Amitabo_Buddha

Let's spend coffee time playing a little wargame in which the US decides to take on Iran and commit to a full war against it Look at this map. Where could the US stage an invasion of Iran? To Iran's east, you'll find Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Turkmenistan. A big triple no. To Iran's south: the Persian Gulf which it completely dominates. No good. To Iran's west: Iraq and Turkiye. The first a definite no, the second, a no so probable it must be considered a certain. Turkiye will not go to war with Iran for the US and Israel - a war not only sure to decimate it, but a war Turkich people will be fanatically against. To Iran's north is the Caspian Sea. No use. Azerbaijan and Armenia present an opening, but how will hundreds of thousands of NATO soldiers get there (let alone undetected)? If they go by sea, they will need to traverse the Mediterranean and the Black Sea and virtually physically go through Istanbul. Not only politically complicated, but a long long journey that gives Iran tons of time to prepare. Remember the months and months the US took to amass forces for the Iraq invasion? It took 6 months or so - with no interruptions. The problem is, with Iran, there's no way they're going to simply build up forces near the designated target's borders. Iran has an arsenal of hundreds of thousands of guided and precise ballistic missiles, satellites in space and eyes almost everywhere. If a war is declared or started, every American asset within 0-3000 kilometers of Iran's borders will be bombarded so viciously no missile defense system will be able to stop it. And all those dozens and dozens of American bases scattered throughout the vast area surrounding Iran? How will the US defend them under an attack on a scale of 1000 October 7th's combined? Additionally, Iran has the most sophisticated anti-ship missiles in the world (Russia's Yakhont), of which it probably has thousands by now. This means no surface ship is going to be able to come close enough to Iran to make it an effective striking weapon (is this going to be the first time we get to see an aircraft carrier drowning? I believe potentially yes). The US will have to rely on air superiority, but this is going to prove a very difficult, almost impossible task. US planes will have to fly a long way to get to Iran (and back), and it has invested massively in air defense systems, including some of the most sophisticated in Russia's arsenal. The US will lose many planes which will take years to replenish, and Iran will be able to target with ballistic missiles and drones all the bases from which they take off in Europe or the Middle East. Another tool the US will use is cruise missiles fired from submarines: but this, too, does not win wars, and can be costly against a rival that prepared for this. A full-scale invasion of Iran will require potentially millions of soldiers and will take years. The West is simply incapable of an effort of this kind: where will they find millions of young men willing to die at sea in order to occupy a country thousands of miles away? Today? Give me a break. All this time the Iranians will be defending their home and their independence. The West will be trying to colonize and destroy them. They will have Gaza on their minds. - I didn't mention Israel because it is virtually irrelevant in this war. Hizbullah alone is enough to paralyze it and keep its military busy for months. - Bonus point: think about what happens to energy prices in an actual war with Iran. 500$ for an oil barrel? 1000$? 2000$? All is possible. Guess what country will remain the biggest international producer and exporter of oil and gas, and rip all those extra many, many trillions. You guessed tight. Russia. If the Persian Gulf is up in flames, Russia will become a global economic superpower (at a time when the US is dwindled militarily and economically and cannot even fake a military threat against it). - Another bonus point: you think Iran cannot, or will not attack on American soil? Think again. From cyber attacks to large-scale, professional, military-level sabotage and guerrilla warfare, in a war with Iran life in the US will definitely not be business as usual, and not only because inflation will be something 200%, and thousands of dead soldiers will return home in coffins every month for a long time. - The US cannot win a war against Iran. And I believe all parties involved know it. The only thing that remains unknown is how insane and self-destructive the US has become under Netanyahu's and AIPAC's, how shall we call it, influence

@alon_mizrahi Come Monday, Trump will decide how much more insanity he'll exhibit and how much more destruction he'll inflict as Israel's black dog. Credit: @AnnWright46

@Mallufideintent He'll never do that. This win will spur him on. A bully doesn't walk away when he thinks he's winning. It needs a smackdown for the bully to grovel and seek forgiveness

A good time for Trump to declare victory and walk away. They have won an important battle (possibly the most complex CSAR in modern military history). He won't get a better opportunity.

@Mallufideintent It's a big area. Iran has no air force to mount a quick mission. The Americans possibly rerouted satellites to give them the view Iranians lack.

America's military capability and tenacity are unmatched. To extract the downed F15 pilot and WSO from the middle of a huge country with enemy ground forces actively thwarting you, is an achievement that boggles the mind.

@andhak_asur @kapsology @bsdhanoa You totally misunderstood. God bless your comprehension.🙏🏽

@AmitaboB @kapsology @bsdhanoa While I regret the mistake. Do let the tank man that judgement comes for all,even him. The forces and its people have little to do with appropriate stuff. There is right way. There is wrong way. There ia an Army way. In this case The bullet was right. The mark was wrong

Air India 171 Crash: 260 people died. No final report in 10 months. No action yet against Air India or Boeing. Indigo flights chaos: Indigo plainly declined following the DGCA rules. 4500+ flight cancelled. Thousands suffered. Indigo escaped by paying just 22 CR fine. 60# free seats order: Just weeks after issuing an order, the government tumble down in front of the airline body and paused the order. Strong government my foot!

The number of analysts, experts and OSINTs which crawl out during a war is like a hornet's nest being smoked #IranWar #sindoor

@luismbat If you think you are getting on that interplanetary vehicle, if there is even one by then, you have to believe in Santa Claus.

In 2029, Apophis, a ~370m asteroid, will pass just ~31,000 km from Earth. That’s ~1/10 the distance to the Moon. Inside the orbit of geostationary satellites. Visible to the naked eye. Impact risk this time is low, but the flyby could shift its future trajectory. A direct hit would mean a ~1 km crater and regional devastation. That’s why becoming multiplanetary matters.

