QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️

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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️

QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️

@QuadSigmaX

Rebuilding new X acct & looking to reconnect w my followers. Tech, Econ 📈 $BTC, $ETH, $AVAX OG. Poker ♦Travel. Econ=Mises. End the Fed 🦔🥩 Vires ad margines.

Earth (at the moment) Entrou em Aralık 2024
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
Published some ACP material here for improving AVAX tokenomic-architecture alignment: github.com/avalanche-foun… Please take a look and contribute any productive thoughts / challenges to the discussion. @AvaLabs As I've mentioned, I have a lot more not-yet-published material (~30 draft pages currently, only a fraction of which overlaps with what is published here). It will form a basis for several ACPs along related lines. I've been working hard to refine those proposals to minimum viable for publication, but each time I think I'm close, it just doesn't feel done. Hopefully soon.
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
The problem here is that bad engineers who don't understand the principles of engineering or the *properties* of what they are engineering (and only understand building features) will have no idea of how to use AI efficiently to produce working systems, so they'll throw compute at the problem. They end up spending 10% of their token budget on coding features haphazardly, then 90% chasing ghosts, bloating context, and doing full-scan refactors incessantly, and STILL not requesting or asking about the right things needed. I intentionally keep my agentic dev budget-constrained to force actual and efficient engineering and it's paying off... JIT injection, LLM-efficent prompt context constructs, routing to best-fit models, structured design... My platform does not just throw everything to a frontier model, and it forces actual engineering considerations upfront in-process. The workflow matters. The engineering mindset matters.
Ricardo@Ric_RTP

Microsoft just banned its own engineers from using AI. The tool was literally costing MORE than the humans it was supposed to replace. They lied to you about AI adoption and now the whole narrative is blowing up: Microsoft gave thousands of engineers access to Claude Code six months ago and encouraged them to use it. Engineers loved it and adoption exploded. But then the invoices arrived. Token-based pricing means every query, every code review, every debugging session costs money. At scale across 100,000 engineers, the numbers became so large that Microsoft issued an internal order to cancel nearly all Claude Code licenses by end of June and force everyone onto their own cheaper tool instead. The company that invested $5 billion in Anthropic just told its own people to stop using Anthropic's product because it costs too much. Uber's story is even worse... Their CTO Praveen Neppalli Naga told The Information that the budget he planned for the full year was "blown away already" by April. Uber had rolled out Claude Code in December 2025. By March, 84% of their 5,000 engineers were using it with 70% of all committed code coming from AI systems. Heavy users were burning $500 to $2,000 per month each. Naga himself spent $1,200 in a single two-hour demo session. The company had even built internal leaderboards ranking engineers by how much AI they used. They literally gamified the spending and then ran out of money. Now look at what Nvidia's own VP of applied deep learning Bryan Catanzaro said to Axios last month. Direct quote: "For my team, the cost of compute is far beyond the costs of the employees." This is a VP at the company that SELLS the chips saying that using AI is more expensive than paying humans. Think about what this means for the entire AI narrative. Every CEO on every earnings call for the past two years has said the same thing: AI will make us more efficient, reduce headcount, and cut costs. The stock market rewarded every company that said it. Fired workers, stock goes up. Announced AI adoption, stock goes up. But the actual companies deploying AI at scale are discovering the math doesn't work. The MORE employees use AI, the HIGHER the bill. Goldman Sachs forecasts a 24x increase in token consumption by 2030 as companies adopt AI agents. Gartner just published a report showing that even though individual token prices will drop 90% by 2030, total enterprise AI costs will go UP because agents consume exponentially more tokens per task than basic tools. Meta built an internal dashboard called "Claudeonomics" to track which employees use the most AI. Amazon started pushing engineers to "tokenmaxx," their internal term for consuming as many AI tokens as possible. Both companies are spending hundreds of billions on AI infrastructure this year alone. And Microsoft, the company that bet its entire future on AI, just told 100,000 engineers to stop using the tool they liked best because the per-token bills got out of control. The companies building AI are telling investors it saves money. The companies using AI are finding out it costs more than the humans it was supposed to replace. And even the company that makes the chips just admitted it through its own VP. This is the gap nobody on Wall Street is pricing in. $725 billion in AI infrastructure spending this year across Big Tech. And the first companies to actually deploy these tools at scale are already pulling back because the economics don't work. What do you think?

