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@0xDinoCrypto Убери из этого уравнения крипту и политические ставки и получается о чудо, бетфаир. Никогда ведь не было такого да?
Русский

Polymarket might be the biggest joke of the 21st century.
It sells the dream that anyone can get rich predicting the future, while most users lose money and a tiny fraction captures most of the profits.
A lot of the “look how much I made” content you see online is marketing, survivorship bias, or both.
Call it prediction markets if you want. To me, it's not very different from a casino with better branding.
English
R retweetou

Open letter to @Polymarket and especially @shayne_coplan:
I've been trading on Polymarket for a long time. I am one of the biggest traders on the entire platform and I interact with it on a daily basis.
And at this point I'm seriously questioning whether the team has simply given up.
I'm not even trying to be dramatic. Wtf is actually going on?
Has everyone made enough money that nobody cares anymore? Is the team completely overwhelmed? Are priorities completely broken? Is there no leadership? Is it incompetence?
Because the current state of the platform is honestly embarrassing.
Every maintenance seems to follow the exact same script:
announce 10 minutes of downtime
start 20 minutes late
stay down for an hour
deploy changes that break multiple existing systems
leave the bugs in production for weeks
And somehow nobody seems concerned.
Example:
~1.5 weeks ago an update broke tick sizes. The matching engine started rejecting orders that matched the correct tick size after a tick size change was published.
This was immediately visible after deployment.
It's still broken.
Nobody seems to care.
Then for the last two days Polymarket's own RTDS feed, the feed used for all crypto markets, has been broken.
The issue was marked "resolved" 10 hours ago.
It still isn't resolved!
Did anyone spend literally 5 seconds checking whether data was actually being published before closing the incident?
Because it sure doesn't feel like it.
Communication is somehow even worse than the bugs.
Half the changes never get announced.
The other half are hidden in random Discord side conversations.
Major trading-impacting changes get silently rolled out with zero documentation.
You ask support.
They say they'll ask the team.
Then you never hear back.
Or you get the same canned response you've already received three times.
The team keeps saying communication will improve.
It never does.
Then there's the rebate and fee situation.
Taker tiers were supposed to launch on May 28.
A week later they still weren't live.
Nobody acknowledged the delay.
The docs still said May 28.
To this day there still hasn't been a single taker rebate payment.
And the official position is apparently that missed rebates won't be back-paid.
How is that acceptable?
How are traders supposed to adjust strategies, thresholds, and risk when nobody knows what fees they are actually paying, what rebates they are actually earning, or how much of the promised rewards the platform simply decides not to distribute?
That isn't transparency and it is clearly destroying trust.
The craziest part is that every update creates fresh opportunities for exploiters.
Just in the last couple weeks we've had:
queue position jump exploits
taker delay bypass exploits
ghost fill exploits
various matching and infrastructure bugs
order spam exploits
Millions of dollars have been extracted from legitimate users through platform failures.
The response?
Increase rate limits.
Seriously.
A huge amount of latency issues today are caused by order spam that is directly incentivized by broken infrastructure and exploitable mechanics.
Fixing the root causes would help.
Instead we get band-aids.
Which raises another question:
Does Polymarket have a testing environment?
Does it have staging?
Can updates be rolled back?
Because from the outside it honestly looks like production is the testing environment.
Every maintenance introduces new failures.
Every maintenance gets partially reverted.
Every maintenance creates more issues than it solves.
This shouldn't be happening at a company valued in the billions.
Meanwhile manipulation that has been repeatedly reported for months continues largely unchecked while manipulators keep extracting money from normal users.
And surprise:
Volume is declining.
Prediction markets as a whole are growing.
Yet Polymarket just posted its second consecutive month of declining volume.
Meanwhile Kalshi has become the clear market leader in many categories and is now outperforming Polymarket by large multiples in areas where Polymarket used to dominate.
Honestly?
It's not hard to see why.
Every serious trader I've spoken to says the same thing:
Kalshi feels stable.
Polymarket feels like you're one deployment away from disaster.
I know multiple people who would happily trade Polymarket full-time if they trusted the platform.
They don't.
Not because of competition.
Because they don't trust Polymarket itself.
My trust in this platform is at an all-time low.
And I genuinely don't understand what is happening internally.
Maybe the response will be that the team is busy with the World Cup or other initiatives.
Fine.
Then stop shipping half-finished features.
Stop deploying untested fixes.
Stop breaking live trading.
Slow down.
Focus on fewer things.
Do them properly.
The most concerning part is that so many decisions feel like they were made by people with no actual trading experience.
The product decisions show it.
The infrastructure decisions show it.
The market structure decisions show it.
Building the future of prediction markets requires understanding how markets actually function.
Right now it often feels like nobody is steering the ship.
I want Polymarket to succeed.
But from the perspective of someone who uses the platform every day, this is bordering on unusable.
@Polymarket
@shayne_coplan
What is going on?
English

@catboyautist @honoraryaryan88 Почему мне просто не копировать твои сделки?
Русский

Update by @zachxbt in TG about contacting him for the prediction market resolutions
He is completely right here and I will explain why very simple
When you make a prediction, on a decentralized market, you incur RISK
Nobody cares what the outcome was or wasn’t. With your RISK, you win or you lose. It’s that simple
I am getting giga burned out by the “I was scammed by this prediction market” posts
Take an L. We took them in memes for 5 years. Nobody cried we moved on

