CrayJay
15.7K posts

CrayJay
@CraigMacJ
Disciple of Jesus, husband to Staci, father of 3 boys, furniture sales, lover of laughter, joy in serving, believer in doing your best
Bowling Green, KY Entrou em Ekim 2011
841 Seguindo716 Seguidores

A lock-out rally is a relentless upward move in the stock market that leaves sidelined investors waiting for a pullback that never comes. Characterized by high momentum and shallow dips, the price action "locks out" those who sold early or failed to buy at the start, forcing them to either watch from the sidelines or eventually chase the market at much higher prices. This phenomenon is often fueled by a "wall of worry," where negative sentiment or economic skepticism keeps many traders out of the market, while the underlying buying pressure remains steady and aggressive.
During these rallies, standard technical indicators often become overbought and stay that way for extended periods. As the trend continues, the psychological pain of missing out (FOMO) eventually reaches a breaking point, leading to a late-stage surge as the last remaining skeptics capitulate and buy in. This creates a feedback loop where the lack of sellers and the urgency of new buyers drive prices vertically, making the rally appear invincible until the buying exhaustion finally sets in.
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6 months ago, I said POET would make the exact same move as AMD!
AMD up 18000% from $2 to $350+ so far.
Esther & Michael@SuperLuckeee
Today, AMD it is up 12,000% from under $2. You would've turned $1000 into $120,000+ Right now, there's 1 stock that can repeat this exact pattern 🧵 Bookmark this to study!
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This week has been challenging for me in the market. I want to be transparent and share my week on X, hoping they may resonate with you.
Trading the market requires strength, tenacity, mental clarity, and resilience.
Some days, you feel invincible, while others, the market humbles you.
My week began with a few weekend losses due to the gap down. I started with $PLTR $NVDA losses - but $MSFT and $AAPL started performing well for me. I had a good understanding of the levels and executed my trades effectively.
On Monday, I sold $AAPL at 274, fully expecting it to reach 280 as the next level. Thus took another entry.
However, Tim Cook stepped down from AAPL after hours, and while I felt the news was better than the market action, I should have sold on Tuesday morning. I didn’t, and I ended up taking a wider loss than anticipated when my stop was 270. Watching $AAPL recover on Wednesday was heartbreaking.
Moving on, I took $PLTR $ORCL because both names had been performing well. I took the overnight trade in my small account and my regular portfolio. Then, $NOW had bad earnings, causing $IGV to plummet. I incurred losses on both names just yesterday.
Between Monday and Thursday of this week, I wasn’t on my game. I was impatient and doubted my trades. For instance, $NVDA went up to 210 today, but I stopped out too quickly on Tuesday.
Today was better. Made up some losses with $MSFT buy back, $AMZN, $COIN and $QQQ.
I explained to our premium members that such situations are common and that no matter how skilled you are, there’s always room for improvement. There will be times when unexpected news hits, and it’s beyond your control. In other words, when it rains it pours. Next time just have better control of the umbrella (aka stop loss).
The best course of action is to take a day off and reset. Gain clarity, restore mental balance, and let go of the losses. Don’t let them get to your heart. Don’t let them “talk” to you. Similarly, don’t let your wins get to your head.
Have a great weekend.
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At some point and time, this is going to matter.
First Squawk@FirstSquawk
US DEBT INTEREST COSTS HIT $1.3 TRILLION, EXCEED MILITARY SPENDING
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@1ChartMaster Being able to stay long with conviction is a superpower that sadly have not obtained. Your conviction of the 8dema and 8weekly ema is what I will be looking to adopt hence forward as my #1 play.
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@1ChartMaster Technical analysis in the indexes were screaming lower until Trump TACO on the ceasefire date.
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@pdicarlotrader The market will not reject. Trump has to say something daily and, for some reason, the market or the people pushing the market listen or are positioned for calls.
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If we get short‑term rejection here, short‑term downside is around $660. $SPY

Peter DiCarlo@pdicarlotrader
While $SPY is near all time highs, remember: The Monthly BX is still red 🔴 The 33FVB is still bearish 🔴 We are not out of the woods until this Monthly candle closes in ~10 days. There is still room for rejection. I'm staying patient and sticking to the plan
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@unusual_whales With what money? We are spending 2.8 trillion above revenues this year.
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@RealSimpleAriel Everyone. At least that is what you will see tomorrow if we are up. I held $SPY puts. I will no longer holds puts over the 50ma.
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