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Zedi 🔺 cchain.live
Zedi 🔺 cchain.live@RebaseMan·
If a blockchain admits to fucked up tokenomics, how seriously should anyone take their exuberance about new ways to stake?
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
Outside of some basic due diligence, my thesis on $TWLO was fairly straightforward: It's user base was about to explode in parallel with agenetic development, vibe coding, and personal agents... smaller scale players who would have never heard of Twilio prior, but now need a simple bridge between agents and their humans. This is playing out and was evident in their most recent earnings.
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
Agree with this take. Formal models /verifications / proofs (and software intentionally produced with structures to take advantage of it) will see accelerated adoption and eventually dominate. While creative artistry/craftsmanship will always have an apex role at the frontier, we are exiting the artisan-dominated phase of software production as an industry. Formal model specs and rigor of provable precision will dominate the mass production aspects of software from here on out.
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin

Many people have claimed that with AI-assisted bug finding, secure code (and hence trustless anything) will be impossible. I have a much more optimistic take, and AI-assisted formal verification is a major part of the reason why: vitalik.eth.limo/general/2026/0…

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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
@RebaseMan This is what happens when Marketing designs the product instead of Engineers. Maybe the suits decided to "replace" the engineers with Copilot subscriptions for the biz school grads.
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Zedi 🔺 cchain.live
Zedi 🔺 cchain.live@RebaseMan·
Yeah, it's pretty retarded to put the ports on the bottom so we could put a display on the front, but at least the prongs fold the wrong way so it'll fall out of the outlet incessantly, for $105.
Zedi 🔺 cchain.live tweet media
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
Suggested tweak to this. Keep the top prizes per tourney, but ... 1. Tie some bonus pay to the ones who rate outside of the top 3, but consistently get high marks... both per tourney and over the course of the series: top 5%, 10%, 25%, even top 50% (gives a bottom 30% dealerer something to strive for). 2. Bottom 10% dealers (20% early in series, 5% late) identified and given training and chance to improve. Persistent bottom 5% performance + rating below threshold + without improvement after re-training = prob not a good fit for this position. 3. "Top 3 only" may encourage "hamming it up" by some dealers (try to add flair/personality vs. dealing)... Maybe have a separate category "overall" vs. "excellent dealer skill" (speed, accuracy, table/situation control, knowledge). Make sure to reward the plain, all-business good dealers, not just the hams. 4. Instead of top 3 per tourney, make it the top 1%. Split mostly equally. This better accounts for incentivizing dealers in large fields. 25K-person events should have proportionate award distro to a 500-person event. 5. Bonus: one-time dealer skills competition for prizes. Public can watch. Top rated dealers eligible. Fastest pot count, fastest accurate deal, shuffle, fastest 3-way chop with side pot.
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WSOP - World Series of Poker
Last week, we announced the Dealer Rating System coming to WSOP Live. Here’s the breakdown: we’re adding $100,000 in rewards for top rated dealers this summer. For each bracelet event, the top rated dealers will earn: 1st: $500 2nd: $300 3rd: $200 That’s $1,000 per bracelet event across 100 bracelet events. We heard the concern: “What if one tilted player gives a bad rating after a bad beat?” Ratings refresh for every event. Each bracelet event is a clean slate, and no unfair rating follows a dealer for the whole summer. For dealers, this program is only upside: a fresh chance every event to be recognized and rewarded. The goal is simple: reward the dealers who help make WSOP great.
WSOP - World Series of Poker tweet media
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
As long as $COIN continues to be mispriced due short-sighted market overweighting on trading fees (old rails, will be exponentially dwarfed by the economic / transactional activity on agentic rails), I'm accumulating. I have (slightly more muted) feels of early NVDA accumulation when they were priced as a gaming graphics/rendering company before the market translated the computer science of what else this processing mapped to. AI models and physical infra are cool and hot and all, but we haven't even seen a taste of what gets unlocked by it once the agents built atop this REALLY start talking / trading / bidding / self-sustaining via the tokenized "new" commodities era... at its dawn. $COIN positioning well for it.
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Architect🛡️
Architect🛡️@Architect9000·
5 weeks of melt up Just when you thought it couldn’t keep going, breadth has been picking up too. We’ll have turbulence this year, but who cares. Don’t get overly creative. This is a generational moment and I want to fully embrace it.
Architect🛡️ tweet media
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
