Tobi

1.3K posts

Tobi

Tobi

@EUAftSP

Entrou em Ağustos 2014
64 Seguindo38 Seguidores
Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@pbdes @esa @defis_eu @CNES @ASI @eusatcen There is no assessment necessary. It's managed by ESA, so it will be another embarrassment with performance similar to other ESA projects like Themis.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@pbdes @esa @ESPIspace Nothing is going to change. The old space spirit is too strong at the political, agency and industrial level.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@esa Europe has become completely irrelevant in space transportation and nothing that is decided at this council is going to change that.
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European Space Agency
European Space Agency@esa·
📺 Our Ministerial Council takes place this week, 26-27 November, in Bremen, Germany. Vital decisions will be made on Europe's future in space. You can follow events live on the days here! 👇 esa.int/About_Us/Minis… Also check out our dedicated #CM25 website 👉 🔗esa.int/CM25
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@AschbacherJosef Anybody remembering the Draghi report? Seems like ancient history.
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Josef Aschbacher
Josef Aschbacher@AschbacherJosef·
We wrapped up the last ESA Council in Paris before we meet again in Bremen for #CM25. A lot has been finalised for decision by Ministers in November: Science programme, Basic Activities, General Support Technology Programme (GSTP), Space Safety including Ramses, ESA support to IRIS2, and more. We have one last informal Council on 17 November to finalise the rest. It was a very constructive spirit, ESA and its Member States are working as a team to present the best proposal for the beneift of European citizens. Much to get done in this final stretch, but we will get there.
Josef Aschbacher tweet media
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@ESA_transport @esa @SSCspace So when will we see the first 1 meter flight? Tomorrow? Next week, next month, next year or in the next decade? The super slow progress just shows that Europe is falling further and further behind. Why do we need longer to copy SpaceX than SpaceX did it 13 years ago???
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ESA Space Transport
ESA Space Transport@ESA_transport·
Standing on its own four legs🦿🦿🦿🦿 @esa's reusable rocket demonstrator Themis is standing tall. Themis will demonstrate rocket stage recovery and reuse technologies and the first model arrived at @SSCspace's Esrange Space Center launch pad in Sweden 🇸🇪 over the summer.
ESA Space Transport tweet media
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@ESA_transport @ArianeGroup @esa Can carbon fiber survive a reentry from orbit in a fully reusable launcher? If not, you are once again working on irrelevant problems that will not help us catch up with SpaceX. ESA will never learn! Always investing in the wrong stuff.
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ESA Space Transport
ESA Space Transport@ESA_transport·
Lighter, faster, better, stronger 🚀 We are always working on self-improvement. Ariane 6 is no exception! We are working together with @ArianeGroup and MT Aerospace to evaluate how we can switch Ariane 6's upper stage metallic tanks for carbon-fibre reinforced-plastic ones. esa.int/Enabling_Suppo…
ESA Space Transport tweet media
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@AndrewParsonson In order to catch up with the competition we need to move faster but our leadership doesn't show any signs that they want to accelerate things. A reusable rocket like F9 is at least 2 decades away in Europe, maybe even more.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@pbdes @esa @NASA @CNES @defis_eu @DLR_en @ASI_spazio @latribuneevents There is no hope for Europe in space. I just have read the statement by BDLI (German industry) where they promote their awesome work relationship with ESA while delivering almost nothing on launchers or satellites. The whole system is broken.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@TMFAssociates Starship is over. 3 flight failures and 1 ground explosion in a row are not a coincidence but a direct consequence of Musk's political revenge trip.
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Tim Farrar
Tim Farrar@TMFAssociates·
This is just ridiculous. It ignores the 100% Starship failure rate to date and instead assumes it's like Falcon with only a 25% chance of failure??? Is Starship much harder than Falcon or not? You can't have it both ways...
Tim Farrar tweet media
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett

We are currently forecasting a 31.4% chance of SpaceX hitting the 2026 Mars window. The starship 36 explosion on wednesday night led to A LOT of noise about Mars timelines. So we put together a 10,000 simulation Monte Carlo to provide more signal when estimating the odds of SpaceX hitting the next Mars Transfer Window. Our model uses 12 parameters and the logic flow in this screenshot to arrive at this number. Importantly, most of our variables have a negative impact on our chances of hitting the 2026 Mars window; the main positive variable is the SpaceX’s learn rate. An even more important note, we do not make any attempt to include an Elon urgency variable, as it’s nearly impossible to forecast that. I assume Elon’s presence and pushing urgency could have a positive impact on most of these variables, potentially in a very big way. We’ll revisit and improve this analysis in the future. The full analysis is available on our research page (link in bio).

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Tobi@EUAftSP·
@SpaceNews_Inc As long as Elon Musk remains CEO of SpaceX, the magic SpaceX has shown in the past won't come back. There is no magic in a political revenge trip. The damage has been done and it's over now.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@Erdayastronaut This happens when the CEO plays video games during important Starship meetings and goes on a political revenge trip. This lowered morale at the company and the damage cannot be undone. Starship was fine until 2024.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@esa Sorry to say this but 15 years ago, ESA got done a lot more. The competition is now doing 100 launches per year and has 1000s of satellites in orbit. ESA can't even do a 1 Meter Hop with Themis after many years of development. ESA must be replaced with EUSPA.
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European Space Agency
European Space Agency@esa·
2024 saw numerous outstanding achievements for us. Simply put, ESA delivers. Some of our core memories include: 🚀Ariane 6's first launch and Vega-C returning to flight. 🛰️ Thirteen satellites were launched and are now sending back information on both Earth and our Universe. 🧑‍🚀 We welcomed five new astronaut graduates and celebrated the return of two astronauts from the Huginn and Muninn ISS missions. ... plus many more! Scroll through more of our highlights ➡️ esa.int/About_Us/ESA_A…
European Space Agency tweet media
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@xdNiBoR No, we are not back. SpaceX lost its magic, because its founder went on political revenge trip. SpaceX will no longer benefit from the best talent in the world in the same manner as before. It's just a normal company now.
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Robin
Robin@xdNiBoR·
We are so fucking back. Also, it's going to get messy. Expect many huge cuts at Starbase and Tesla. If he really is back micromanaging the shit out of these companies, it will be brutal and messy for many employees. But in the end it will all be much better
Elon Musk@elonmusk

As my scheduled time as a Special Government Employee comes to an end, I would like to thank President @realDonaldTrump for the opportunity to reduce wasteful spending. The @DOGE mission will only strengthen over time as it becomes a way of life throughout the government.

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Tobi@EUAftSP·
@SpaceNews_Inc Everybody can do it except European space transportation leadership that continues to fail with Callisto or Themis.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@pbdes @esa @defis_eu If your business case depends on ESA or CNES, then your business will be doomed from the start. This is not only about money but also about regulations and the general non performance of those agencies, just look at all the projects they are doing.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@SpaceNews_Inc The wonder at SpaceX is gone. Elon Musk has irreparable damaged his companies. These 3 failures in a row show that Musk must retire from SpaceX.
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Tobi
Tobi@EUAftSP·
@pbdes @OHB_SE @esa A bit more money is helpful but the real problems are ESA and CNES and I haven't seen any move by the Merz government to empower EUSPA. European space is simply a lost cause and it doesn't matter which party you vote for.
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@pbdes @esa @defis_eu @CNES @ASI @eusatcen @ESPIspace @AschbacherJosef