F wants more. Bears control until 6764-70 recovers. 6703, 6690 supports now
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@AdamMancini4 This whiplash around 6749 won’t qualify as 2nd acceptance method right? Rip
A bit, drop tad below n recap?
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After some good volatility to start in #ES_F, now chop ahead of FOMC 2pm. Bears control until 6764-70 recovers. It was a support shelf all day yesterday and it must recover to rally.
6749 reclaim to back-test it as posted. If we keep dipping, 6727, 6716 (watch traps)=support
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
First "elevator down" sell for #ES_F following Sunday's 135 point 6689 Failed Breakdown. Usually, pre-FOMC sells good for bulls. Little to do but wait for a reclaim though. Bears control until 6764-70 shelf recovers. 6749 reclaim could pop there 6727, 6716 (watch traps) below
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@AdamMancini4 @EyeMordor 70 seems to be a good level so far. Reclaim of this might be still in play
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@EyeMordor I'm actually surprised 70 has held this long, usually bears have more of an "elevator down" sell in them after a rally of this magnitude
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After hitting all targets midday chop continues in #ES_F but lvls respecting. 6743 was support given 8am(held). Targets off it were 6754, 6770, 6793 (all hit). 6802 (hit), 6819 bonus
6766-70 then became support posted 40min ago. Here since. Must reclaim 85 now to pop. 6743 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Entering mid-day chop now after a clean +188 points from Sunday's 6689 Failed Breakdown given in newsletter. 6743 was then today's support given at 8am (held). Targets were 6754, 6770, 6793 (all hit). Bonus 6802, 6819 (not yet) Ride lotto runner. 6766-70, 6743 remain supports
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@AdamMancini4 By any chance can you mention your SL in the NL for the trades you take? Helps to identify and understand for future. Ex: today 6718 fbd triggered, went long around 29, SL would be below 15 so around 6713?
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There's daily squeeze in #ES_F. As always: Take profits lvel to level. I posted watch traps of Tuesday's 6718 low. We trapped it by 1 point & ran. 6739 was 1st target (hit), 6758 2nd (hit), 6772 3rd (hit), 6778-82 (final hit)
Bears control until 6778-82 clears, then 6802, 6813+
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Volatile start for #ES_F but we are still getting setups. *For longs, aggressively take profits level to level*. I posted watch traps of Tuesday's 6718 low. We swept it by a point, recovered, and ripped. 6739 was 1st target (hit). 6758, 6772, 6778-82 (bears control below) above
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@AdamMancini4 6972 also the level for fbd as per the NL right? Still active?
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Note: There is a big support cluster between 6876 (which has paid out over and over for the last 24hrs) and the overnight low. Bears will need to clear that out to open a dip
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Yesterday's long trigger was trap of 6876 with target of 6923-26. We hit 6923-26, topped in #ES_F. I posted at 2:40PM 6876 was support again, held late day, rallied to 6910
Plan today: All about 6877 (just trapped). 6888, 6893, 6904-08 next (breakout above). 76 fails, dip 6856
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Today done in #ES_F all targets complete. As posted 7:45AM today's target slate was 6893 (hit), 6908 (hit), 6913 (hit), 6923-26 final. 6923-26 remains the *exact* high of day. Now, we digest the move, and do it over again 6876 remains next support, 6893 must reclaim to pop
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Absolutely textbook Failed Breakdowns and points are stacking up today in #ES_F. I posted 9:43AM watch for sweeps of 6822-24. We swept it to 6808, trapped, bears, recovered. Targets I gave were 6850 (hit), 6860 (hit), 6870 (hit). 6893 next, then rally to 6935-38+
Ride runner
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
When volatility picks up, trading becomes easy its non-stop setups in #ES_F and only 9:50AM. As posted at 8am 6850, 6860 were targets. We hit 6860, dipped down to 6808. I then posted to watch sweeps of the 6822-24 cluster of lows. We swept it, now back at 6860 6870, 6893 above
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@AdamMancini4 60 still a good level to trade? Been tested many times so not sure.
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@AdamMancini4 @OnTheHooch I was confused a bit as well. Thanks! So basically just go with all the levels mentioned in the support/resistance and take profits lvl to lvl. No need to wait only for major levels? Ofcourse can let the runner run.