As my attention gets more divided these days, I realize why some written languages begin their questions with a "¿". Having it upfront sure helps in avoiding punctuating a question with a ".".
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Architect🛡️
Architect🛡️@Architect9000·
Sucks having the flu. Have to take naps between coding and web design. Can’t stop this close to a16z deadline.
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BitMani🔺
BitMani🔺@bit_mani·
So let me see what I have done in Avalanche since the beginning; 1. Validator since day one, 2. Used Pangolin, owned PNG, 3. Scammed in wonderland by Daniele, 4. Bought first nfts CryptoSeals, 5. Invested in Colony, CLY, 6. Invested in Platypus,PTP, 7. Invested in Salvor,ART ❤️, 8. Invested in ARENA ❤️, 9. Invested in DeltaPrime, 10. Invested in Blaze ❤️, 11. Attended all summits. And so many more, I even remember sending myself tokens from one wallet to another just to make more transactions. Hodling every single $Avax I bought from ICO and many more. Still an active user everyday. Painful times but no conviction erosion at all. Avax will prevail 🔺🚀
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
Building the sh*t out of things and stuff rn. Keeping my self / swarm intentionally budget-constrained as we develop. It forces architectural discipline, and an artistic intimacy with my design... and it surfaces nuance that is otherwise hidden by brute force... Which, in turn, leads to elegance and a solid foundation. Throwing infinite compute at something isn't a durable design. Efficiency --> elegance. Form follows function. Excellent software is still beautiful and artful and can impart the love and art of a craftsmen, even if the tools change. Michaelangelo's David still requires a chisel (not sledgehammer), even if you're able to use 20 at a time and chisel 24/7.
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
There are estimated to be up to 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 stars in the known universe (each of which is comprised of its own component bodies/energy it influences). There are up to an estimated 100,000,000,000,000 cells in a human body (each of which has its own world of components). Atoms, their particles ... And that's just what we know. You are conscious and perceive yourself and your experiences centrally to all of this! Relative to all of this! 99.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999+% of it is oblivious to your frame of reference. Your entire corpus of knowledge and wisdom is an infinitesimal sliver of context. To your ego, it seems to be everything. But mathematically, it seems to be nothing. And yet... in all this vastness, we, life, are the only known embodiment of love and the capability to generate and emanate it into the vast expanses, both within and beyond. Energy and space and mass are everywhere. As profound and awe-inspiring as it all is, in all its forms as we can observe it, it is, however, not rare. You are both a universe of cells and but a cell within the universe. And that's just the scale we know of today, with the bounds of understanding it ever-expanding... What if the known universe is but a cell in a larger multiverse? And what if that too is dimensionally infinite. And this is just what we PERCIEVE with our very limited spectrum of observation and mediums. Ponder that shit next time you're on the toilet (or stargazing).
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
INTC was a nice winning trade for me. But, at the same time, due to being options-heavy, one of the more brutal "timing just missed the big gains" ones that remind me (yet again 😂 ...😭) of the lesson that requiring yourself to also win the market timing factor (not just narrative / direction and valuation / patience) on an otherwise correct early / contrarian directional thesis, is setting an unnecessarily high bar to win. Don't fumble the setup by making yourself be correct on timing, value AND direction, when you can win the trade without needing all three. Spot entry on the direction and value should comprised vast majority of entry. An entry heavily weighted in options, even on LEAPS, was a "certainly the market will see this by then" condition that I imposed on myself unnecessarily. To anyone reading: don't make it harder on yourself than it needs be to win. "Directionally right, but timing just missed" stings worse than the ones that just don't pan out. Weight entries towar spot unless there is an explicit timing/volatility reason not to.
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QuadSigma (4σ)🔺⚡⟠♠️
this is good energy. This focus essential to support the technological base. Blockchain solved a fundamental economics and game theory problem. (Token/Eco)nomics are intertwined with the tech. They thrive together in unison. Leading tech + Leading Economic model = unstoppable combo. Its not easy, and its not a static target, but achievable. We have economic models and research we can build upon... and with the right fundamental linkages, we thrive.
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Eric 🔺
Eric 🔺@eric_lu_sc·
I am very excited to share that the @AvalancheFDN has launched a research grants program on the economics of cryptoassets and decentralized networks. We are offering grants of up to $50k to support original and rigorous work in two areas 👇
Eric 🔺 tweet media
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