@nihardesai89 Mum doesn't trust your advice?

My mom booked a diet consult with @poojamakhija expecting nutrition advice. Instead, got a lecture on stopping atorvastatin and a rant against prescribing physicians (me and my wife), who weren’t even part of the consult 😂 This was unsolicited, and highly unprofessional 👎🏽

𝗧𝗢𝗧𝗔𝗟 𝗖𝗥𝗨𝗘𝗟𝗧𝗬. Israeli soldiers assaulted a helpless Palestinian guy with Down syndrome. Crimes against humanity.

@s_m_marandi Wrong targets then, aren't they, Professor. Who's being taken for a ride by the Israelis & acting as their proxies?

The Epstein Coalition bombs Iranian energy infrastructure because it knows that Iran will retaliate and destroy the energy infrastructure of the Arab family despots complicit in this war. Zionists don’t care about the US, Indian, Ugandan, Argentinian, German, or other economies.

@advsanjoy Calling someone a fool weakens an otherwise solid point from the Bhagavad Gita.

You stupid fool. Sri Krishna has sung a whole ballad on how there is no “death”! “न जायते म्रियते वा कदाचि
नायं भूत्वा भविता वा न भूय: |
अजो नित्य: शाश्वतोऽयं पुराणो
न हन्यते हन्यमाने शरीरे ||” “na jāyate mriyate vā kadāchin
nāyaṁ bhūtvā bhavitā vā na bhūyaḥ
ajo nityaḥ śhāśhvato ’yaṁ purāṇo
na hanyate hanyamāne śharīre” “The soul is neither born, nor does it ever die; nor having once existed, does it ever cease to be. The soul is without birth, eternal, immortal, and ageless. It is not destroyed when the body is destroyed.” Chapter 2, Verse 20 Srimad Bhagavat Geeta Source Vanraj Bhatia’s musical rendition of this verse. Guaranteed to elevate! Happy Easter to you too!

@tparsi So long as the Israelis bombing the cities continue to breathe clean air does it matter to any one? It will only matter if it happens outside of Iran. @s_m_marandi

Reports are coming in that people in Mahshahr cannot breathe due to the chemical pollution caused by the US and Israeli bombardment of the petrochemical factories there.

@lovelynancie Remember this?

Please keep the two F-15 pilots who were shot down in your prayers tonight. One of my sons is a fighter pilot, and I still haven’t heard any news from him or his unit. My heart is heavy with worry. Please pray for all the pilots and their families. 🙏

Personally, one day from the holy day of Easter, I find it repugnant that Trump is threatening "all hell" to be unleashed on the people of Iran and then double the insult by feigning "glory be to GOD," -- especially given that Jesus, whose resurrection from the dead Christians will be celebrating tomorrow is known as 'The Prince of Peace' This is no way to fight a war. It might be a way to *lose* one, however. Whether one wants to talk about the British ppl defiant in the face of NAZI bombing in World War II, or the German and Japanese ppl never succumbing to fire bombing in the same war, the North Vietnamese ppl's refusal to be bombed into the stone age, the North Korea ppl's resilience in the face of near eradication of all their cities in 1953, or the unwillingness of the Palestinians and Lebanese to submit to relentless Israeli bombing since 2023, the pattern is the same: massive bombing of a population does NOT force it into submission. If President Trump thinks a one month-plus bombing campaign is going to compel the Iranian ppl to submit to his will - especially after those same Iranians have *already proven* an ability to sustain hundreds of thousands of combat deaths in the U.S.-backed Iran/Iraq war 1980-88 - he will be, again, proven wrong. But its not just about him being proven wrong, its about the potentially significant numbers of Iranians who will die in the process, or, if he doesn't care about those human beings, maybe he should consider he'll also pointlessly sacrifice American service members and Israeli citizens as well (and if things go woefully south, maybe large numbers of GCC states' populations as well. This war of choice has all but effectively been lost by the U.S. and Israel. The only question now: will we deepen our loss or suck down meaningful amounts of pride and hubris, but take an ugly diplomatic off ramp. Pretty sure we know the answer to that...

Think you know the A350 flight deck?✈️ Let’s see how many of these acronyms you can name before the pilots do. With captainchris

@mb_ghalibaf The hasbara is desperate on this tweet. 🤣

@ashwinikpn Politicians are all about PR - politician rights. Not population rights

No history of private member bill getting any traction or became a law. May be only one in the history of the Indian State since 1947 or 50, whichever is relevant for it becoming a Republic. Everything for PR.

@Mallufideintent Be careful what you wish for. Like LNB, you might end up with termites, dynamite dolomites, stalagmites, and chromites. Hopefully not, sodomites

Keralites nahi, Keralamites.

@DragonStacker @nikitabier @dvorahfr Seconded

@nikitabier @dvorahfr 'geo-locking' complaints just seems to be code for 'give me more US impressions' because I'm entitled to get paid. Most of my timeline is filled with either divisive rhetoric or inane questions from the third world exploiting human psychology for $. Make it stop.

What is the purpose of geo-locking, please? This is a genuine question. I'd like to understand why X, which is supposed to be a global exchange platform, is taking this approach. I've read so many different explanations that I'm completely lost.

@nikitabier @dvorahfr There's geoblocking. Where X censors posts based on government requests. And then there's takedown where X will take down your post if it doesn't meet X's "rules". There are places where X is not available, though that's not by X's choice.

There is no geolocking. There have been a lot of viral posts in Japanese and other foreign languages and it organically changed the country distribution of impressions the last 2 weeks. The timeline is a living, breathing thing. Viral trends happen. Getting the same Sam Altman drama and political rage bait every day is not good for anyone.