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@OnTheHooch Yes for sure, I don't want to overwhelm people with levels so I just usually include the big magnets here on Twitter. There are several profit takes between 6870 and 6893 in reality
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Initial CPI reaction in the books. Targets today given at 8am were 6850 1st up in #ES_F (hit), 6860 2nd up (hit). Setup here was the Failed Breakdown of the 6824 1:30AM overnight low as posted. 6860 must clear now to see 6870, then 6893, then real rally starts.
Sell under 6822
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Ystd, #ES_F lost its 3 day 6954 support shelf, triggering 1st dip in a week. Sell algo on until a Failed Breakdown triggers, then squeeze Plan today: Mini Failed Breakdown of overnight low active. 6850, 6860 above. 6860 must recover to see 6870, 6893+. 6822 fails, dip 6813 6795
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@AdamMancini4 @NoSpinRealist @Porterhous90889 @prof_loss Yeah this seemed like acceptance 2 before but wasn’t able to hold above 60. Waiting for cpi now looks like.
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@NoSpinRealist @Porterhous90889 @prof_loss Generally don't want to see basing at the lows but again no need to predict!
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There's 6893 target #2 tagged in #ES_F. I posted 6870 had to reclaim to see 6877 (hit), 6893 (hit). 6908, 6926, 6936 above. As posted, today's sell was caused by the multiday shelf at 6954 failing. Bulls will need to backtest and recover it next to regain full control.
Sell<6870
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
First mini relief bounce of the day in #ES_F. I posted 6870 had to reclaim to see 6877 (hit), 6893 (1.5 points shy), 6908 above, then 6908, 6926, 6936+ above. It was the failure of 6954 that caused today's sell, and that needs to backtest and recover to end it. Same supports
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@AdamMancini4 Also, 35 shallow reclaim and overnight 53 reclaim were the other ones right? Thank you!!
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Its been 10/10 trading this morning but now mid-day chop in #ES_F. Trade 1 was the 6970 Failed Breakdown given 8am. 6998 target, hit. Trade 2 was the 6958-60 reclaim. 6970 (hit), 6982 (2 points off targets).
Bulls must recover 70 magnet now to rally again. 6949, 6935 supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We are getting trade after trade in #ES_F. At 8am I posted the 6970 reclaim triggers long to 6998. We got it. Trade #1. I then posted (after hitting 6935) that 6958-60 reclaim triggers long. Targets were 6970 (hit), 6982, 6988, 6998. Trade #2. Ride runner. 6970=a magnet
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We are officially up +100 points from last nights 6773 macro Failed Breakdown of the Dec 17 low, given at 3pm yesterday. At 8am today, I gave the 6854 trap long as an extra in #ES_F.
Targets were 6865 (hit), 6878 (hit), 6900 (almost). 6911, 6918, 6930 bonus. Massive day today
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Evening traders had all the fun in #ES_F, now today is just about riding runner. The long setup given at 3pm ystd in newsletter was the 6773 Dec 17 low Failed Breakdown. We got it 8pm and ran 96 points 6865, 6878, 6900 backtest remain above. 6854 (already trapped), 6822 supports
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@AdamMancini4 @AdamMancini4 if you entered 6802 fbd last night, what SL you would have used? Just trying to understand. Since the set up was right.
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@AdamMancini4 @AdamMancini4 need your teaching here pls. Went long as per no acceptance protocol above 07 for the 6802 fbd but had to SL. Waited couple of mins above 07 but it couldn’t cross 6810. Didn’t rush. So want to improve ..
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Same trade has now played out 3x today. As posted over and over 6832 reclaims trigger long with 6838, 6857 targets. We got it 2x in #ES_F. I posted it again 34mins ago, and we got it again.
6858, 6877, 6900 remain above. Just ride runner now, nothing else to do from here
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Its every 30 mins we get a good trade today in #ES_F. 30mins ago I posted that 6832 reclaim triggers up again. Targets were 6838, 6857 as usual. We hit 6857, dipped. This is the 2nd time today we got this entry. 6838, 6857, 6877+ remain above. 6900 full backtest. Same supports
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