English

Leads me to my thesis: The best bang for your buck might just be treating yourself to the next NBA or MLB game, eyes glued to Polymarket, finger ready to trigger.
Because at the end of the day, it’s now easier than ever to hedge out across apps like Kalshi and Polymarket. The play happens, you fire, you lock the spread/over-under/player prop before the market blinks.
Go to live games, Get paid.
English

Wallet tracking on Polymarket has blown up as a profitable strategy in 2026.
Don’t get me wrong, there’s real merit in following wallets with strong conviction. Most backtests yield a positive result.
But there’s a deeper edge nobody’s talking about: how these wallets actually make their money. Thread 👇
English

i've been investigating a mismatch between my app polyvolume.xyz and polymarket's official taker rebate tiers
example wallet:
0xc0cfbafe316e6b51bfd8bb780098635005968bcb (@0xDullie )
after pulling and verifying the raw trade data directly from polymarket's api, the volume numbers appear correct on my side
using the weighted volume formula published in polymarket's docs, this wallet should qualify for silver. however, polymarket currently assigns it a bronze tier
the gap isn't small either - the weighted volume shown by polymarket is roughly 6x lower than what the published formula would suggest
this isn't an isolated case, i've found similar discrepancies across multiple wallets
not claiming my interpretation is perfect, but if i'm missing something, it likely isn't explained in the current docs
would love clarification from @mustafap0ly on whether:
+ sell side taker volume counts
+ category weights have changed
+ additional multipliers/bonuses are being applied
+ certain markets are excluded from the calculation
my present goal with polyvolume.xyz is simple: make users projected rebate tiers match what polymarket actually uses

English
R retweetou

Dear journalists, investigators, exchange founders, legal analysts, and anyone who still believes that markets must be built on rules,
@cz_binance @star_okx @benbybit @brian_armstrong @zachxbt @AutismCapital @tier10k @WatcherGuru @WuBlockchain @CoinDesk @TheBlockCo @Protos @DecryptMedia @Blockworks @Cointelegraph @CryptoSlate @FT @washingtonpost @Reuters @business @WSJ @CNBC
I am a 20-year-old university student.
I know I am not powerful in this industry. I do not run an exchange. I do not manage a fund. I do not have a legal team standing behind me. I am only trying to make people look at something that feels deeply wrong.
I used Polymarket because I believed written rules mattered. I believed that when a market published a rule before people risked their money, that rule would still mean the same thing after the outcome. If even that belief is too much to ask, then ordinary users have no protection at all.
I have prepared a media evidence brief, filed an FTC ReportFraud submission, prepared a pre-arbitration notice, and launched an affected trader registry. I did this because silence is how disputes disappear. People get tired. The timeline moves on. The platform waits. The user is left alone.
I am asking you to look at the Polymarket MicroStrategy market dispute.
The concern is that traders relied on written market rules before risking capital, and after the outcome, an additional condition appears to have been applied that was not written in the rule users traded on.
I am not asking anyone to blindly believe me. I am asking people with influence, expertise, and reach to review the evidence, ask questions, and help make sure this does not disappear quietly.
If you are willing to investigate, report, review the documents, repost, or connect me with someone who can help, please contact:
polymarketfraud@outlook.com
I am asking for scrutiny. I am asking for visibility. I am asking for accountability.
Thank you for reading this.
English

@willo2_Poly Кошмарная ситуация. Никто ещё не думал судиться с ними?
Почему они меняют правила походу игры?
Русский

@Xxxxuuuuy_ Какой запрос от потребителя такой от ответ от производителя. В России ситуация не лучше с попаданцами
Русский

@rs112233445 @caramelotxt Зачем мне играть в бесплатные игры если я могу играть в любую платную игру бесплатно?
Русский

@caramelotxt 少なくとも金のないアフリカの子供は布のボール作って道端で遊んでるけどなあ
身の丈にあった趣味で遊べばいいんじゃない?
海賊版が使えるならスマホかpcはあるだろうし無料ゲームでも遊んでたら?
日本語

Isso aqui é triste demais. A gente é fascinado pela cultura japonesa e eles abominam a gente.
A gente, população, tentamos melhorar a desigualdade do país, mas é um problema sistêmico.
Não gostaríamos de piratear, mas aqui quem tem dinheiro tem tudo e quem não tem fica como?
日暮れひぐれん@higureshuuen
@jp_cortina 通りでブラジルの人と仲良くなれないはずだ
Português

Он смотрит на тебя с осуждением.
Ps на хую вертели мы ваших авторов. Если они не способны монетизировать свой труд возможно это их проблема

tagame@沼の底から@tagame
「ブラジル人は貧しくて、海賊版でしかゲームできない子がいるから、 海賊版は悪いことじゃないんだよ。 子どもたちにゲームするなって言うの?」 はい。 貧しくて買えないなら安く違法コピーを買って遊べばいい。と教えるべきじゃないな。 高くてゲームできないなら別のことをやれと教えます。
Русский

@reonmaru0887 @higureshuuen Давайте откровенно, 95% производимого контента не стоит своих денег. Я вот в своей жизни купил всего одну игру. Forged alliance. Остальное не стоит и копейки.
Русский

@higureshuuen 貧乏人が泥棒行為を正当化してるだけなのではと思い始めたよ。
貧乏スペイン人のポストかなり多かったのもあって…w
日本語










